Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#963 Cincinnati Reds 8.5 vs.
#964 Los Angeles Dodgers -175
Tuesday, April 16, 2019 at 10:10pm EDT
Written by Chris Altruda

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Cincinnati Reds at Los Angeles Dodgers

When and Where: Tuesday, April 16, Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, Calif., 10:10 p.m. EDT.

A run, any run, will do for Tyler Mahle.

The Reds pitcher looks to continue his stellar start and get run support for the first time this season Tuesday night when Cincinnati continues its three-game series against the Los Angeles Dodgers.

Mahle off to impressive start

Something has clearly clicked for Mahle (0-0, 0.82 ERA) to start his second full season in the Reds rotation, as the right-hander has allowed only a solo homer and six other hits over 11 innings while striking out 12 in his first two outings of 2019.

Mahle’s lone mistake in five innings Wednesday against Miami was the third-inning homer to Neil Walker. The Reds got him off the hook for the loss by rallying late for a 2-1 victory, but they have yet to score a run for the righty while he’s been on the mound.

“Talk about competing, that’s exactly what he did,” manager David Bell told the Cincinnati Enquirer after Mahle walked four and struck out seven. “It wasn’t easy for him but he actually continued to get better. He was stronger at the end, which I know he has a tendency to do that. It’s a great quality.”

Bell has been cautious with Mahle, who did not throw 90 pitches in either start. He has held opponents to a .187 batting average and two extra-base hits thus far, clear improvements after serving up 22 gopher balls in 112 innings as a rookie last year.

Mahle had a solid outing in beating Los Angeles last year in his only appearance versus the Dodgers, conceding an unearned run and three hits while walking four in five innings of a 4-1 Reds win.

Maeda looks to shake off rough outing for Dodgers

Kenta Madea (2-1, 4.76) endured a rough start like most of the Dodgers’ rotation in their recently ended six-game losing streak, getting reached for five runs and seven hits of a 7-2 loss at St. Louis on Wednesday. The big blow was a two-run homer that capped a three-run sixth for the Cardinals and ended his evening.

Maeda has split two-lifetime starts versus the Reds, losing the lone outing last year when he gave up five runs and nine hits in 4 2-3 innings of a 7-2 defeat at home. The righty also picked up a save versus Cincinnati in his first career matchup in 2017.

He will be happy to avoid facing injured Reds second baseman Scooter Gennett, who is 5 for 11 with a pair of homers in their meetings. Joey Votto has also taken him deep once while going 2 for 5.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

This is a hedge Mahle continues his strong start and keeps the Reds in this game into the late innings. Despite Monday’s walkoff loss, the Reds continue to battle to the end of games and should again keep this one close, hence taking the 1.5 runs. The young righty has pitched well thus far, and Cincinnati should be in contention.

Prediction: Reds +1.5 runs (-135)

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:

Rating:

Again backing Mahle to pitch well as the Dodgers showed some cracks in their offense during that losing streak, getting held to three or runs on four occasions. Cincinnati, while playing better, is still not consistent enough offensively where it can rough up Maeda despite him coming off a subpar outing. This line ticking one-half run higher is enough to increase confidence in the under delivering for the second straight night.

Prediction: UNDER 8.5 runs (-115)

Full-Game Prop Bet

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Rating:

The Dodgers have not played above 23 in their last three games while the Reds have played to 22 and under in four of their last five. The hedge is the trend continues for both after playing to 20 on Monday night — with six of those coming in the ninth inning.

Prediction: UNDER 26.5 runs+hits+errors (-115)

First Five Innings Side Pick

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Rating:

Getting plus money and a half-run with Mahle’s early season form is too good to not take a flyer on as a value pick, though the +165 on the straight money line for the Reds also intrigues. Either pick is good, but with the Reds not scoring all that much for Mahle, grabbing the half-run is prudent.

Prediction: Reds +0.5 runs (+110)

First Five Innings Total Bet

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Rating:

This goes against a trend for the Dodgers, who have not had a five-inning under hit in five games, but there is confidence in Mahle as well as Maeda having a bounce-back start, and the hook helps after the teams played to a four-run push in the series opener Monday night.

Prediction: UNDER 4.5 runs (-105)

First Five Innings Prop Prediction

Insiders Status:

Rating:

Mahle has gotten through his first two starts without giving up a first-inning hit, while Maeda’s only mistake in three was a solo homer in his season debut. Despite the teams accounting for three first-inning runs Monday night, the pick is for this game to be 0-0 after the opening frame.

Prediction: NO to 1st-inning run (-125)

Written By Chris Altruda

A 1994 graduate of Marquette University when they were known as the Warriors and Brooklyn native, Chris Altruda is a freelance sportswriter based in Chicago. He has worked at three major U.S. wire services and also has prior experience in sports handicapping and daily fantasy roster building. Now that the Cubs have won a World Series, he holds out hope the Jets will win a Super Bowl before he dies. Can be followed on Twitter at @AlTruda73.