Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#905 Philadelphia Phillies 8.5 vs.
#906 New York Mets -130
Tuesday, April 23, 2019 at 7:10pm EDT
Written by Sporty Jordy

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This article covers a past game!

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When and where: April 23, 2019, Citi Field, New York, N.Y., 7:10 PM ET

The Philadelphia Phillies continue their quest to win a second series over the New York Mets this season when traveling to Citi Field on Tuesday. Not only are the Mets looking to strike even with the Phillies, but they are hoping to avoid a fourth consecutive series loss. Philadelphia, on the other hand, will try to bounce back from a 1-3 series loss to the Colorado Rockies. Righty Zach Eflin is expected to start on the mound for the Phillies opposite of New York’s Zack Wheeler.

Phillies in position to go on a run

The schedule is shaping up nicely for the Phillies, assuming they don’t fall apart during their road trip to New York. Bryce Harper, the $330 million dollar man, got himself ejected from Monday’s game against the Mets after a verbal brush-up with the home plate umpire. The umpire called a strike on an iffy pitch that resulted in Harper’s second strikeout of the game, along with his early exit.

Not that the Phillies were doing much better with him in the lineup in this particular game.

They finished the game with only three hits as a collective group and one run scored—a 401-foot homer by Rhys Hoskins in the fourth inning.

The Phillies have the fortune of facing the Mets without Noah Syndergaard and Jacob deGrom on the mound. Syndergaard pitched on Sunday against the Cardinals, and deGrom is on the 10-day injured list. After the series with the Mets, the Phillies are off to begin their nine-game home stretch against the Miami Marlins, Detroit Tigers and Washington Nationals. It’s completely conceivable the Phillies win their next four series, including their current one against the Mets.

However, they’ll have to put forth a better effort than they did in Game 1 to do so.

Mets have to overcome pitching struggles

One of the primary questions heading into the series with the Phillies was how the Mets would hold up in the pitching rotation. DeGrom received good news in his MRI coming back clean on an elbow injury. He is slated to return this weekend in time for the three-game series against the Milwaukee Brewers.

Meanwhile, Syndergaard isn’t in the lineup to pitch against the Phillies, either. His letdown performance against the St. Louis Cardinals on Sunday was more than enough disappointment for him to chew on for the time being. He gave up eight hits and four earned runs in five innings, putting him at a surprising 5.90 ERA on the season.

“To be quite honest, the entire beginning of the season my performances have been unacceptable,” Syndergaard said Sunday, via northjersey.com. “I have to be better, I will be better. There’s just no excuses for it.”

The Mets’ bullpen answered the call in Monday night’s game against the Phillies. Steven Matz had a big night in limiting the Phillies to only three hits and one run, while striking out six batters over a span of six innings.

Seth Lugo and Jeurys Familia came on to clean things up by shutting down the Phillies the rest of the way and closing out the game, 5-1.

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The assumption here is that cooler heads will prevail in the rematch between the NL East rivals. If anything, it had to feel good seeing Harper so passionate on the field disputing a call he whole-heartedly believed to be wrong. He also put his body on the line to make an impressive diving catch to keep Mets center fielder Juan Lagares off base.

He’s all in with the team after signing his 13-year deal, and I expect the Phillies to feed off that fire in Game 2. As mentioned above, they have the luxury of going into this series without facing Syndergaard or deGrom. Next up is Zach Wheeler—6.35 ERA in 22-plus innings, while giving up three home runs, 16 earned runs and walking 14.

That’s a welcome sight for a Phillies team that seemingly always finds a way to get guys on base. They currently rank fourth in the league with a .350 on-base percentage. Another loss could potentially put them in danger of being passed in the division by the Mets or Atlanta Braves. It might be early in the season, but there has been enough losing in Philadelphia to motivate them from going backwards. Give me the Phillies in this game.

Prediction: Philadelphia Phillies (+110)

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The over is 48-23-3 in the last 74 games in New York between the Mets and Phillies. These are two of the best run-scoring teams in the league right now. Wheeler being on the mound will help liven up the bats for the Phillies, who turned in an offensive dud of a performance on Monday. The Mets are averaging 5.41 runs per game, while the Phillies are averaging 5.37—both of which rank in the top-11 in baseball. I’m taking the over in this match-up.

Prediction: Over (8)

Written By Jordy McElroy , "Sporty Jordy"

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