Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#917 New York Yankees vs.
#918 Toronto Blue Jays
Monday, April 12, 2021 at 7:05pm EDT
Written by Blake V.

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New York and Toronto will both be looking to get back to .500 on the season when they square off on Monday night. The Yankees salvaged their series in Tampa Bay with an 8-4 win in 10 innings on Sunday. Toronto had the day off after its game against the Angels was postponed due to weather.

Cole has great numbers against Toronto

It’s early in the season, but New York finds itself two games behind Boston in the American League East standings. The Yankees got off to a 3-2 start before dropping three consecutive games. They bounced back with an 8-4 win over the Rays in 10 innings on Sunday afternoon. Rougned Odor snapped the tie in the tenth inning with his first hit as a Yankee. Gio Urshela would add a three-run homer to blow the game open and help New York avoid the sweep. New York ranks No. 13 in the MLB in team batting average at .238.

The Yankees are going to face a Toronto pitching staff that is sixth in the MLB with a team ERA of 3.11. Second baseman D.J. LeMahieu leads New York with 11 hits on the season, racking up 17 total bases. Third baseman Gio Urshela has added 10 hits and driven in four runs. Right-handed pitcher Gerrit Cole will start for the Yankees on Monday night. He has struck out 21 batters through two starts, tying him with Al Downing for the most by any Yankee through his first two starts of the season. Cole has been excellent against Toronto, going 3-0 with a 2.97 ERA in five total starts.

Blue Jays hoping for success against Cole

Toronto got off to a nice start this season when it took two out of three in its series with the Yankees. The Blue Jays were unable to take advantage of their three-game set with Texas, who is expected to be one of the worst teams in baseball. The Rangers won two of the three games at home early last week. Toronto proceeded to lose its first two games against the Angels, but it bounced back with a 15-1 blowout win on Saturday. Sunday’s game was postponed due to bad weather. The Blue Jays rank No. 18 in the MLB in team batting average at .222.

They are facing a New York pitching staff that is third in the MLB with a team ERA of 2.84. Center fielder Randal Grichuk has 11 hits and eight RBIs, which are the exact same numbers that designated hitter Vlad Guerrero Jr. has put up. Shortstop Bo Bichette has added 10 hits. Left-handed pitcher Robbie Ray will make the start for the Blue Jays on Monday. He went 2-1 and posted a 1.98 ERA in four Spring Training starts, but he ended up on the Injured List after falling down the stairs. He missed two starts with the bruised elbow.

Best Bets for this Game

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This is not shaping up to be a good matchup for Toronto. The Blue Jays are rolling out Ray for his first start of the season. He missed two starts with a bruised elbow, so I have some concerns about his longevity and effectiveness heading into this game. New York has arguably the best pitcher in baseball making the start on Monday. Cole has excellent numbers against Toronto over the last few seasons. He is backed up by one of the best lineups in the MLB that has not reached its potential yet.

Prediction: New York -1.5

Full-Game Total Pick

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I think we are going to get some value on the over in this game. Ray is making his first start of the season after dealing with an elbow injury. If he is lacking any velocity or location, the Yankees are going to make him pay. They have gone over in four of their last five Monday games. Toronto has a solid lineup that will be able to make some adjustments after just facing Cole last week. The Blue Jays have gone over in their last five home games against a right-handed starter.

Prediction: Over
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Written By Blake Von Hagen , "Blake V."

Blake is a lifelong sports fan and hoops junkie. Prior to joining our team at Winners & Whiners and StatSalt, Blake worked for several newspapers and websites. He enjoys combining his beat writing expertise with the knack for finding the winning edge in a matchup. Remember, it’s a marathon, not a sprint.