Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#953 San Francisco Giants vs.
#954 Philadelphia Phillies
Monday, April 19, 2021 at 7:05pm EDT
Written by Doug Gilghrist

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The San Francisco Giants continue their East Coast road trip on Monday evening, as they travel up the Atlantic Coast from Miami to Philadelphia. The Giants concluded their series with the Miami Marlins on Sunday. They lost the first two games of the series by scores of 4-1 and 7-6 in 10 innings. The Phillies split the first two games of their most recent series with the St. Louis Cardinals, winning 9-2 on Friday before losing 9-4 on Saturday. The series finale was played on Sunday. This preview was written before Sunday's action was completed.

Giants looking to start new winning streak

The San Francisco Giants entered action on Sunday tied for second place with the San Diego Padres, 4.5 games behind the Los Angeles Dodgers in the National League West. With their losses on Friday and Saturday, the Giants lost a series for the first time since their opening series of the season, when they lost two of three to the Seattle Mariners. Before their series with the Marlins, San Francisco had won two straight and six of their previous seven games. The Giants, who have one of the worst offensive teams in the National League, have hit the ball slightly better in the last week. They have a .208 batting average for the season, but they have hit .223 in the last seven days.

Donovan Solano and Evan Longoria have led San Francisco's offense in the early going. Solano has the 14th-best batting average in the Major Leagues at .350, while Longoria is hitting .311 with four home runs and nine RBI. His home run and RBI totals lead the team. Longoria is also 20th in baseball with a 1.002 OPS. Brandon Crawford is tied with Longoria with nine RBI this season. The Giants have hit 19 home runs in their first 14 games of the season. San Francisco has won games this season due in large part to their starting pitching. They have a 3.10 overall ERA, but their starters have a 2.50 ERA. The Giants may be without their closer for Monday's game, as Jake McGee was placed on the IL because of side effects from getting the COVID-19 vaccine. The team is hopeful that he will only miss a game or two.

“It’s still fairly easy to turn the page,” McGee, who blew his first save of the season on Saturday, said on mlb.com. “It’s always amnesia. If you can figure out and pinpoint what went wrong and why it went wrong, you’ll have something to work on. I just need to execute getting the ball up more, especially in leverage counts and against guys who you know are going to swing really early. You just kind of learn from it.”

Kevin Gausman goes to the mound on Monday for the Giants. He does not have a decision in three starts this season, while he has a 3.20 ERA and a 0.81 WHIP. All three of his starts have been decided by one run. Gausman is coming off his worst start of the season, as he gave up five earned runs on four hits and two walks in six innings against the Cincinnati Reds. He gave up two home runs and struck out seven batters in the game. Gausman has faced Philadelphia five times in his career (four starts), and he is 0-3 with a 6.56 ERA in those five appearances. Gausman has faced the Phillies' batters 145 times in his career, as they are batting .276 with just four home runs in their careers.

Phillies look to get back to winning ways

The Philadelphia Phillies opened the season by winning five of their first six games, but they have fallen on hard times over the last week-and-a-half. Heading into Sunday's game versus St. Louis, the Phillies had lost six of their last eight games. They haven't won two games in a row since winning their first four games of the season. As of Sunday, Philadelphia was one game behind the New York Mets for first place, and tied with the Marlins, in the National League East. The Phillies are batting .238 as a team with just 12 home runs in their first 14 games.

Three of Philadelphia's regulars are hitting over .300 so far this season. Jean Segura leads the way with a .333 batting average, followed by Didi Gregorius at .320 and J.T. Realmuto at .302. Four Phillies have hit two home runs this season, while Gregorius has a team-leading 10 RBI. Philadelphia has gone with basically the same starting lineup in every game, as they have eight players who have played in at least 13 of their first 14 games. The Phillies have a team ERA of 4.22 this season. Four of their five starting pitchers have an ERA of 4.00 or lower through the first 14 games.

Chase Anderson gets the nod for Philadelphia on Monday. He is 0-1 with a 4.00 ERA in his first two starts of the season. He has given up two earned runs in each of his two starts, covering a total of nine innings. Anderson has six strikeouts and five walks in his nine innings. He is in his first season with the Phillies, after spending time with Arizona, Milwaukee, and Toronto previously. Anderson has faced San Francisco nine previous times in his career, going 3-2 with a 4.76 ERA. The Giants' batters are hitting just .203 with one home runs in 108 career at-bats.

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The Philadelphia Phillies, who were leading the Cardinals by a score of 2-0 in the sixth inning on Sunday at the time this article was written, have not played well recently, but they have been excellent at home this season. The Phillies were 6-2 at home heading into Sunday's game. The Giants were just 3-5 on the road through Saturday's action. Gausman, the Giants starting pitcher, is coming off his worst start of the season, and he has not pitched well against Philadelphia in his career. Anderson, however, has owned the San Francisco batters in their careers, as the Giants are hitting just .203 against him. This is just the second homestand of the season for Philadelphia, as they went 5-1 in their first homestand. The Phillies will continue their good play at home with a win in their series-opener against the Giants.

Prediction: Philadelphia -107

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Heading into Sunday's action, these two teams were both in the bottom one-third of the Major Leagues in runs per game, as they are both averaging less than four runs per game this season. The Phillies are ranked 25th in baseball in offensive strikeouts this season. Chase Anderson has fared very well in his career against the Giants, so look for him to continue his mastery on Monday. The last 10 meetings between these two teams have averaged just 7.6 runs per game. The total has gone under in seven of those 10 games. The total has gone under in 10 of San Francisco's first 14 games. Look for another low-scoring game on Monday.

Prediction: Under 8.5
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Written By Doug Gilghrist , "Doug Gilghrist"

Doug has a Journalism degree from Slippery Rock University in Pennsylvania. He has been a passionate sports fan, especially Pittsburgh sports, for over 40 years. In his journalistic career, Doug has covered just about every sport imaginable and is now plying his trade for us here at Winners & Whiners and StatSalt. Doug has always been fascinated by numbers, especially as they relate to sports, so writing for this website is right up his alley.