Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#1977 Detroit Tigers vs.
#1978 Houston Astros
Tuesday, April 13, 2021 at 8:10pm EDT
Written by Blake V.

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Detroit will be looking to pull off a second consecutive upset when it faces Houston in the second game of a three-game set on Tuesday night. The Tigers snapped a four-game losing skid with their 6-2 win on Monday. Houston has now lost three games in a row and has dropped out of first place in the American League West.

Tigers looking for another upset

Detroit got off to a 2-0 start this season when it notched consecutive wins over Cleveland, but it lost six of its next seven games. The Tigers were swept by the Indians in a rematch over the weekend. They bounced back from their four-game skid with Monday’s 6-2 win. Detroit scored two runs in the second, third and fifth innings. The Tigers held Houston off the scoreboard until the eighth frame. First baseman Renato Nunez led Detroit with a 2-for-5 day at the plate, scoring two runs in the process. He hit a solo homer in the third inning.

The Tigers are No. 28 in the MLB in team batting average at .197, so offense has been a struggle. Third baseman Jose Candelario leads the team with 10 hits and a .270 average. Left-handed pitcher Matthew Boyd is going to start for Detroit on Tuesday night. He is off to a nice start this season. Boyd allowed just three hits across 5.2 shutout innings in a win over Cleveland to open the season. He gave up three runs on seven hits in 7.0 innings against Minnesota last week. Boyd has a 5.91 ERA in four career starts against the Astros.

Astros bats go quiet

Houston was red-hot out of the gates this season, sweeping Oakland in a four-game set to grab the early lead in the AL West. The Astros split their series with the Angels before picking up another win over the Athletics to improve to 6-1 on the season. They have not been able to maintain that pace, though, losing their final two games against Oakland and then falling in Monday’s series opener. Los Angeles now has a one-game lead in the AL West standings after Monday’s games. The Astros have excellent numbers offensively due to their hot start, ranking fourth in batting average (.280).

They are led by first baseman Yuri Gurriel, who has 14 hits and nine walks. He is hitting a blazing .400 and has only struck out four times. Carlos Correa and Jose Altuve each have 13 hits. They are facing a Detroit pitching staff that is No. 29 in the MLB with a team ERA of 6.04. Right-handed pitcher Jake Odorizzi is expected to start for the Astros on Tuesday. Odorizzi signed with the Astros on March 8 and has not started a game this season. He only thew 13.2 innings with the Twins last season due to three different stints on the injured list. Odorizzi is reportedly fully healthy coming into this start.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

I think we are getting a lot of value on a juicy underdog in this game. Detroit is coming into this one with some confidence after putting together a complete performance on Monday. Boyd has looked sharp in both of his outings this season and Houston’s offense has really cooled off. The metrics are making the Astros too big of a favorite based on their offensive explosion in the opening series against Oakland. Odorizzi has not started a game this season and dealt with some serious injury issues last year. I’ll take a stab on the Tigers as a big underdog.

Prediction: Detroit +165

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:

Rating:

Detroit has been going under the total all season, with seven of its 11 games cashing under tickets for bettors. The Tigers are going to be looking for another solid outing from Boyd on Tuesday. Just as Houston’s early-season explosion has led to an expensive moneyline price, it has also led to a total that is too large. The Astros offense has cooled off over the last few days. Detroit is one of the worst offensive teams in the MLB, so this is shaping up to be a low-scoring game.

Prediction: Under 9
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Written By Blake Von Hagen , "Blake V."

Blake is a lifelong sports fan and hoops junkie. Prior to joining our team at Winners & Whiners and StatSalt, Blake worked for several newspapers and websites. He enjoys combining his beat writing expertise with the knack for finding the winning edge in a matchup. Remember, it’s a marathon, not a sprint.