Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#2023 Arizona Diamondbacks vs.
#2024 Atlanta Braves
Saturday, April 24, 2021 at 7:20pm EDT
Written by Chris Kubala

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It’s a battle of National League teams on the diamond as they continue a set down in Hotlanta. The Arizona Diamondbacks are on the road as they play the middle game of a three-game weekend set with the Atlanta Braves Saturday night. Arizona closed a three-game set on the road against Cincinnati Thursday afternoon, hanging on for a 14-11 win in 10 innings to sweep the series. Atlanta split a two-game set on the road with the Yankees as they earned a 4-1 victory Wednesday night. The Braves had Thursday night off. In the opening game of the set Friday night, Luke Weaver took the mound for Arizona against the Braves’ Huascar Ynoa. First pitch from Truist Park was slated for 7:20 pm ET.

Arizona Diamondbacks Trying to Maintain Momentum

Arizona let multiple leads slip away but managed to hang on in extra innings to beat the Reds Thursday and sweep the season series. The Diamondbacks entered Friday night fourth in the NL West, five games behind the Dodgers for the top spot in the division. David Peralta swung the hot bat for Arizona with five hits while scoring twice and driving in seven runs. Peralta (his second) and Carson Kelly (his fourth) each homered in the contest. Taylor Widener didn’t factor in the decision as he threw 5.1 innings, allowing four runs on five hits with one walk and seven strikeouts. Caleb Smith (1-1) earned the win with 1.1 scoreless innings of relief. He allowed no hits with one walk and two strikeouts.

Madison Bumgarner is slated to take the ball for the fifth time this season for Arizona in this contest. He comes in 1-2 with an 8.68 ERA, a 1.768 WHIP, nine walks and 20 strikeouts over 18.2 innings of work this season. Bumgarner earned the win in his last start, which came Sunday on the road against the Nationals. He threw five innings, allowing one run on two hits with one walk and five strikeouts in a game Arizona went on to win 5-2. In his last three starts, he is 1-2 with a 7.36 ERA, a 1.57 WHIP, six walks and 14 strikeouts over 14.2 innings in his last three starts. Bumgarner makes his 14th career start against the Braves in this contest. He comes in 7-3 with a 2.73 ERA, a 1.032 WHIP, 20 walks and 92 strikeouts over 82.1 innings in those outings. Bumgarner, in his 303rd major league appearance and his 300th career start, pitches at Truist Park for the first time here.

Atlanta Braves Hoping for Some Home Cooking

Atlanta earned a split of their two-game interleague set with the Yankees on the road as they prevailed on Wednesday night. The Braves entered Friday tied for third in the NL East, one game behind the Mets and Phillies for the top spot in the division race. Atlanta finished with only four hits in Wednesday’s game but that proved to be enough, in part by being helped by eight walks. Austin Riley (three runs, RBI) had two of the hits, including his first homer of the season, for the Braves. Ian Anderson (1-0) earned the win on the mound as he threw 6.2 scoreless innings, allowing four hits with four walks and four strikeouts.

Drew Smyly is expected to come off the IL and take the mound for his third start of the year in this contest. He comes in with no record, a 5.73 ERA, a 0.909 WHIP, one walk and 11 strikeouts over 11 innings of work this season. Smyly didn’t factor in the decision in his last start, which came at home against the Phillies on April 11. He threw five innings, allowing five runs on five hits with no walks and three strikeouts in a game the Braves eventually dropped 7-6. Smyly, in his 191st career appearance and his 114th major league start, pitches against the Diamondbacks for the first time. This is his second career start at Truist Park. Smyly has no record, a 9.00 ERA, a 1.00 WHIP, no walks and three strikeouts over five innings of work in his career there.

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This is going to be an interesting clash as Bumgarner has been a major disappointment since signing with the Diamondbacks, posting a 2-6 mark with a 7.16 ERA, a 1.541 WHIP, 22 walks and 50 strikeouts over 60.1 innings in 13 starts. With that said, Smyly is coming off the IL, which means he’ll likely be on a pitch count, which could put some extra strain on a bullpen that hasn’t been all that great this season. Bumgarner picked up his first win of the season in his last start, which gives him some personal momentum to go with the team’s four-game win streak entering Friday. Give Arizona the advantage in a tight game here.

Prediction: Arizona Diamondbacks ML

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Arizona comes into this game having seen the over hit in 10 of their 19 games on the season after Thursday’s performance. The Diamondbacks are third in the majors as they average 5.26 runs per game going into Thursday night. Arizona was dead last in run prevention as they allowed an average of 5.42 runs per contest this year, giving them an average total of 10.68 runs per game. Atlanta has seen the over post a 10-7-1 mark this season. The Braves are eighth in the majors by scoring an average of 4.78 runs per game this year. Atlanta is tied for 22nd in run prevention by allowing an average of 4.83 runs per contest, giving them an average total of 9.61 runs per game. It’s hard to have faith that Bumgarner can turn in back-to-back solid starts and Smyly has been hit in his two outings. This one ends up over the mark.

Prediction: Over
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Written By Chris Kubala , "Chris Kubala"

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