Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#975 Miami Marlins 8.5 vs.
#976 Cleveland Indians -170
Wednesday, April 24, 2019 at 1:10pm EDT
Written by Adam Rauzino

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The Cleveland Indians will host the Miami Marlins in the two-game interleague series finale Wednesday afternoon from Progressive Field. The Marlins will send 23-year old right-hander Sandy Alcantara to the mound, and the Indians will counter with 25-year old right-hander Jefry Rodriguez. This marks the first series between these two clubs since the 2016 season.

Alcantara Roughed Up in Two Straight Starts

Sandy Alcantara will get the call for the fifth time of the season as he attempts to snap a two-game losing streak. Alcantara was hit hard in his latest effort, serving up five runs in six innings against the Cubs, leading to the loss. The third-year right-hander was solid in his first two starts of the season, followed by two shaky outings, and he holds a 5.09 ERA and a 1.48 WHIP accompanied with a 1-2 record in 23 innings pitched. This will mark his first career meeting against the Indians. Alcantara has yet to allow a home run this season.

The Marlins have several players struggling at the plate, however, Miguel Rojas has been an exception. The 30-year old shortstop has collected four hits in his last three games, and he is hitting .294 on the month. Rojas is sporting a .300 average with six RBI’s on the season, and he is 4 for 10 with one RBI in his career against the Indians. The Marlins do not have a player with double-digit RBI’s yet this season.

The weak Marlins lineup is averaging a Major League-low 2.73 runs on the season. The Miami pitching staff owns a 4.68 team ERA, positioning them 19th overall. The Marlins stand at 1-5 on the road this season heading into Tuesday’s action.

Jefry Rodriguez Makes Second Start of Season

The Indians will likely have Jefry Rodriguez on the mound in place of an injured Mike Clevinger. Rodriguez made his lone start of the season on April 13th and he allowed two runs in 5.2 innings in a 3-0 loss. The second-year right-hander struggled with the Nationals in his first taste of the Majors last season, recording a weak 5.71 ERA and a 1.54 WHIP paired with a 3-3 record in 52 innings. Rodriguez squandered seven runs (five earned) in seven innings against the Marlins last season.

The Indians are glad to have star shortstop Francisco Lindor back in the lineup. The career .288 hitter clubbed 38 homers with 92 RBI’s last season, and he is 2 for 9 with one home run through three games this season. The Indians have missed their star hitter this season. They are only hitting .215 as a team and they hold a poor .637 team OPS. The Indians own a 6-3 home recordon the season.

The Indians are scoring an average of 3.95 runs per game, ranking them 23rd in the Major Leagues. The Cleveland pitching staff owns a terrific 3.69 team ERA, positioning them eighth in the big leagues.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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Rating:

I am siding with the Indians in this one, and recommend a play on the run line (-1.5). Marlins’ starter Sandy Alcantara has struggled in two straight starts, surrendering 11 runs on 18 hits in his last 11 innings. Also, the Marlins have been awful on the road this season, posting a 1-5 road record on the season, and they have dropped five out of their last seven games overall.

Furthermore, the Indians have Francisco Lindor back in the lineup, and overall they have finally found their offense, scoring at least five runs in five out of their last seven games heading into Tuesday’s action.

Prediction: Cleveland Indians -1.5

Full-Game Total Pick

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Rating:

The over is a strong option in this matchup. I expect the Indians to get to Sandy Alcantara and a Marlins’ bullpen that holds a weak 4.95 ERA on the season, plus the over is 8-1 in the Marlins’ last nine road games against a team with a winning record.

In addition, the Marlins should be good for some runs against Jefry Rodriguez. They were able to plate seven runs in seven innings against him last season when he was pitching for the Nationals. The over is 4-0 in the last four meetings between these two sides heading into Monday, and I expect that trend to resume in this one.

Prediction: Over

Full-Game Prop Bet

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Rating:

The under on the Marlins team total is a solid play. Miami owns one of the worst lineups in baseball, and they have only scored a combined 11 runs in their seven road games on the season. They may get a few against Jefry Rogriguez, but I expect a strong Indians bullpen to shut them down.

Prediction: Marlins Team Total Under

First Five Innings Prop Prediction

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I expect the Indians to strike first. The Indians’ highest-scoring inning has been the first frame where they have accumulated 14 runs on 25 hits on the season. Also, Miami especially struggles to score early in games. They have only scored a combined 19 runs through innings 1-3 on the season.

Prediction: Indians to Score First
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Written By Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about various sports as well as personal finance and has brought his talents to us here at Winners and Whiners. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.