Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#4969 New York Mets vs.
#4970 Colorado Rockies
Sunday, April 18, 2021 at 3:10pm EDT
Written by Chris Kubala

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It’s the conclusion of a weekend set between National League teams in the thin air of the Rocky Mountains. The New York Mets are on the road as they play the final game of a three-game set with the Colorado Rockies Sunday afternoon. New York was set to close out a four-game set with the Phillies Thursday afternoon but were rained out. They ended up with a shortened three-game sweep after picking up a 5-1 win Wednesday night in the third game of the set. Colorado was swept in a three-game road set with the Dodgers as they lost 7-5 Thursday night. Friday’s game was postponed due to snow and freezing temperatures, which set up a doubleheader on Saturday. Jacob deGrom and Joey Lucchesi were on the mound for the Mets while Chi Chi Gonzalez and German Marquez were slated for the Rockies. First pitch for the opening game at Coors Field was set for 5:10 pm ET with the second game coming after that.

New York Mets Ready for Action

New York had their game Thursday rained out against the Phillies and then were snowed out Friday, setting up Saturday’s doubleheader. The Mets entered Saturday’s action with a half-game lead over the Phillies in the NL East though they had played only eight games to Philadelphia’s 13. In Wednesday’s game, New York got three hits each from Brandon Nimmo (run), Dom Smith Jr. (RBI) and James McCann (run, two RBI) with McCann blasting his first homer of the season. That was more than enough for David Peterson (1-1) to earn the win as he threw six strong innings, allowing one run on three hits with no walks and 10 strikeouts.

Marcus Stroman is on the mound for his third start of the season for the Mets in this contest. He is 2-0 with a 0.75 ERA, a 0.75 WHIP, two walks and six strikeouts over 12 innings of work this season. Stroman earned the win in his last start, which came Tuesday at home against the Phillies. He threw six scoreless innings, allowing four hits with no walks and three strikeouts in a game the Mets won by a 4-0 count. Stroman makes his third career start against the Rockies in this contest. He is 1-1 with a 1.93 ERA, a 0.857 WHIP, one walk and nine strikeouts over 14 innings of work against them. Both of Stroman’s starts against the Rockies have come at Coors Field, giving him some experience with the park.

Colorado Rockies Hoping to Stop Slide

Colorado suffered their sixth straight loss as they were swept in the City of Angels by the Dodgers by losing Thursday. There was hope that returning home might help them get back on track. The Rockies dropped further into the basement of the NL West, 8.5 games behind Los Angeles for the top spot in the division entering Saturday’s action. In Thursday’s game, Colorado got three hits from Yonathan Diaz and two from Ryan McMahon (two runs, RBI) in the loss. McMahon (his sixth) and Garrett Hampson (his first) each homered in the loss. The Rockies were up 5-3 after six innings but gave up four runs in the seventh to take the loss. Austin Gomber didn’t factor in the decision as he threw six innings, allowing three runs on six hits with two walks and seven strikeouts. Yency Almonte (0-1) took the loss as he allowed three runs on one hit with two walks and one strikeout in one-third of an inning.

Antonio Senzatela is expected to make his fourth start of the season for the Rockies in this contest. He is 1-2 with a 7.07 ERA, a 1.643 WHIP, five walks and seven strikeouts over 14 innings of work this season. Senzatela took the loss in his last start, which came Tuesday on the road against the Dodgers. He threw 2.2 innings, allowing five runs (four earned) on five hits with two walks and two strikeouts, including three homers, in a 7-0 Rockies defeat. Senzatela makes his fourth career appearance and third start against the Mets in his career here. He is 2-0 with a 3.00 ERA, a 1.067 WHIP, three walks and eight strikeouts over 15 innings of work. Senzatela is 22-10 with a 4.97 ERA, a 1.414 WHIP, 75 walks and 152 strikeouts over 232 innings in 48 career appearances, 36 starts, at Coors Field.

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Full-Game Side Bet

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Both teams will hope for solid outings from their starters on the mound in this contest after the doubleheader on Saturday. Senzatela has struggled early on this season with an ERA over seven and it’s not all bad luck, given his 6.21 FIP ERA on the year. Stroman has been sharp in his first two starts and is coming off a stellar showing against the Phillies his last time out. The Mets have played well over the last week or so after their slow start to the year and this will be a good chance to knock the rust off. Look for Stroman to do his part while the lineup provides some pop in the thin air to give the Mets the victory on getaway day.

Prediction: New York Mets

Full-Game Total Pick

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New York has seen the over hit four times and the under come in four times in their first eight games of the season. The Mets are 27th in the majors as they average 3.62 runs per contest on the year. New York is second by allowing 3.25 runs a night this season, giving them an average total of 6.87 runs per game. Colorado has seen the under hit in nine of their 13 games this season. The Rockies are 16th in the majors by averaging 4.23 runs per game though they are infinitely better at home (6.29 runs/game) than the road (1.83 runs/game) this season. Colorado is tied for 25th in the majors as they allow an average of 5.23 runs per game, creating an average of 9.46 runs per game. With Senzatela’s issues at limiting the damage by the opposition, this seems like a prime chance for the Mets to break out of their early-season offensive struggles. Stroman has pitched well in his two starts at Coors but this one edges over the total as the average game at Coors Field this season entering Saturday has seen 11.86 runs on the board.

Prediction: Over
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Written By Chris Kubala , "Chris Kubala"

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