Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#915 Kansas City Royals 8 vs.
#916 Tampa Bay Rays -185
Tuesday, April 23, 2019 at 7:10pm EDT
Written by Adam Rauzino

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The Tampa Bay Rays and the Kansas City Royals will resume a three-game series Tuesday evening from Tropicana Field. The Royals will give the starting nod to 32-year old right-hander Homer Bailey, and the Rays have yet to announce their starter. The Rays defeated the Royals in all seven meetings last season.

Bailey Shines in Win Against Yankees

Homer Bailey will get the call for the fifth time of the season in this one, aiming for his third straight win. Bailey was outstanding last time out, tossing six innings of one-run ball against the Yankees,  leading to the win to lift his record to 3-1. The veteran right-hander is locked in, allowing only one run in his last 14 innings, and he holds a 4.30 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP in 23 innings logged on the season. This start will make Bailey’s first career meeting against the Rays.

Whit Merrifield is consistently reaching base in the leadoff position, recording a strong .293 average with three home runs and 10 RBI’s on the season, although he rarely walks. The 30-year old second baseman did big damage against the Rays last season, posting a stellar .429 average with five RBI’s in 28 at bats.

The last place Royals are scoring an average of 4.50 runs per game, ranking them 18th in the Majors. The Kansas City pitching is carrying a weak 5.37 team ERA, pegging them down at 26th in the big leagues. K.C. is struggling on the road where they hold a 2-8 record heading into Monday’s action.

Rays Likely to Use Opener

The Rays do not utilize a traditional starting rotation. They only have two starters that have made more than one start this season. Manager Kevin Cash is using Ryne Stanek as an ‘opener’ and he has silenced his opposition, allowing only two runs on eight hits in 12.1 innings on the season. Ryan Yarbrough, who is pitching in a long relief role, could see action in this one. The 6-foot-5 southpaw allowed three runs in three innings against the Red Sox in his latest effort,  and he owns a weak 5.84 ERA in 12.1 innings pitched.

The Rays always seem to develop young talent ready to step in and make an impact, and 24-year old second baseman Brandon Lowe is their latest blossoming player. Lowe is consistently producing, hitting .280 with six home runs and 15 RBI’s. Lowe is red-hot, clubbing four home runs along with 10 RBI’s in his last nine games. The Rays are glad to have Joey Wendle back in the lineup. The second baseman hit .300 with 67 RBI’s last season.

The first place Rays continue to score with consistency, and they are averaging 4.86 runs per game, ranking them 14th in the Major Leagues. The Tampa Bay pitching staff features a stifling 2.85 team ERA, good for second in all of baseball. The Rays stand at 7-6 on their home field this season.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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I am siding with the Rays in this contest. The Royals own a poor 2-8 road record on the season, and their pitching continues to falter, squandering a combined 22 runs in their last three games heading into Monday’s action.

Furthermore, the Rays are scoring with consistency, and they currently rank seventh in the Majors with a .262 team batting average. The Royals’ bullpen holds a terrible 6.06 ERA and I expect late runs from a Rays team that went 7-0 against the Royals last season.

Prediction: Tampa Bay Rays

Full-Game Total Pick

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The under is a strong option in this one. The Royals have scored four or fewer runs in five out of their last seven road games heading into Monday’s action, and the Rays pitching has been reliable most of the season, plus the under is 6-2-1 in the last nine meetings between the Royals and Rays.

In addition, Royals’ starter Homer Bailey is locked in, allowing only one run in his last 13 innings pitched. The under is 6-2 in the Royals last eight road games, and it should convert in this one.

Prediction: Under

Full-Game Prop Bet

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The Rays should have another strong night at the plate. Tampa Bay has scored at least five runs in six out of their last ten games. Also, the Royals have allowed at least six runs in four straight games.

Prediction: Rays Team Total Over

First Five Innings Total Bet

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The under on the five-inning total is worth a look. Homer Bailey just limited the Yankees to one run in six innings in his latest effort. Also, the Rays do not give up many runs. They lead the Majors in K’s and they also lead with a 2.86 ERA.

Prediction: Under

Written By Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about about various sports as well as personal finance. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.