Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#907 Milwaukee Brewers 8.5 vs.
#908 St. Louis Cardinals Cardinals -115
Tuesday, April 23, 2019 at 7:45pm EDT
Written by David Hess

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#907 Milwaukee
#908 St. Louis Cardinals
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A pair of teams from the National League Central will square off as the Milwaukee Brewers duke it out with the St Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium in St Louis, Missouri. This is game two of a three-game series. The Cardinals took game one by a score of 13-5.

Pitching Matchup: The Brewers will trot out Zach Davies 2-0, 1.19 ERA) and the Cardinals will counter with Daniel Ponce de Leon (0-0, 0.00 ERA).

Brewers Continue To Struggle

The Milwaukee Brewers were alone in first place earlier in the year, but they have been struggling of last and are now in 3rd place in the National League Central after losing five of their last six games. In game one of this series, they were crushed by a score of 13-5 and are now sitting one game out of first. The pitching has been an issue for the Brewers of late as they have allowed 5.67 rpg over their last nine games. Adrian Houser got his first start of the year and it wasn’t a good one as he allowed five ERs on nine hits in just 4.0 innings of work to take the loss. The Game was just 5-4 heading to the bottom of the 7th when the Cards exploded for seven runs to put the game out of reach. Yasmani Grandal (6), Travis Shaw (2), Ryan Braun (5) and Hernan Perez (3) all went deep in the contest.

Zach Davies will toe the rubber for the Brewers and he has gone 2-0 with a 1.19 ERA in four starts on the year, including 1-0 with a 2.25 ERa in two starts on the road. In his career, he has gone 18-8 with a 3.03 ERA in 36 starts on the road and 6-8 with s 4.75 ERA in 18 starts during March/ April. Davies is 2-2 with a 4.72 ERA in eight starts against the Cardinals, including 0-0 with a 3.63 ERA in three starts here at Busch Stadium.

The Brewers have been an above average offensive team so far as they rank 14th in the league in scoring, putting up 4.92 rpg, while also ranking 15th in hitting at .249 and 2nd in homers with 47. On the mound, they have been poor as they come in ranked 27th in the league in ERA at 5.37, while also ranking 23rd in WHIP at 1.44 and 2nd in K’s with 220. The pen for the Brewers comes in ranked 16th in the league with a 4.23 ERA.

Goldschmidt/ Fowler Lead Cards In Game One

The St Louis Cardinals have made some upgrades to their offense and the big one is Paul Goldschmidt. Last year for Arizona, it took him 61 games to hit his 9th homers, but after going deep in game one of this series, he has nine homers in just 22 games. Goldschmidt had three hits and drove in three runs in the win. Dexter Fowler had a big game as well as he had four hits, four RBIs and scored three runs in the win. One hit was his first round-tripper of the season. Jack Flaherty didn’t have a great outing as he allowed four ERs on three hits and a walk in 6.0 innings of work, but it was good enough to get the win. He also had 10 Ks in the win and is now 2-1 with a 5.25 ERA on the young season. The Cards have now won their last three games in a row and have scored 29 runs in those games while pulling into a first-place tie with the Pirates in the NL Central.

The Cardinals will trot out Daniel Ponce de Leon, who is making his first appearance of the year. Ponce de Leon is getting this start in place of Michael Wacha, who has been put on the 10-day Injured List. Last year was his first in the league and he was 0-2 with a 2.73 ERA in 11 games overall, including 0-2 with a 2.79 ERA in four games as a starter. Ponce de Leon was 0-2 with an 8.80 ERA in five games (three starts) in the preseason. He faced the Brewers once out of the pen last year and allowed no hits and no runs in one inning of work.

The Cardinals have been above average on offense so far as they check in ranked 7th in the league in scoring, putting up 5.48 rpg, while also ranking 13th in hitting at .256 and 8th in homers with 33. On the mound, they have been decent, ranking 14th in the league in ERA at 4.31 while also ranking 19th in WHIP at 1.38 and 16th in K’s with 186. The pen for the Cardinals ranks 5th in the league in ERA at 3.33.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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Zach Davies is off to a strong start and he rates a solid edge over De Leon, who really struggled in the preseason this year. The Cardinal righty will have a hard time containing this strong Milwaukee offense. Davies has a 1.19 ERA on the year and he is a strong 18-8 with a 3.03 ERA in 36 career starts on the road. The Brewers will also be looking for revenge after getting crushed last night and the clincher is the fact that they are 19-9 in their last 28 road games overall.

Prediction: Milwaukee +115

Full-Game Total Pick

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Last night’s game hit 18 runs and I see this one putting up double digits in runs as well. The Brewers have a strong offense and they should be able to tag Ponce de Leon for a bunch of runs, especially with the way he struggled in spring training. The Cardinals have also shown the ability to put runs on the board and Zach Davies cannot carry a 1.19 ERA al year. The Over is 16-5-1 in Cardinals last 22 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game and that seals the deal for me.

Prediction: Over 8.5

Written By David Hess

I have always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so I combined the two to become a handicapper and a blogger. I love sports and I love writing about them and all the info I put in my blogs is well-thought-out and well-researched. I am a big fan of all the major sports and the colleges, plus I know golf pretty well, tennis and the WNBA. I am very versatile. Hope you enjoy my content.