Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#965 Boston Red Sox 8 vs.
#966 New York Yankees -110
Tuesday, April 16, 2019 at 6:35pm EDT
Written by Adam Rauzino

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The New York Yankees will host the Boston Red Sox in an AL East showdown Tuesday evening from Yankee Stadium. The Red Sox will give the starting nod to 30-year old left-hander Chris Sale, and the Yankees will send 30-year old left-hander James Paxton to the mound. The Red Sox won last year’s regular season series 10-9 over the Yankees, and they also defeated New York in the ALDS.

Sale Charged with Three Losses in First Three Starts

Red Sox’ starter Chris Sale has struggled through his first three starts of the season. Sale served up five runs in four innings against the Blue Jays in his previous start, leading to the loss to drop his record to 0-3. The 6-foot-6 menacing left-hander allowed seven runs to Seattle in his season debut, and he has conceded 13 runs in 13 innings logged on the season. Sale was outstanding in his two starts against the Yankees last season, limiting them to one run in 13 innings, and he features a 6-4 record with a minuscule 1.61 ERA in 100.2 career innings against the AL Rivals.  

Xander Bogaerts is on a roll at the dish, collecting seven hits and six RBI’s in his last five games. The seventh-year shortstop features a stellar .413 on-base percentage, and he is currently hitting .308 with two homers and eight RBI’s. Bogaerts went 10 for 48 with four RBI’s against the Yankees last season. Boston is struggling on the road this season where they own a 3-8 record.

The Red Sox are averaging 4.56 runs per game, ranking them 18th in the Majors. The Boston pitching staff is having issues, carrying a 5.86 team ERA, positioning them 26th in the Major Leagues.

Paxton Struggles in Two Straight Starts

James Paxton will take the mound for the fourth time of the season, aiming for his second win. Paxton was hit hard by the Astros in his previous start, conceding five runs including two home runs in four innings, leading to the loss to drop his record to 1-2. The seventh-year right-hander hasn’t been sharp in two straight starts, and he has allowed 11 runs (10 earned) in 15 innings logged on the season. He squandered six runs in 2.1 innings in his lone meeting against Boston last season, and he features a 2-0 record with a terrific 2.49 ERA in four career starts against the AL East foes. JD Martinez is 4 for 8 against Paxton, while Mookie Betts is 3 for 12, and Xander Bogaerts is 2 for 8.

Luke Voit is consistently contributing, accumulating nine RBI’s in his last nine games. The 28-year old first baseman is only hitting .204, but he does have four home runs and 14 RBI’s on the season. Voit made his presence felt in a big way against the Red Sox last season, clubbing five home runs along with eight RBI’s in 22 at bats. The Yankees have a good portion of their lineup on the DL. Gary Sanchez, Didi Gregorius, Miguel Andujar, Giancarlo Stanton, and Aaron Hicks are all on the injured list.

The Yankees are averaging 4.87 runs per game on the season, ranking them 16th in the Major Leagues. The New York pitching staff features a strong 4.04 team ERA, placing them 12th overall. The Yankees hold a 3-6 record at Yankee Stadium this season.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

I am siding with the Red Sox in this contest. The Yankees lineup isn’t looking nearly as dangerous right now as they are dealing with a plethora of injuries which includes Stanton, Andujar, and Gary Sanchez to name a few. New York’s depleted lineup has resulted in them losing five out of their last six games.

Furthermore, Red Sox’ starter Chris Sale has silenced the Yankees in his career, sporting a dazzling 1.61 ERA in 100.2 head-to-head innings. Lastly, the Yankees have dropped four out of their last five home games.

Prediction: Boston Red Sox

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:

Rating:

I anticipate a pitchers’ duel in this matchup. Chris Sale owns solid career numbers against the Yankees, and he also features a stellar 1.86 ERA in his 48.1 career innings pitched at Yankee Stadium. Also, the under is 5-1 in the Yankees’ last six home games.

In addition, James Paxton holds a strong 2.49 ERA in four career starts against the Red Sox, so he should at least limit the damage. The under is 8-1 in the Yankees’ last 11 Tuesday games, and I expect it to convert in this one.

Prediction: Under

Full-Game Prop Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

The under on the Yankees team total is a strong play. The Yankees are hitting a terrible .196 with only nine runs scored in 92 at-bats against left-handed pitching this season, giving me confidence backing Chris Sale. Also, the Yankees’ depleted lineup will have a tough task solving ace Chris Sale.

Prediction: Yankees Team Total Under

First Five Innings Prop Prediction

Insiders Status:

Rating:

I anticipate a scoreless first inning. The Red Sox have only scored seven runs in the first inning in 17 games this season, and New York has plated nine runs. Also,  Sale has only conceded one run in the first inning through his first three starts.

Prediction: A Run in the First Inning No

Written By Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about about various sports as well as personal finance. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.