Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#901 New York Mets 9 vs.
#902 Philadelphia Phillies -115
Wednesday, April 17, 2019 at 1:05pm EDT
Written by David Hess

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A pair of teams from the National League East will square off this afternoon as the New York Mets and the Philadelphia Phillies wrap up a three-game set at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA. The Mets took game one by a score of 7-6 in 11 innings. This was written prior to game two being played on Tuesday.

Pitching Matchup: The Mets will trot out Zack Wheeler (1-1, 7.47 ERA), while the Phillies counter with Jake Arrieta (2-1, 2.25 ERA).

Mets Look To Stay In First In The NL

This is written prior to Tuesday night’s game and by the time this game is played, the Mets could be in 2nd place, so they will be looking to either stay in first or grab first place back. No matter what, it is a long season and the Mets will be battling the Phillies, Braves, and Nats for supremacy in the National League East all season long. The Mets did get a leg up with their 7-6 win over the Phils in game one of this series. The game went 11 innings and the Mets scored the decisive run on an error by first baseman Rhys Hoskins. Michael Conforto’s hot-shot bounced off Hoskins’ glove, which allowed Juan Lagares to race home from second base. Brandon Nimmo (3) hit their lone homer of the game. Noah Syndergaard did not have a great game as he allowed five Ers on nine hits and three walks while striking out nine in 5.0 innings of work in the no-decision. Luis Avilan (1-0, q10.80 ERA) grabbed the win, while Edwin Diaz notched his 6th save of the year.

Toeing the slab for the Mets will be Zack Wheeler, who has struggled in the early going as he has gone 1-1 with a 7.47 ERA in three starts. Wheeler has allowed 13 ERs on 16 hits and 11 walks while striking out 17 over 15.2 innings of work. In his career, he has gone 21-10 with a 3.29 ERA in 52 starts on the road and 5-6 with a 4.82 ERA in 17 starts during March/ April, plus 11-11 with a 3.87 ERA in 35 day starts. Wheeler is 4-1 with a 3.36 ERA in 10 starts against the Phillies, including 3-0 with a 3.96 ERA in four starts here at the Bank.

The Mets have been a strong offensive team so far as they come in ranked 4th in the league in scoring, putting up 6.12 rpg, while also ranking 8th in hitting at .268 and 16th in homers with 20. On the mound, they have been rather poor as they come in ranked 24th in the league in ERA at 5.40, while also ranking 26th in WHIP at 1.53 and 1st in K’s with 170. The bullpen ranks 26th in the league with a 6.00 ERA.

Nola Struggles Again

The Philadelphia Phillies had a hot start to their year, but it has not been so good for them of late. The Phillies lost game one of this series by a score of 7-6 in 11 innings and will enter their game on Tuesday night having lost four of their last six games. Their only two wins over that stretch were against the lowly Marlins. The offense has been solid, but the pitching has let them down and ace Aaron Nola has been a big part of their pitching struggles in the early going. He allowed five ERs on seven hits and three walks while striking out six in 4.0 innings of work in the game against the Mets on Monday night. He got a no-decision in the contest and while he is 1-0 on the year, he has a horrible 7.45 ERA so far. The Phillies need him to get back on track. Pat Neshek took the loss and is now 0-1 with a 1.17 ERA on the year. Maikel Franco had Philly’s lone homer and he now has five on the year.

The Phillies will be sending Jake Arrieta to the bump and he has been solid so far, going 2-1 with a 2.25 ERA through three starts. Arrieta has allowed five ERs on 13 hits and 10 walks while striking out 15 in 20 innings of work thus far. In his career, he has gone 7-4 with a 3.12 ERA in 19 starts here at Citizens Bank Park and 21-8 with a 3.57 ERA in 37 starts during March/ April, plus 38-32 with a 3.48 ERA in 92 games (90 starts) in the daytime. Arrieta is 2-3 with a 2.34 ERA in 10 career starts against the Mets.

The Phillies have been a good offensive team so far as they come in ranked 6th in the league in scoring, putting up 5.67 rpg, while also ranking 13th in hitting at .252 and 13th in homers with 21. On the mound, they have been below average as they come in ranked 19th in the league in ERA at 4.72, while also ranking 18th in WHIP at 1.38 and 21st in Ks with 134. The bullpen ranks 14th in the league with a 4.26 ERA.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

Zack Wheeler has pitched much better on the road than at home, but he is not in good for at the moment and he is a slow start, going just 5-6 with a 4.82 ERA during March/ April. Jake Arrieta is just the opposite as he is 21-8 with a 3.57 ERA in March/ April and while he has a 2-3 record in 10 career starts against the Mets, he has a 2.34 ERA in those games. The Mets have played very well on the road so far, but this game will go to the Phillies.

Prediction: Philadelphia -132

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:

Rating:

Game one saw 13 runs scored, but I see this one being lower scoring. Jake Arrieta comes in with a solid  2.25 ERA on the year and he has a 2.34 ERA in his career against the Mets. Zach Wheeler has struggled this year, but he does have a decent 3.36 ERA in his career against the Phillies. The Under is 6-2 in Wheeler’s last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record and 5-1 in Arrieta’s last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Prediction: Under 9

Written By David Hess

I have always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so I combined the two to become a handicapper and a blogger. I love sports and I love writing about them and all the info I put in my blogs is well-thought-out and well-researched. I am a big fan of all the major sports and the colleges, plus I know golf pretty well, tennis and the WNBA. I am very versatile. Hope you enjoy my content.