The Miami Marlins will host the San Fransico Giants in the final game of their three-game series on Sunday. Miami took the opening game on Friday 4-1 as a +123 moneyline dog, and won again on Saturday 7-6 in 10 innings as a -131 money line favorite.
After winning their last two games the Marlins are 7-7, currently tied with Philadephia for second place in the NL East, one game behind the New York Mets. The Giants are 8-6 overall, currently third in the NL West, four games behind the Los Angeles Dodgers.
Giants look to end two game skidThe San Francisco Giants are scheduled to send Alex Wood to the mound first on Sunday. Wood has not yet appeared in a game this season. After making 129 career starts between 2013-2018, Wood has only made nine starts and 16 total appearances over the last two seasons, In 2020, Wood was 0-1 with a 6.39 ERA and 1.82 WHIP in just 12 2/3 innings with the Los Angeles Dodgers.
Patrick Bailey went 3/3 yesterday in the AA game with a HR (105 EV), 2B (100 EV) and 1B pic.twitter.com/Bely5LEOb6— SFGProspects (@SFGProspects) April 16, 2021
The Giants pitching staff overall has been strong overall with a 2.90 ERA which is the third-best in baseball, and the bullpen is fourth with a 2.53 ERA. The Giants offense however has struggled, ranking 28th with both a .208 batting average and 3.4 runs of offense per game. The Giants have however hit for power, currently fourth in MLB with home runs ever 23.5 at-bats. Evan Longoria is batting .311 with a team-best four home runs and nine RBI.
Marlins going for sweepThe Miami Marlins have been an evenly balanced team this season, ranking 13th in MLB with 4.4 runs scored per game, a 19th with a .248 batting average. The power for Miami has lacked as the Marlins have only hit 11 home runs in 15 games this season, which ranks them second to last. There are only four different players on the Marlins roster who have home runs so far this season: Adam Duvall (.239 AVG 4 HR 11 RBI), Jazz Chisholm Jr. (.324 3 HR 6 RBI), Starling Marte (.315, 2 HR 8 RBI), and Brian Anderson (.192 AVG 1 HR 4 RBI).
The Marlins are 12th in MLB with a 3.95 team ERA and 22nd with a 4.64 bullpen ERA. Scheduled to start on Sunday is Pablo Lopez, who is 0-1 with a 4.60 ERA in three starts. In 2020, Lopez was 6-4 with a 3.61 ERA in 11 starts.
- Giants are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Marlins are 1-5 in Lopez's last 6 Sunday starts.
- Marlins are 2-8 in Lopez's last 10 starts during game 3 of a series.
Best Bets for this Game
Full-Game Side Bet
The San Franciso Giants were hot, winning six out of seven games before heading to Miami for this six-game series. The Giants have many question marks with Alex Wood throwing, but their bullpen has been excellent, and don't expect Wood to hang around for long if he struggles. Current Giants hitters have also had past success against Pablo Lopez, batting .300 lifetime against him in 20 at-bats. For whatever reasons, the Marlins have not been a good team when Lopez pitches in the finale of a three-game series on Sunday. The Marlins bullpen has also been shaky at times. I will take the Giants as an underdog to salvage the final game of this series.
Full-Game Total Pick
The Giants have been one of the lowest-scoring teams in baseball and face a tough starter in Pablo Lopez on Saturday. On the other side, the Marlins are one of the weakest power-hitting teams in baseball and will be going against a Giants team with many excellent arms in the bullpen.
Both of these teams are amongst the best in baseball defensively. San Fransico is third in MLB with 10 defensive runs saved, and Miami is fourth with eight defensive runs saved. I like the under on Sunday.