Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#915 Los Angeles Angels -125 vs.
#916 Texas Rangers 10.5
Monday, April 15, 2019 at 8:05pm EDT
Written by Nick Raffoul

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The L.A. Angels will travel on the road to Globe  Life Park on Monday as they open the week with a three-game series versus the Texas Rangers.

The Angels should be well-rested for this series after their series finale against the Chicago Cubs was postponed on Sunday. The Halos also got some good news over the weekend, as it was announced that center fielder Mike Trout will rejoin the Angels in Texas after making progress in his recovery from a groin injury. Can Trout and the Angels keep their momentum going on the road against the Rangers on Monday?

Trout to rejoin Angels in Texas

The Halos are scheduled to turn to veteran right-hander Trevor Cahill, who will be making his fourth start in a Halos’ uniform after his outing on Sunday was postponed. The 31-year-old comes in with a 1-1 overall record to go along with a 3.50 ERA so far this season. He’s completed at least six innings in each of his first three outings and has quality starts in each of his last two. Cahill is fresh off of arguably his best game of the year, allowing two earned runs on five hits, while striking out eight batters and walking just one to notch his first win of the year in a 5-2 victory over the Milwaukee Brewers.

Cahill is no stranger to pitching against the Rangers and he made three starts versus the Rangers last season, finishing 1-0 with a 7.82 ERA in 12 ⅔ innings of work. He is 2-0 with a 5.50 ERA against Texas in four starts since 2016 and the Angels’ right-hander sports a career 11-4 overall record to go along with a lifetime 3.22 versus Texas.

According to Baseball Savant, the current Rangers’ roster is batting .280 in 181 at-bats versus Cahill. StatCast data favors him too, predicting a .189 batting average and an expected slugging percentage of only .237 for Texas heading into Monday’s matchup. The Angels enter the week ranked 22nd in runs scored with 59 through their first 15 regular season games. The Halos are also slashing .215/.302/.348 at the plate as a team with 15 home runs.

Miller trying to revive career with Rangers

After two injury-marred seasons, Texas will send right-hander Shelby Miller to the hill at Globe Life Park for his third start for the Rangers. Miller has failed to make it through the fourth inning in either of his last two outings while flashing the same control problems that have plagued him throughout the last few seasons. Miller has more than twice as many walks (8) as strikeouts (3) so far this year, which has contributed to his 9.52 ERA and a 3.18 WHIP through 5 ⅔ combined innings of work.

Miller has made two career starts versus the Halos, posting a 1-1 overall record to go along with a 6.75 ERA and a 1.75 WHIP in those matchups. According to Baseball Savant, the current Angels’ roster is batting .354 in 87 career plate appearances off of Miller. StatCast data pegs the Angels lineup for an expected batting average of .330 and an expected weighted on-base percentage of .420 off of Miller heading into Monday’s start. 

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The Angels have won seven of their last eight games and will get back Trout for this series. Los Angeles is 8-1 in the last nine meetings in this series and with Miller on the mound for the Rangers on Monday, it is hard to see them stopping that trend. In fact, Miller hasn’t looked the part of a competent Big League pitcher since he left the Atlanta Braves in 2015 and his numbers through two starts this year have been awful. Take the Halos to open their series at Globe Life Park with a win on Monday night.

Prediction: L.A. Angels

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These two teams have stayed under the projected total in 16 of their last 21 meetings. The Rangers have gone under in four of their last five Monday games and four of their last five games versus a starter with a WHIP of less than 1.15. Meanwhile, the under is 12-3-1 in the Angels’ last 17 game versus AL West opponents and 15-5-2 in their last 22 games overall. Take this AL West showdown to go under the projected total in Texas on Monday.

Prediction: Under

Written By Nick Raffoul

Shortly after graduating with an Honors in Business Administration, Nick turned his attention from traditional stocks and bonds to investing in the performance of sports teams. He uses a combination of advanced stats and historical data to create sports investment models to identify value and generate consistent profits.