Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#959 St. Louis Cardinals Cardinals 9 vs.
#960 Milwaukee Brewers -120
Tuesday, April 16, 2019 at 7:40pm EDT
Written by Chris Kubala

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Teams
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W/L
S Pitcher
W/L
ERA
WHIP
#959 St. Louis Cardinals
#960 Milwaukee
9-7
11-6
J. FLAHERTY
B. WOODRUFF
1-0
1-1
2.94
6
1.24
1.33

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A pair of NL Central rivals continue an early week set in Brew City. The St. Louis Cardinals play the second game of a three-game series with the Milwaukee Brewers Tuesday night. St. Louis split a two-game set with the Reds in Mexico as they won 9-5 on Sunday afternoon. Milwaukee took two of three from the Dodgers on the road though they were dumped 7-1 in the series finale Sunday afternoon. The pitching matchup for Monday’s series opener saw Dakota Hudson take the mound for St. Louis against Milwaukee’s Freddy Peralta. First pitch in that contest was set for 7:40 pm ET.

St. Louis Cardinals Look to Gain Ground in NL Central Race

St. Louis earned a split of their two-game series in Mexico against the Reds as they prevailed in the series finale Sunday. The Cardinals entered Monday’s opener half a game behind the Brewers in the NL Central race. Marcell Ozuna (two runs, four RBI), Dexter Fowler (run) and Tyler O’Neill (two runs, RBI) each had two hits in the victory. Ozuna (his fourth and fifth) homered twice while Matt Carpenter (his second) and O’Neill (his first) all went deep in the win. Miles Mikolas recorded a no-decision in the contest. He threw five innings, allowing four runs (three earned) on seven hits with a walk and three strikeouts. John Gant (1-0) threw a scoreless inning of relief to earn the win. Jordan Hicks threw 1.1 innings, allowing a hit and striking out three, for his third save.

Jack Flaherty takes the mound for his fourth start of the season for the Cardinals in this contest. He is 1-0 with a 2.93 ERA, a 1.239 WHIP, three walks and 18 strikeouts over 15.1 innings of work this season. Flaherty earned the win in his last start, which came Wednesday at home against the Dodgers. He threw six innings, allowing a run on three hits with no walks and eight strikeouts in a 7-2 Cardinals win. Flaherty makes his seventh career start against the Brewers in this contest. He is 1-1 with a 3.58 ERA, a 1.133 WHIP, 11 walks and 43 strikeouts over 32.2 innings of action. Flaherty has no record with a 3.31 ERA, a 1.102 WHIP, four walks and 26 strikeouts over 16.1 innings in three career starts at Miller Park.

Milwaukee Brewers Hoping to Maintain Hold on NL Central Top Spot

Milwaukee took the first two on the road in the City of Angels against the Dodgers before getting upended in the finale Sunday. The Brewers entered Monday with a half-game lead on the Cardinals in the NL Central race. Milwaukee finished with only four hits in the game with no player recording more than one. Eric Thames drove in the lone Milwaukee run with a sacrifice fly in the eighth inning. Jhoulys Chacin (2-2) was roughed up and took the loss on the mound. He allowed six runs on six hits with three walks and three strikeouts over 2.1 innings of work.

Brandon Woodruff is on the mound for the Brewers as he makes his fourth start of the season in this contest. He is 1-1 with a 6.00 ERA, a 1.333 WHIP, four walks and 20 strikeouts over 15 innings of work this season. Woodruff took the loss in his last start, which came Wednesday on the road against the Angels. He threw six innings, allowing four runs on four hits with a walk and seven strikeouts in a 4-2 Brewers loss. Woodruff makes his fourth career appearance and second start against the Brewers in this contest. He is 1-0 with a 3.68 ERA, a 1.364 WHIP, one walk and nine strikeouts over 7.1 innings in three career appearances, one start, against the Cardinals. Woodruff is 2-3 with one save, a 5.37 ERA, a 1.316 WHIP, 17 walks and 54 strikeouts over 57 innings in 16 career appearances, nine starts, at Miller Park.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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Both teams have been pretty solid out of the gates and this is going to be a tough matchup. Flaherty has pitched well but the fact remains that the Cardinals have to be better at the plate to support him. Woodruff has been up and down this season, which isn’t the best thing for a Milwaukee team that is missing a couple key arms in the bullpen. The Brewers have been good at home but the pitching matchup favors the Cardinals in this contest. Flaherty turns in another solid outing in this one and that gives St. Louis the slight edge here.

Prediction: St. Louis Cardinals +110

Full-Game Total Pick

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Flaherty was solid in his last start as he got the win over the Dodgers. He has pitched extremely well against the Brewers in his career, averaging better than 12 whiffs per nine innings against Milwaukee. Woodruff has talent but he is still inconsistent, as evidenced by his 6.00 ERA on the year. He is a lot like Corbin Burnes in that he can throw two or three perfect innings and then get roughed up in an inning or two to ruin his line. Will he find a way to put together a stellar outing in this contest?

The under is 4-1 in Flaherty’s last 5 Tuesday starts, 4-1 in Flaherty’s last 5 starts with 5 days of rest and 4-1 in Flaherty’s last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. Milwaukee has seen the under go 12-3-1 in their last 16 games vs. a right-handed starter, 10-3-1 in their last 14 vs. a team with a winning record and 4-1 in Woodruff’s last five starts on grass. Both teams have some power in their lineup but the pitching of Flaherty helps keep this one under the number.

Prediction: Under 9

First Five Innings Side Pick

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The Cardinals saw Flaherty, as well as the rest of their pitching staff, shut down the Dodgers in their four-game sweep last week. St. Louis split a two-game set with Cincinnati down in Monterrey and they have to hope that the travel factor isn’t too much of a toll for them. Milwaukee has struggled on the mound this season, ranking 22nd in the majors with a 5.27 team ERA. Clearly, the loss of Jeremy Jeffress and Corey Knebel has taken a toll on the bullpen. Woodruff’s inconsistency gives the Cardinals the upper hand after five innings.

Prediction: St. Louis Cardinals

First Five Innings Total Bet

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While there is plenty of potential for offensive fireworks in both lineups, the fact remains that there is work to be done. St. Louis is 11th in the majors with 5.2 runs per game despite ranking 19th in team batting average with a .240 mark this season. Milwaukee is 14th in runs per game with 4.88 per contest while ranking 12th in team batting average with a .255 team mark. Both teams have power as the Cardinals have launched 24 homers and the Brewers 27. Still, when you factor in the pitching in this one, you have to think that this one stays under the total after five innings.

Prediction: Under

Written By Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. He keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college, the NHL, the NBA and college basketball and MLB.