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Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers,
4-16-2018 - Expert Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#907 Cincinnati
Reds 8.5
#908 Milwaukee
Brewers -130

Monday, April 16, 2018 at 7:40pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Cincinnati Reds
L. CASTILLO

2 - 13

0
W's
2
L's
7.31
ERA
1.31
WHIP

Milwaukee Brewers
B. SUTER

8 - 8

1
W's
1
L's
4.7
ERA
1.44
WHIP

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Cincinnati Reds (2-13 SU, 2-13 RL, 6-9 O/U) vs. Milwaukee Brewers (8-8 SU, 8-8 RL, 7-9 O/U)

MLB: Monday, April 16, 2018 at 4:10 p.m. EST

The Milwaukee Brewers and Cincinnati Reds will begin a three-game series when they square off at Miller Park in Milwaukee on Monday night. Cincinnati is the worst team in Major League Baseball (even worse than Miami), with a 2-13 record that includes eight consecutive losses. The Brewers are an even 8-8 after going 3-3 on a recent six-game road trip.

Worst in the business

The Reds’ eight-game skid has left them comfortably in the cellar of the National League Central. They have not even held a lead in a ridiculous 32 innings and have been battered on the scoreboard to the tune of 48-19 during this losing skid. Adam Duvall knocked a solo homer among his two hits in Sunday’s 3-2 setback against St. Louis, improving to 4-for-11 in his last three games after going 1-for-22 with 11 strikeouts in his previous seven.

Right-hander Luis Castillo (0-2, 7.31 ERA) is taking the mound for Cincinnati on Monday. Castillo overcame surrendering two homers for the second time in three starts to escape with a no-decision versus Philadelphia last Wednesday. He allowed season-low totals in runs (three) and hits (five) while failing to walk a batter in that outing. Orlando Arcia and Travis Shaw are both 2-for-5 versus Castillo, but he has limited the remainder of the Brewers’ roster to going 3-for-30 with 12 strikeouts while posting a 1-0 mark with a 1.98 ERA in two encounters against the club in 2017.

Early inconsistency

Although Miller Park hasn’t been kind to Milwaukee this season, basically all venues have been a nightmare for the reds. On Monday the Brewers will look for just their third home win in eight outings when they host the worst team in baseball. They snapped the Mets’ nine-game winning streak on Saturday, but those good feelings were lost in the cold the following day as they sustained their eighth loss in 13 outings–victimized by a New York walk-off homer in the finale. Adding insult to injury, Eric Thames (team-leading five homers) exited Sunday’s contest in the third inning with an ailing groin and Ryan Braun (club-best eight RBIs)–who is another option at first base–is plagued by a balky back that forced him to sit out the finale.

Brent Suter (1-1, 4.70 ERA) will oppose Castillo on Monday. Like his Cincinnati counterpart, Suter also authored his best start of the young season in his last outing as he allowed one run on four hits in 5.1 innings of a no-decision at St. Louis last Tuesday. The left-hander kept the ball in the park for the second straight trip to the mound and surrendered just one walk after issuing three in his previous start. Joey Votto is 3-for-6 with two doubles against Suter, but the 28-year-old has kept Billy Hamilton (1-for-7, four strikeouts) and Duvall (1-for-6) in check.

MLB Trends:

The Cincinnati Reds are:

  • 17-35 in their last 52 overall
  • 23-53 in their last 76 road games
  • 18-47 in their last 65 games against left-handed starters

The Milwaukee Brewers are:

  • 18-8 in their last 26 games against right-handed starters
  • 7-2 in Suter’s last nine starts
  • 5-1 in Suter’s last six home starts

Cincinnati’s eight-game slide is one short of its longest losing streak throughout all of last season. Hamilton, who homered on Sunday, batted just .171 with 24 strikeouts in 76 at-bats against Milwaukee in 2017. Brewers’ outfielder Domingo Santana is 8-for-25 with three runs scored during his six-game hitting streak. The Reds are 17-35 in their last 52 overall, 23-53 in their last 76 on the road, 18-47 in their last 65 against left-handed starters, 14-42 in their last 56 on the road against left-handed starters, 1-8 in their last nine series openers, 0-4 in their last four against the National League Central, and 2-5 in Castillo’s last seven starts. Milwaukee is 18-8 in its last 26 against right-handed starters, 7-2 in Suter’s last nine starts, 5-1 in his last six home starts, and 4-1 in its last five at home against Cincinnati. Look  for those trends to continue.

Pick: Milwaukee Brewers

Ricky Dimon

A 2006 graduate of Davidson College, Ricky is a freelance sports writer based in Atlanta, Georgia. He has previously worked with various websites in the sports handicapping industry and is generally a fan of going with the hot hand while in most cases showing a willingness to take favorites and give the points. Beyond the four major sports, Ricky is an avid tennis fan—and writer—and covers the ATP Tour on a daily basis.

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