Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#929 Seattle Mariners 8 vs.
#930 San Diego Padres -125
Tuesday, April 23, 2019 at 10:10pm EDT
Written by Nick Raffoul

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The Seattle Mariners will travel to Petco Park on Tuesday evening as they prepare for the first game of their three-game interleague series clash versus the San Diego Padres.

The Padres enter this series tied for second place in the National League West standings with a 12-11 overall record. San Diego has lost eight of their 13 games at Petco Park, while the Mariners are 11-2 on the road so far this year. Can Seattle continue their success on the road at Petco Park by stealing the first game of their interleague series versus the Padres on Tuesday?

Swanson making strong impression for Mariners

Seattle is expected to send 25-year-old right-hander Erik Swanson to the hill at Petco Park for his second career MLB start. Swanson lost his first career Big League start, despite tossing six innings of one-run ball last time out against the Cleveland Indians. He struck out five batters and walked none on the night, but was undone by a solo home run by Jake Bauers, which turned out to be the only run for either team on the night. The 25-year-old comes in with an 0-2 record and a 3.38 ERA in two appearances (one start) so far this year. Swanson was called up to replace veteran starter Wade LeBlanc, who was placed on the injured list with a strained oblique. He uses a deceptive fastball to blow his way past opposing hitters, while also mixing in a changeup and a slider to keep hitters off-balance.

Through 25 games this season, the Mariners remain the top offensive team in baseball with 160 runs and they also lead the Big Leagues with 56 long balls so far this year. Seattle is slashing a healthy .264/.343/.516 at the plate to go along with an MLB-leading .859 OPS. They are also batting a healthy .289 (5th in the MLB) with 10 home runs versus left-handed pitching.

Margevicius exhibiting strong command through four starts

The Padres are scheduled to hand the ball to 22-year-old lefty Nick Margevicius, who will be making his fifth career Big League start. Margevicius comes in with a 1-2 record to go along with a 3.60 ERA, but he’s exhibited terrific command of the strike zone through his first four outings. The 22-year-old lefty has struck out 19 batters and walked just two through his first 20 frames, while averaging just 71.3 pitches per start. He’s allowed one earned run or less in three of his four starts, but is fresh off of his worst outing of the season, allowing five earned runs on seven hits in four innings of work at home against the Colorado Rockies.

Opposing hitters are batting only .213 off of Margevicius, who owns a healthy 0.90 WHIP so far this year. Prior to the start of this season, the 22-year-old had never pitched above the high-A level in the minor leagues.

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Full-Game Side Bet

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The Mariners have lost each of the last four games in this series and the Padres are due to turn things around at home after winning just five of their first 13 home games. Margevicius has allowed one earned run or less in three of his four starts and he has walked just two batters in 20 combined frames so far this year. Seattle has also cooled off considerably since their fast start and they come into this series having lost seven of their last 10 contests. Take the Padres to come out on top in this interleague series battle at Petco Park on Tuesday night.

Prediction: San Diego Padres -141

Full-Game Total Pick

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The over is 6-2-1 in the last nine meetings between these two teams and 3-1-1 in their last five meetings in San Diego. The over is 26-12-2 in the Padres’ last 40 interleague home games and 5-0 in their last five Tuesday games. Meanwhile, the over is 11-5-1 in their last 17 games and 18-7-1 in their last 26 road games. Take this interleague series battle to go over the projected total on Tuesday night.

Prediction: Over 8

Written By Nick Raffoul

Shortly after graduating with an Honors in Business Administration, Nick turned his attention from traditional stocks and bonds to investing in the performance of sports teams. He uses a combination of advanced stats and historical data to create sports investment models to identify value and generate consistent profits.