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Chicago White Sox vs. Oakland Athletics,
4-16-2018 - Pick and Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#919 Chicago
White Sox 8.5
#920 Oakland
A's -140

Monday, April 16, 2018 at 10:05pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Chicago White Sox
R. LOPEZ

4 - 8

0
W's
1
L's
0.69
ERA
0.85
WHIP

Oakland A's
D. MENGDEN

6 - 10

1
W's
2
L's
6.19
ERA
1.31
WHIP

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Major League Baseball action on Monday evening and the American League Central will square off with the American League West was the well-rested Chicago White Sox grapple with the Oakland A’s at the Oakland Coliseum in Oakland, California in game one of a three-game series. The A’s won five of the six meetings between these teams last year. Pitching Probables: Reynaldo Lopez (0-1, 0.69 ERA) will get the nod for the White Sox and the A’s will counter with Daniel Mengden (1-2, 6.19 ERA).

White Sox Should Be Well Rested

Normally a team won’t have three extra days off in a row unless it is the all-star break, but the Chicago White Sox just had three games in a row against the Twins rained out. This team should be well rested and they hope that it will help them regroup, especially since they had lost eight of their last 10 games. The last game they played was game one of the Minnesota series and they lost that game by a score of 4-0. The offense was really expected to take off for the Sox and it did start out well, but they have struggled at the plate of late as they have averaged just 2.00 rpg over their last six games, after putting up 6.00 rpg over their first six games. The pitching has been really bad in the early going, so if they hope to get back in the playoff race, then they will need their offense to look more like the one it was in their first six games. Taking the loss in the Minnesota game was Luis Giolito, who allowed four runs (three earned) on five hits and five walks while striking out just three in 6.1 innings of work to fall to 0-2 with a 5/50 ERA on the year.   

Toeing the rubber for the White Sox will be Reynaldo Lopez, who has gone 0-1 with a 0.69 ERA and a 0.85 WHIP in two starts this year. He has allowed just one ER on four hits and seven walks while striking out 11 in 13 innings of work in the two starts. In his career, he has gone 4-3 with a 5.03 ERA in 10 games (eight starts) on the road and he will be facing the A’s for the first time in his career.

The White Sox have been below average on offense so far as they enter this game ranked 17th in the league in scoring, putting up 4.00 rpg, while also ranking 16th in hitting at .234 and 11th in homers with 17. On the mound, they have been poor in the early going as they enter this contest ranked 25th in the league in ERA at 4.92, while also ranking 27th in WHIP at 1.50 and 30th in K’s with 86.

Manaea Helps A’s Salvage One In Seattle

The Oakland As come home off a seven-game road trip, in which they went just 3-5 on. Their last series was against the Seattle Mariners and after losing the first two of that series, they were able to salvage a game with a 2-1 win on Sunday afternoon. The A’s have had a good offense this year, but the pitching has been very poor, especially of late. The A’s came into their game on Sunday having allowed 7.00 rpg through their first seven games of the road, but Sean Manaea stepped up in the final game of the trip as he allowed just one ER on two hits and two walks while striking out four in 7.0 innings of work in the win. He is now 2-2 with a 1.63 ERA on the year and has been by far the best starter for the A’s in the early going. The offense for the A’s came off the bat of Jed Lowrie, who hit a two-run homer just three batters into the game. It was his 4th homer of the year. Blake Treinen got the save and it was his 3rd of the year.

Daniel Mengden will toe the rubber for the A’s will be Daniel Mengden, who has gone 1-2 with a 6.19 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP in three starts this year, including 0-2 with a 6.55 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP in two starts here at home. In his career, he has gone 0-10 with a 6.45 ERA in 13 starts here at the Coliseum and will be facing the White Sox for the first time in his career.

The A’s have been a bit above average on offense so far as they rank 13th in the league in scoring, putting up 4.62 rpg, while also ranking 5th in hitting at .261 and 4th in homers with 22. On the mound, they have been poor as they come in ranked 25th in the league in ERA at 4.79, while also ranking 22nd in WHIP at 1.35 and 26th in K’s with 103.  

Trends

Chicago is:

  • 16-36 in their last 52 road games vs. a right-handed starter
  • 22-49 in their last 71 road games overall

Oakland is:

  • 4-1 in their last five vs. the American League Central
  • 9-3 in their last 12 home games vs. a right-handed starter

The Chicago White Sox have had three extra days off and they are hoping to get on track after a rough start to the year. Reynaldo Lopez has pitched very well for the Sox in the early going, but still, he doesn’t have much of an offense or even a decent bullpen behind him. That pen is well rested, but still, it carries a 5.35 ERA into this game, which is 26th in the league. Daniel Mengden has struggled on the mound this year with a 6.19 ERA, but he does have the far better offense behind him. The A’s have averaged a solid 5.50 rpg over their last 10 games, while the White Sox have put up just 2.00 rpg over their last six. Most of the edges point to the A’s in this one and that is the way I will roll here.

Pick: Oakland -140

Daniel Mengden has a 6.19 ERA on the year, but will this Chicago offense that has averaged just 2.00 rpg over their last six games be able to get to him? The A’s have a very good offense, but Reynaldo Lopez has a 0.69 ERA so far this year. Something has to give in this game. I feel that we will see a high scoring game. The White Sox should get their offense back on track some against Mengden and we do note that they did average 6.00 rpg over their first six games. The A’s have been hot offensively and we cannot expect Lopez to carry a 0.69 ERA the whole season, plus he has one of the worst pens in the league behind him. Let’s go with the Over here and the clincher is the fact that the Over is 22-3-2 in Oakland’s last 27 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.

Pick: Over 8.5

Confidence: 3

David Hess (@DavidHess311)

I have always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so I combined the two to become a handicapper and a blogger. I love sports and I love writing about them and all the info I put in my blogs is well-thought-out and well-researched. I am a big fan of all the major sports and the colleges, plus I know golf pretty well, tennis and the WNBA. I am very versatile. Hope you enjoy my content.

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