Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#903 Philadelphia Phillies vs.
#904 New York Mets
Tuesday, April 13, 2021 at 4:10pm EDT
Written by Jordy

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The New York Mets will come to blows with a familiar foe in Tuesday's opener of a four-game series with the visiting Philadelphia Phillies. This is the first game of a doubleheader as Monday's contest was rained out. Things didn’t end so well in the first series in Philly for the Mets, who fell 2-1 in their first series loss of the season. They’ll be looking for some early redemption with left-handed pitcher David Peterson slated to start in the opener opposite of Philadelphia’s Chase Anderson.

Phillies get hot from the plate

The Phillies have waited and waited—and waited—for another offensive explosion, and they finally got it in the series finale against the Atlanta Braves on Sunday. The team heaped seven runs on the scoreboard and avoided a dreaded three-game sweep.

They’ll try to get back on the winning track in Monday’s run-in with the same Mets team they’ve defeated once already in Philly.

If they can keep their bats hot, they’ll have no trouble dropping the hammer in the opener against a team averaging only 3.20 runs per game. The Mets have clearly been limited offensively, and things would turn ugly in a hurry if their pitching rotation flounders. Philly is far from perfect, but they’ll surely offer more offensive resistance than the struggling Marlins.

They finished with four-plus runs in the previous series with the Mets, including an eight-run performance in the series finale. There will surely be a chance for them to be equally as dominant with David Peterson slated to start at pitcher for the Mets.

On the other end, the Phillies have given the green light for Chase Anderson to toe the rubber. The veteran right-handed pitcher should be eager to get back at the Mets after dropping the only loss to them in the series. He’s throwing a 3.60 ERA with three strikeouts after making his regular-season debut nearly a week ago. As long as he avoids a disaster on the mound and the relief helps steps up, the Phillies should be able to continue to shut down the struggling bats from the Mets.

Mets looking to get even

The Mets won’t have to wait long to get a second crack at the Phillies.

After dropping their first series meeting of the season in Philadelphia, they’ll be hosting their NL East division rivals at Citi Field on Monday. They could certainly use a win in the opener to build a little confidence, especially after they were shut out by the Marlins on Saturday. Meanwhile, Sunday’s game ended in a rainout.

Another loss would have people scratching their heads six games into the season.

Granted, they can’t be feeling particularly confident about their defense heading into this matchup with David Peterson slated to start on the mound. The 25-year-old lefty is already well-acquainted with the Phillies after his on-mound meltdown against them less than a week ago. He allowed seven hits and six earned runs in four innings of action. It was enough to earn him a 13.50 ERA and 2.25 WHIP to kick-start the season.

Of course, he could begin improving on that ugly stat sheet if he’s able to turn the Phillies’ batters away empty-handed on Monday. The opportunities will certainly be there when facing a lineup averaging 3.88 runs and a .694 OPS. It has clearly been an up-and-down run at the start for Philly.

The Marlins know a thing or two about offensive struggles considering they’ve been blanked in back-to-back outings. They have to find their bats if they have any hope of keeping this series from looking like last time.

Best Bets for this Game

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Nothing has changed but the backdrop in this matchup.

The Mets have still been playing like one of the worst offensive teams in baseball. They’re averaging the third-fewest runs and the second-fewest home runs heading into this meeting. There isn’t anything about them that should scare the Phillies.

They’ve already stared down David Peterson on the mound once this season, and they cut him down to size by heaping seven hits and six earned runs in four innings against him. The opportunity to hit against him again should have the Phillies’ lineup licking their chops for a chance to run up the scoreboard.

Chase Anderson and the Phillies’ bullpen will be good enough to keep New York’s bats in check. Unfortunately for the Mets, I can’t say the same for Peterson. Things won’t get as bad as his previous outing, but he’ll let things slip away just enough for the Phillies to continue to have their number.

Don’t sleep on the live underdog in this one. I’m taking the Phillies.

Prediction: Philadelphia Phillies (+127)

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The Mets will come out stronger than expected with this game being at Citi Field. Call it familiarity, home cooking or whatever—it really doesn’t matter. They will find a way to limit the Phillies offensively at home. Granted, it won’t be enough to keep them from coming out on the losing end in their fourth meeting with their NL East rivals. But it will be enough to keep the total from getting out of hand. The Mets have been a walking headache offensively with the team being shut out in Saturday’s meeting with the Marlins ahead of Sunday’s rainout. I’m not putting my scoring hopes on that team. Give me the under in this one.

Prediction: Under (8.5)
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Written By Jordy McElroy , "Jordy"

Born in Germany and raised in the beautiful state of Tennessee, Jordy McElroy is a storyteller of sports, a sports betting enthusiast, and a semi-deep thinker. Being a New England Patriots fan means he's a six-time Super Bowl winner as well, which means you'd have to be a fool to ignore his advice. Prior to joining our team here at Winners & Whiners, Jordy’s work appeared on CNN.com, FOX Sports, Bleacher Report, USA TODAY, and BJPenn.com. There are no beaches where he comes from -- just rolling hills, green valleys, and all the Sun Drop you can drink.