Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#1903 St. Louis Cardinals vs.
#1904 Washington Nationals
Tuesday, April 20, 2021 at 7:05pm EDT
Written by Adam Rauzino

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The Washington Nationals and the St. Louis Cardinals continue a three-game set on Wednesday night. The Cardinals are in need of some wins and will have veteran Adam Wainwright starting this game. The struggling Patrick Corbin will look to rediscover his form for the Nats. The Nationals won two of three over the Cardinals in St. Louis last week, and the Cards tallied a 12-5 blowout win in Monday's series opener.

Wainwright Meets Nats Again, Cards Lose Another Series

Adam Wainwright will be on the hill for the third time of the season on Tuesday. Wainwright had trouble in his previous start which came against this Nats team, giving up four runs (three earned) in five innings in an ugly 6-0 defeat. The veteran right-hander has not looked good in two of his three outings and owns a terrible 7.11 ERA and a 1.89 WHIP as a result. Overall he has thrived in his career against the Nationals, registering a 10-5 record and a 3.21 ERA.

It’s been a disappointing season for the Cardinals so far. They have now lost three consecutive series including two defeats against the Phillies this past weekend. The pitching has especially been the issue with a 1.49 team WHIP.

Nolan Arenado was able to collect three RBI’s in the series against the Nats last week. The 30-year old third baseman is performing as expected in his first year with the Cards, launching four homers along with 10 RBI’s and an .854 OPS. Arenado is 1 for 12 at the plate in his last three clashes.

The Cardinals are scoring an average of 4.73 runs per game, landing them ninth in the big leagues. They own a terrible 5.15 team ERA which is the worst in baseball.

Nats' Starter Corbin Seeks Rebound

Patrick Corbin will be on the hill for the third time of the year in this one. Corbin has been shelled in each of his starts this season. He surrendered six runs in 4.1 innings against the Dodgers and allowed a whopping 10 runs (nine earned) in two innings against the Diamondbacks in his next outing. Overall, the veteran southpaw is a solid pitcher but wasn’t as effective as usual in 2020. He has fared reasonably well against the Cardinals, logging a 2-2 record and 4.17 ERA in seven meetings.

The Nationals have rebounded from a sweep by the Dodgers by playing .500 baseball since including two wins in four bouts against the D-Backs this weekend. The pitching is thriving as they have only conceded a combined 12 runs in their last four games.

Watch for Juan Soto who had a big series against the Cardinals last week, recording 6 hits in 12 at-bats along with three RBI’s. The 22-year old star is in for another remarkable season and is sporting a .304 average with eight RBI’s and an .867 OPS on the year. Soto has gone hitless in three straight games entering Monday's action.

The Nationals rank down at 26th overall with an average of 3.54 runs. The pitching brings a 4.79 team ERA into this one, landing them at 24th in the big leagues.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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It’s been a disastrous first two outings for Nats’ starter Patrick Corbin. The southpaw has squandered a remarkable 15 earned runs including four home runs in his 6.1 innings pitched this season. The Cardinals' offense hasn’t been the big issue this season as they rank 7th with 20 home runs, and 9th in runs, and they should take advantage of a struggling Corbin.

Furthermore, Cards’ starter Adam Wainwright held the Nats’ to three earned runs last week and features a 10-5 record with a solid 3.21 ERA against them. St. Louis scored 16 runs in the three games against the Nationals last week and another 12 runs in Monday's opener.

Prediction: St. Louis Cardinals +114

Full-Game Total Pick

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This matchup should feature a barrage of runs. There is no way to justify the under when considering the abysmal performance from Corbin. He just surrendered 10 runs against Arizona last time out. The over is 5-1-1 in  Corbin’s last 7 starts against an NL Central opponent

In addition, the Nationals’ offense has been solid. While I expect Cards’ starter Adam Wainwright to contain them, Washington scored at least five runs in two of the three meetings against St. Louis last week and Wainwright is not as effective as his prime. The over is 5-1-1 in Wainwright’s last 7 road starts against a team with a losing record.

Prediction: Over 8.5

Full-Game Prop Bet

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The Cardinals’ bats should have a big game at the plate against Corbin. Overall the Cardinals’ offense has been a lot more effective against left-handed starters this season where they feature a .783 OPS compared to only a .704 OPS against right-handed starters. Corbin has been clobbered this season and I expect the Cardinals to get to him for multiple runs.

Prediction: Cardinals Team Total Over 4.5

First Five Innings Prop Prediction

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I expect some early offense. Corbin has had most of his issues early in games. He has surrendered 15 of his runs in the first and second inning this season. Also, the Nationals highest-scoring span occurs in innings 1-3 with 22 runs.

Prediction: Three Inning Total Over 2.5
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Written By Adam Rauzino , "Adam Rauzino"

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball, and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about various sports as well as personal finance and has brought his talents to us here at Winners and Whiners. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.