Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#955 Milwaukee Brewers vs.
#956 San Diego Padres
Monday, April 19, 2021 at 10:10pm EDT
Written by Chris Kubala

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It’s the opening game of a three-game set between a pair of National League foes on the diamond in Southern California. The Milwaukee Brewers are on the road as they open up a three-game series with the San Diego Padres Monday night. Milwaukee played the rubber game of their three-game set with the Pirates at home Sunday afternoon. The Brewers evened the set with a 7-1 victory on Saturday night. San Diego closed a three-game set at home against the Dodgers Sunday hoping to avoid a sweep. The Padres were dropped 2-0 on Saturday night in the middle game of that set. In 2019, the Padres took the season series 4-3 with the Brewers taking three of four at home in the most recent series September 16-19, 2019.

Milwaukee Brewers Looking to Find Success on the Road

Milwaukee played the rubber game of their three-game set at home against the Pirates Sunday afternoon looking to ride the momentum from Saturday’s win. The Brewers entered Sunday second in the NL Central, one game behind the Reds for the top spot in the division. On Saturday night, Milwaukee got three hits from Jackie Bradley Jr. (two runs) and a pair from Billy McKinney (run, RBI) to pace an 11-hit attack in the contest. The offensive onslaught was enough for Brett Anderson (2-1) to earn the win on the mound. He threw seven innings, allowing one run (none earned) on six hits with one walk and three strikeouts.

Brandon Woodruff takes the mound for his fourth start of the season for the Brewers in the series opener here. He has no record, a 2.12 ERA, a 0.765 WHIP, three walks and 19 strikeouts over 17 innings of work this season. Woodruff didn’t factor in the decision in his last start, which came Tuesday at home against the Cubs. He threw six innings, allowing one run on three hits with one walk and six strikeouts in a game the Brewers dropped 3-2. Woodruff makes his fourth career appearance and third start against the Padres in this contest. He is 0-1 with a 4.50 ERA, a 1.20 WHIP, two walks and 11 strikeouts over 10 innings of work. Woodruff is 0-1 with a 5.63 ERA, a 1.375 WHIP, one walk and seven strikeouts over eight innings in two career appearances, one start, at Petco Park.

San Diego Padres Hoping to Start Series on Positive Note

San Diego entered Sunday losers of four of their previous five games as they were handcuffed by the Dodgers Saturday night in the middle game of their set. The Padres entered Sunday tied for second in the NL West, 4.5 games behind the Dodgers for the top spot. San Diego finished with just three hits in a pitchers’ duel on Saturday night and went one for six with runners in scoring position. With runners on second and third with two out in the ninth, Tommy Pham’s sinking liner was speared by Mookie Betts to leave the Padres lamenting what could have been. The lack of offense doomed Yu Darvish (1-1) to a tough-luck loss on the mound. He threw seven innings, allowing one run on one hit with two walks and nine strikeouts.

Joe Musgrove takes the hill for his fourth start of the year for the Padres in this contest. He is 2-1 with a 0.47 ERA, a 0.474 WHIP, two walks and 24 strikeouts over 19 innings of work this season. Musgrove took the loss in his last start, which came Wednesday on the road against the Pirates. He threw four innings, allowing one run on four hits with wao walks and six strikeouts in a game the Padres dropped 5-1. Musgrove makes his sixth career start against the Brewers in this contest. He comes in 0-1 with a 6.14 ERA, a 1.466 WHIP, 10 walks and 28 strikeouts over 29.1 innings of work against them. Musgrove is 3-0 with a 1.40 ERA, a 0.879 WHIP, three walks and 17 strikeouts over 19 innings in three career starts at Petco Park.

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Full-Game Side Bet

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Both teams have been up and down in the first two-plus weeks of the season. The Brewers lost Christian Yelich to the IL with a back injury, taking a key contributor out of the lineup. While Woodruff has pitched well in his first three starts, he has yet to record a victory on the season. The Brewers are 4-2 on the road this season but it can be a challenge getting things done at Petco Park offensively. Musgrove has been terrific in his first three starts, including tossing the first no-hitter of 2021 against the Rangers. The Padres are going to get their bats going sooner rather than later to help supplement that pitching. Give the edge to San Diego in this contest as they come up with the victory in the series opener.

Prediction: San Diego Padres

Full-Game Total Pick

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Milwaukee has seen the under post a 7-5-2 mark in their games on the year. The Brewers are 15th in the majors as they put up an average of 4.36 runs a night this season. Milwaukee stands tied for second in run prevention as they allow an average of 3.29 runs per game, giving them an average total of 7.65 runs a contest. San Diego has seen the under hit in 10 of their 16 games on the season, giving them one of the highest under marks in the league. The Padres are 20th in the league by averaging four runs per game on the season. San Diego is fourth in run prevention by limiting opposing teams to 3.38 runs per contest. That gives the Padres an average total of 7.38 runs per game this season. With the way both starting pitchers have been this season, this one ends up falling short of the mark.

Prediction: Under
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Written By Chris Kubala , "Chris Kubala"

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