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Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates,
4-16-2018 - Expert Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#901 Colorado
Rockies 8.5
#902 Pittsburgh
Pirates -125

Monday, April 16, 2018 at 7:05pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Colorado Rockies

9 - 8


Pittsburgh Pirates

11 - 4


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The Colorado Rockies will head on the road to PNC Park for the first game of their three-game series against the Pittsburgh Pirates.

The Pirates are off to a surprising start in 2018. Pittsburgh comes in with an 11-4 overall record and a 2.5-game lead in the NL Central standings.

Marquez dominant vs. Bucs in 2017

The Rockies will send right-hander German Marquez to the hill for Game 1 at PNC Park on Monday evening. Marquez was having a solid outing in his previous start against the Padres before being ejected for his participation in a bench-clearing fracas that erupted during the third inning.

Marquez has won both of his career starts against the Pirates. Both of those starts came in 2017, when he tossed 12 innings of three run ball against Pittsburgh, striking out 11 batters and allowing just seven hits in the process. He tossed five innings of one-run ball in his only start at PNC Park last year.

Marquez has traditionally been a tick better on the road throughout his career with the Rockies. He performed well in his only road start of 2018, shutting down the DBacks in five innings of work at Chase Field. Marquez allowed just one unearned run on four hits in that game, but came away with a tough luck no-decision.

Brault looking to keep personal win streak alive

Seven Brault is slated to take the ball for the Pirates in their series opener against the Rockies. He will be looking to bounce back after surrendering four runs in five innings of work in a no-decision against the Cubs. The Pirates’ right-hander has a personal winning streak in tact. Brault has won three straight decisions and has not lost one since Sept. 14, 2016.

Brault comes in with a 2-0 record to go along with a 3.46 ERA through three starts so far this season. He’s allowed just five innings over 13 innings of work, with four of those coming in his last start.

Brault made one relief appearance against the Rockies last season, allowed two runs on two hits and a walk in one inning of work. The 25-year-old has been much better at home over the past two seasons. He has a 4.02 ERA at PNC Park compared to a 5.40 ERA on the road since 2016.



  • Rockies are 6-0 in Marquez’s last 6 starts vs. National League Central.
  • Rockies are 9-1 in Marquez’s last 10 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.


  • Pirates are 6-14 in their last 20 vs. National League West.
  • Pirates are 2-5 in their last 7 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.

The Rockies have struggled traditionally in this series, winning just six times in their last 21 matchups. However, Marquez performed very well in his two starts against the Bucs in 2017, so I’m going to roll with the Rockies in this spot. Marquez went 2-0 and allowed just three total runs against the Pirates in 2017. He also pitched well at PNC Park, so take the Rockies with confidence in Game 1 of their series at PNC Park on Monday night.

Pick: Colorado Rockies

Nick Raffoul

Shortly after graduating with an Honors in Business Administration, Nick turned his attention from traditional stocks and bonds to investing in the performance of sports teams. He uses a combination of advanced stats and historical data to create sports investment models to identify value and generate consistent profits.


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