Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#903 St. Louis Cardinals Cardinals 9 vs.
#904 Milwaukee Brewers -140
Wednesday, April 17, 2019 at 1:40pm EDT
Written by David Hess



#903 St. Louis Cardinals
#904 Milwaukee


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Major League baseball action on Tuesday evening and a pair of teams from the National League Central will square off as the St Louis Cardinal duke it out with the Milwaukee Brewers at Miller Park in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. This is game three of a three-game set and it has a start time of 1:40 pm ET.

Pitching Matchup: Michael Wacha (0-0, 5.28 ERA) will get the nod for the Cardinals and he will be opposed by Corbin Burnes (0-1, 10.05 ERA).

Hudson Gets Rocked In Beer Town

The St Louis Cardinals had a nice little five-game winning streak going and they allowed a total of 13 runs in those games, but they have lost two of their last three since and have allowed 20 runs in those three games. The offense has been hot of late as they have averaged 7.00 rpg over their last five games and they did score seven runs in game one of this series, but it just wasn’t enough as the Brewers put up 10. Dakota Hudson pitched out of the pen last year, but he worked his way into the starting rotation and so far it has not been good. He did get a no-decision in game one but was torched for six ERs on eight hits and three walks in just 3.2 innings of work. Hudson now has a 6.08 ERA on the year. Taking the loss was Mike Mayers, who allowed three ERs on two hits and two walks in just 0.2 innings of work. Paul Goldschmidt (7), Paul DeJong (4) and Marcell Ozuna (6) each went deep for the Cards.

The Cardinals will trot out Michael Wacha and he has gone 0-0 with a 5.28 ERA in three starts on the year. Wacha has allowed nine ERs on 15 hits and 13 walks while striking out 17 in 15.1 innings of work so far. In his career, he has gone 24-19 with a 3.98 ERA in 65 games (62 starts) out on the road and 14-5 with a 3.06 ERA in 27 starts during March/ April, plus 23-11 with a 3.27 ERA in 51 games (48 starts) in the daytime. Wacha is 5-0 with a 3.92 ERA in 12 games (11 starts) against the Brewers, including 2-0 with a 3.29 ERA in six games (five starts).

The Cardinals have been above average on offense so far as they check in ranked 11th in the league in scoring, putting up 5.31 rpg, while also ranking 19th in hitting at .239 and tied for 6th in homers with 27. On the mound, they have been decent, ranking 11th in the league in ERA at 4.31 while also ranking 21st in WHIP at 1.41 and 18th in K’s with 137. The pen for the Cardinals ranks 7th in the league in ERA at 3.50.

Christian Yelich Goes Boom

The Brewers are off to a solid start this year and they are currently sitting atop the National League Central standings. The Brewers are at 11-6 on the year and they own a 1.5 game lead over both the Pirates and Cardinals in the division. Must be something in the beer in Milwaukee as they have the best record in the National League after their basketball team had the best record in the Eastern Conference this year. Christian Yelich must have tapped into that beer on Monday as he had a hell of a game, going three for four with three homers and seven RBIs in the win.  He is now batting .354 with eight homers and 22 runs on the year. Yelich loves hitting against the Cards as he a slash line of .329/.414/.702 with 16 homers in his career against them. Seven of those homers have come this year. Mike Moustakas (6) also went deep in the win. Freddy Peralta got the start and he took a no-decision after allowing three ERs on four hits and three walks in just 3.2 innings of work. Junior Guerra grabbed the win and is now 1-0 with a 1.54 ERA on the year.

The Brew Crew will be sending out Corbin Burnes, who has gone 0-1 with a 10.05 ERA in three starts on the year. Burnes has allowed 16 ERs on 21 hits and six walks while striking 0ut 21 in 14.1 innings of work so far. He has been hurt by the longball, allowing nine homers already. His three starts this year have been the first of his career. Last year, he made 30 appearances out of the pen and 7-0 with a 2.61 ERA in those games. He has one start against the Cards this year and he got a no-decision in a 5-4 St Louis win. Burnes allowed four ERs on six hits and a walk while striking out 12 in 5.0 innings of work in the contest.

The Brewers have been an above average offensive team so far as they rank 13th in the league in scoring, putting up 5.18 rpg, while also ranking 10th in hitting at .261 and 4th in homers with 31. On the mound, they have been rather poor as they come in ranked 23rd in the league in ERA at 5.38, while also ranking 17th in WHIP at 1.36 and7th in K’s with 157. The pen for the Brewers comes in ranked 16th in the league with a 4.43 ERA.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:


I will go with the cards in this game. The offenses are fairly even, but St Louis has a big edge on the mound in Michael Wacha over Corbin Burnes. Wacha is 5-0 in his carer against the Brewers, including 2-0 in this park. He has not had a good start to this year but it’s been much better than the start that Burnes has had. Burnes looks good in the bullpen last year, but in three starts this year, he is 0-1 with a 10.05 ERA in three starts. Look for St Louis to close out this series with a win.

Prediction: St Louis

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:


I will look for plenty f runs in this one. the teams put up 17 runs in the first game of this series and we do not have great pitching on the mound for this one. Michael Wacha has a 5.28 ERA on the year and his three starts have averaged 12.30 rpg so far. Corbin Burnes has a 10.05 ERA in his three starts and those games have averaged 14.7 rpg. We also note that St Louis’ last 10 games have averaged 9.6 rpg, while Milwaukee’s last 10 have averaged 12.60 rpg. The Over is 17-6-3 in Wacha’s last 26 road starts vs. a team with a winning record and 6-1-1 in Milwaukee’s last eight home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Prediction: Over

Written By David Hess

David has always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so he combined the two to become a handicapper and a writer for us here at Winners & Whiners, along with StatSalt. All the information that David puts in his articles are well-researched and his predictions are well-thought out. He is a big fan of all the major pro sports and the colleges making David a very versatile and a constantly winning handicapper. David has been writing for the past 10 years and has been handicapping for over 20 years. He will help you beat the Man, so be sure and follow along.