Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#901 New York Mets 7.5 vs.
#902 Philadelphia Phillies -115
Monday, April 15, 2019 at 7:05pm EDT
Written by David Hess



#901 New York
#902 Philadelphia


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Major League baseball action on Monday evening and a pair of teams from the National League East will square off as the New York Mets grapple with the Philadelphia Phillies. This is game one of a three-game series from Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA. The Mets won the series 11-8 last year.

Pitching Matchup: The Mets will trot out Noah Syndergaard (1-1, 4.74 ERA) and the Phillies will counter with Aaron Nola (1-0, 6.46 ERA).

Jacob deGrom Is struggling

The New York Mets are off to a solid start this year overall as they have gone 9-6 through their first 15 games. Still, they come in having lost their last two games in a row. The Mets are off a four-game series in Atlanta and after winning the first two games of that series, they fell 11-7 in game three and then on Sunday night, they fell by a score of 7-3. Taking the loss in that game was Jacob deGrom, who allowed three ERs on five hits and four walks while striking out nine in 5.0 innings of work. The reigning NL Cy Young award winner has now allowed nine ERs in 9.0 innings of work over his last two starts after allowing zero earned runs, eight hits, and four walks while striking out 24 in 13 innings over his first two starts.  deGrom is 2-2 with a 3.68 ERA on the year. The Mets did pound out 11 hits in the loss but were able to score just the three runs. J.D. Davis (3) hit their lone homer. The Mets are currently 0.5 games out of first in the NL East.

Toeing the rubber for the Mets will be Noah Syndergaard, who has gone 1-1 with a 4.74 ERA in three starts on the year. He has allowed 10 ERs on 13 hits and two walks while striking out 20 in 19 innings of work so far. In his career, he has gone 15-12 with a 3.32 ERA in 42 starts on the road and 6-3 with a 3.01 ERA in 18 starts during March/ April. Syndergaard is 5-3 with a 3.23 ERA in 10 starts against the Phillies, including 2-2 with a 3.80 ERA in five starts here at Citizens Bank Park.

The Mets have been a strong offensive team so far as they come in ranked 3rd in the league in scoring, putting up 6.29 rpg, while also ranking 7th in hitting at .266 and 16th in homers with 18. On the mound, they have been rather poor as they come in ranked 23rd in the league in ERA at 5.28, while also ranking 24th in WHIP at 1.46 and 9th in K’s with 142. The bullpen ranks 26th in the league with a 6.18 ERA.

Phillies Bullpen Has Strong OUting In Miami

The Philadelphia Phillies had a hot start to their season, but they have struggled a bit of late. They do come in having won two of three in Miami, but still, they have won just two of their last five games. They will hope to build some momentum at home and at the same time put a little distance between themselves and the Mets in the National League East. The Phils currently have a half a game lead over the Mets. On Sunday afternoon, the Phils topped the Marlins by a score of 3-1 in 14 innings. The big news in the game was the strong play of their bullpen, which had been struggling this year. That pen threw eight shutout innings and allowed just three hits and two walks while striking 14 in the process. Victor Arano had six of those Ks in the two innings he was in there and he picked up the win to move to 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA in the year. Vince Velasquez had a nice start as he allowed just one ER on two hits and three walks while striking out four in 6.0 innings of work. The offense had 12 hits in the game and the big one was a two-run homer by Juan Segura in the top of the 14th, which was the game-winner. It was his 1st of the year and the first extra-inning homer in his career.

Toeing the rubber for the Phillies will be ace Aaron Nola, who has gone 1-0 with a 6.46 ERA in three starts on the year. He has allowed 12 runs (11 earned) on 14 hits and eight walks while striking out 13 in 15.1 innings of work. In his career, he has gone 25-14 with a 3.11 ERA in 48 starts here at Citizens Bank Park and 7-3 with a 3.77 ERA in 17 starts during March/ April. Nola has gone 6-1 with a 3.35 ERA in nine career starts against the Mets.

The Phillies have been a good offensive team so far as they come in ranked 6th in the league in scoring, putting up 5.64 rpg, while also ranking 15th in hitting at .249 and 11th in homers with 20. On the mound, they have been below average as they come in ranked 18th in the league in ERA at 4.71, while also ranking 19th in WHIP at 1.36 and 21st in Ks with 123. The bullpen ranks 21st in the league with a 4.64 ERA.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:


I will side with the Phillies in this one. They have struggled since their hot start and Aaron Nola has not been at his best this year, but he is due and the Mets may be a bit tired as they played the Sunday night game. The Phillies played a 14 game on Sunday, but they have had a little extra rest than the Mets. Nola is 6-1 in his career against the Mets and the Phillies have won his last five starts against them, while Noah Syndergaard is just 2-2 with a 3.80 ERA in five starts in this park. Look for the Phillies to grab the opening game of this three-game set.

Prediction: Philadelphia -115

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:


I will look for this game to go Under the total. Neither starter has pitched all that well in the early going, but both are capable of turning things around at any moment and both are certainly due. The Under is 8-3 in Syndergaard’s last 11 starts with 4 days of rest. and 11-2 in Phillies last 13 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.

Prediction: Under 7.5

Written By David Hess

I have always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so I combined the two to become a handicapper and a blogger. I love sports and I love writing about them and all the info I put in my blogs is well-thought-out and well-researched. I am a big fan of all the major sports and the colleges, plus I know golf pretty well, tennis and the WNBA. I am very versatile. Hope you enjoy my content.