Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#923 Los Angeles Angels 10.5 vs.
#924 Texas Rangers -130
Wednesday, April 17, 2019 at 8:05pm EDT
Written by Chris Kubala

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A pair of AL West rivals close out an early week set in the Lone Star State. The Los Angeles Angels are on the road for the final game of a three-game series with the Texas Rangers Wednesday night. In the opening game of the series, Texas slugged their way to a 12-7 victory on Monday night. The pitching matchup for the middle game of the series Tuesday night saw Jaime Barria take the mound for the Angels: he was scheduled to be opposed by the Rangers’ Lance Lynn. First pitch in that contest was scheduled for 8:05 pm ET.

Los Angeles Angels Hoping to Close Road Trip on Positive Note

Los Angeles couldn’t get things going in a positive direction despite having an unexpected off day Sunday. The Angels entered Tuesday’s action 3.5 games behind the surging Astros in the AL West race: they were in the basement of the division despite sitting at .500 on the year. Los Angeles jumped to a 3-0 lead after half an inning and a 4-1 edge after two and a half but couldn’t hold on. Kole Calhoun (two runs, two RBI) had three hits for the Angels while no other player had more than one. Calhoun (his third) and Brian Goodwin (his second) each homered in the loss. Trevor Cahill didn’t factor in the decision after allowing four runs on five hits with two walks and two strikeouts over four innings. Cam Bedrosian (1-1) took the loss as he gave up four runs (three earned) on four hits with a walk and a strikeout over two-thirds of an inning.

The Angels send Matt Harvey to the mound for his fourth start of the season hoping that he can turn a corner. He is 0-1 with a 10.05 ERA, a 1.953 WHIP, seven walks and 11 strikeouts over 14.1 innings of work this season. Harvey didn’t factor in the decision in his last start, which came at home against Milwaukee last Monday. He threw 4.1 innings, allowing six runs on seven hits with two walks and five strikeouts in a game the Angels won 11-8. Harvey was blasted and took the loss in his lone career start against the Rangers, which came at home back on April 4. He allowed eight runs on 10 hits with two walks and five strikeouts over four innings in an 11-4 Angels loss. In his 137th major league appearance and 132nd career start, Harvey pitches at Globe Life Park for the first time.

Texas Rangers Seek Series Win

Texas got off to a rough start but kicked things into gear when it mattered and that helped them take the opening game of the series. The Rangers entered Tuesday tied for third in the AL West, three games behind the Astros for the top spot in the division. Shin-soo Choo (run, RBI) and Joey Gallo (two runs, two RBI) each had three hits for Texas in the victory. Choo (his first), Asdrubal Cabrera (his fifth) and Gallo (his fifth) each homered in the contest for the Rangers. Shelby Miller recorded a no-decision as he allowed four runs on six hits with three walks and no strikeouts over 4.1 innings. Kyle Dowdy (1-0) earned the win in relief as he allowed one run on one hit with two walks and a strikeout over 2.2 innings. Jose Leclerc retired Zack Cozart with the bases loaded on a grounder to short to earn his fourth save.

The Rangers look to Lance Lynn on the mound here as he logs his fourth start of the season in this contest. He is 1-1 with a 4.82 ERA, a 1.179 WHIP, three walks and 19 strikeouts over 18.2 innings of action this season. Lynn earned the win in his last start, which came on the road against the Diamondbacks last Wednesday. He threw six innings, allowing a run on four hits with two walks and nine strikeouts in a 5-2 Texas triumph. Lynn makes his fifth career start against the Angels here looking for his first win against them. He is 0-2 with a 4.56 ERA, a 1.352 WHIP, six walks and 23 strikeouts over 23.2 innings of work. Lynn didn’t factor in the decision in his lone career start at Globe Life Park, which came on March 31 against the Cubs. He allowed seven runs on 10 hits with no walks and five strikeouts over 5.2 innings in an 11-10 walk-off win for the Rangers.

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Full-Game Side Bet

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It’s hard to have a ton of faith in Harvey right now, given that his ERA is in the double digits after three starts and he’s allowing nearly two baserunners per inning. Texas smoked him in his first outing against them a couple weeks ago and he was cuffed around by the Brewers in his last outing. The fact that he hasn’t pitched in more than a week doesn’t bode well for him either: in his career, he is just 8-13 in 30 career starts with six-plus days of rest between outings. Lynn was sharp against Arizona and he has hit his spots in his last couple starts. Give the Rangers the edge on getaway day.

Prediction: Texas Rangers -118

Full-Game Total Pick

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We’ve seen both teams put together some solid offensive numbers at times in the early going. Mike Trout returned to the lineup Monday after hurting his groin last week: he was 0 for 2 with three walks. The Angels have to get production from other guys in the lineup as they come in 21st in the majors in runs per game (4.12) and 24th in team batting average (.217) this season. Texas is seventh in the majors in runs per game (5.6) and is in the middle of the pack, ranking 15th with a .251 team average. Can Harvey get on track and deliver his first win of the year?

The under is 4-0-2 in the Angels’ last 6 during game 3 of a series, 5-1 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record, 12-3-1 in their last 16 vs. American League West foes and 7-2-1 in their last 10 road games. Texas has seen the under go 5-1 in the third game of their last six series, 12-3-1 in their last 16 Wednesday games and 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. This total is a little too high for this contest even with Harvey’s struggles. Look for this one to end up falling short.

Prediction: Under 11

First Five Innings Side Pick

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Harvey was hammered in his first career start against the Rangers and that’s been part of an ongoing trend so far this season. He’s handed out seven walks and given up 21 hits so far this season in his three starts. In the last two starts, Harvey is allowing opposing hitters to post a .425 average as part of a sizzling .425/.500/.775 slash line. Opposing hitters have a .519 mark on balls in play in those outings. Given the way that Texas can hammer the ball around the yard, you have to give Texas the edge here after five innings.

Prediction: Texas Rangers -114

First Five Innings Total Bet

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Harvey was rocked in the loss to the Rangers, giving up eight runs in four innings. Both teams put up some runs in the early going of the game Monday night to open the series. The Angels were up 4-1 after two and a half innings of work but things unraveled from there. Texas rallied to take an 8-4 edge after five innings as they put up four in the fifth inning. It’s safe to think that Harvey will get roughed up in the early going to help push this one over the total at the midway point of the game.

Prediction: Over 6

Written By Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. He keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college, the NHL, the NBA and college basketball and MLB.