Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#903 San Francisco Giants -110 vs.
#904 Pittsburgh Pirates 7.5
Friday, April 19, 2019 at 7:05pm EDT
Written by Chris Altruda

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San Francisco Giants at Pittsburgh Pirates

When and Where: Friday, April 19, PNC Park, Pittsburgh, Pa., 7:05 p.m. EDT.

Out to build on his first win of the season, Madison Bumgarner looks to get the San Francisco Giants back on track Friday night when they open a three-game series versus the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Bumgarner out to reach .500 for Giants

It took Bumgarner (1-2, 3.12 ERA) four starts, but everything came together for the left-hander Saturday versus the Colorado Rockies, whom he limited to a solo homer and one other run over seven-plus innings of a 5-2 victory.

He struck out seven without walking a batter in his 98-pitch effort, picking up a bullpen that had logged 13 innings the previous night in an 18-inning 3-2 victory.

“I don’t feel like I did enough. In my mind, eight was the minimum for a day like today,” Bumgarner told the San Jose Mercury News. “It worked out for us and we won the game, but that’s the one thing I don’t feel great about … Last night was tough on everybody.”

The southpaw is looking to get the Giants (8-12) going again after they dropped the final two games of their three-game set with the Washington Nationals. San Francisco lost the rubber game 4-2 on Thursday, scratching out just two hits against opposing starter Patrick Corbin.

Bumgarner has pitched well at PNC Park in his handful of appearances but has little to show for it, going 1-2 with a 2.21 ERA in three career starts. He lost games of 1-0 and 2-0 there and is 3-4 with a 2.84 ERA in seven career starts as he is slated to make his first start against the Pirates since 2017.

No one on the current Pirates roster has more than nine at-bats against Bumgarner, and no one has more than one hit.

Bucs back home after positive road trip

Pittsburgh (10-6) had Thursday off after completing an eight-game road swing with five victories. The Pirates swept a two-game interleague series at Detroit, winning both games in 10 innings after Wednesday’s 3-2 triumph.

Jordan Lyles (1-0, 0.82) will attempt to continue his strong start to 2019 as he takes the ball for the third time. The right-hander was skipped over his last turn in the rotation since the Pirates were off Monday and enters this outing with nine days of rest.

Lyles stifled the Chicago Cubs on April 10, yielding only a solo homer and two other hits while striking out a career-high-tying 10 in six innings of Pittsburgh’s 5-2 victory. The quick start has justified manager Clint Hurdle’s decision to make the converted reliever his No. 5 starter.

“He had every desire to be a starting pitcher, and our opportunity was real,” Hurdle told the Pittsburgh Post Gazette about Lyles. “I know there was other teams that talked to him, there was other opportunities in the bullpen, there may have been a couple other starting. But we were very aggressive, letting him know that this is an opportunity that we want him to try and put together for both of us.”

Lyles has seen plenty of the Giants from his stints with NL West rivals Colorado and San Diego, but this will be his first start against them since 2017 pitching for the Padres. He recorded 6 2-3 innings of one-hit shutout relief in four relief appearances last year versus San Francisco but is 1-3 with a 7.53 ERA in seven career starts.

Gerardo Parra is 9 for 23 with four doubles in their matchups. Joe Panik and Buster Posey are a combined 10 for 30 with one homer and five doubles versus Lyles.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

There’s always a risk picking against a staff ace like the Pirates are facing in Bumgarner, but the hedge is a well-rested Lyles can keep Pittsburgh competitive in this game since San Francisco is still batting just .205 on the season.

Prediction: Pirates +101

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:

Rating:

Bumgarner brings a strong track record of pitching at PNC Park into this game, and with Lyles pitching well, there is a good chance a low-scoring game could break out. The Pirates have a staff ERA of 2.63 and have not given up more than three runs in their last seven games.

Prediction: UNDER 7.5 runs (-120)

Full-Game Prop Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

Both Bumgarner and Lyles are sporting sub-1.00 WHIPs entering this start, which provides confidence in the under delivering here. The two pitchers also have a sub-0.6 hits per innings pitched ratio, which portends a low-scoring game.

Prediction: UNDER 24.5 runs+hits+errors (-115)

First Five Innings Side Pick

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Rating:

Sticking with Lyles but not overly confident the Pirates will get all that much against Bumgarner, grabbing the half-run here is the conservative play in this instance. Lyles has been impressive early, and with the extra rest, should have enough life to his pitches to keep Pittsburgh in this contest.

Prediction: Pirates +0.5 runs (-140)

First Five Innings Total Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

With both pitchers off to strong starts and no hook on the number, the under is the play here. Bumgarner is coming off his best start of the season but more importantly did not walk a batter in that outing.

Prediction: UNDER 4 runs (-110)

First Five Innings Prop Prediction

Insiders Status:

Rating:

Neither pitcher has allowed even a hit in the first inning of their six combined starts. Bumgarner has conceded just one walk in his four opening frames and Lyles has done likewise in his two.

Prediction: NO to 1st-inning run (-145)
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Written By Chris Altruda

A 1994 graduate of Marquette University when they were known as the Warriors and Brooklyn native, Chris Altruda is based in Chicago. Prior to joining our team here at Winners & Whiner, he worked at three major U.S. wire services and also has prior experience in sports handicapping and daily fantasy roster building. Now that the Cubs have won a World Series, he holds out hope the Jets will win a Super Bowl before he dies. Follow Chris daily right here at W&W and on Twitter at @AlTruda73. You won’t be disappointed.