Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#2021 Washington Nationals vs.
#2022 New York Mets
Saturday, April 24, 2021 at 4:05pm EDT
Written by Chris Kubala

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A pair of NL East rivals continue their weekend set in the Big Apple. The Washington Nationals are on the road as they play the middle game of a three-game set with the New York Mets Saturday afternoon. Washington beat St. Louis 1-0 Wednesday at home in the rubber game of their three-game set their last time out. New York was swept in a three-game set on the road against the Cubs as they were beaten 4-3 in 10 innings Thursday night. The pitching matchup for the opening set of the series Friday night saw Erick Fedde take the mound for the Nationals against the Mets’ Jacob deGrom. First pitch from Citi Field was scheduled for 7:10 pm ET.

Washington Nationals Looking to Close Gap in NL East

Washington bounced back from getting drubbed in the opener of their set with St. Louis by prevailing in the final two games to take the series. The Nationals entered Friday tied for third in the NL East, one game behind the Mets and Phillies for the top spot in the division race. Washington finished with four hits in the game with Alex Avila (RBI) recording two of them, including an RBI double that plated the game’s lone run in the second inning. Max Scherzer (1-1) earned the win on the mound as he threw six scoreless innings, allowing four hits with one walk and nine strikeouts. Brad Hand worked around a walk in the ninth to record his third save of the season.

Joe Ross is expected to make his fourth start of the season for the Nationals in this contest. He is 1-1 with a 5.87 ERA, a 1.304 WHIP, six walks and 14 strikeouts over 15.1 innings of work on the year. Ross took the loss in his last start, which came Monday at home against the Cardinals. He threw 4.1 innings, allowing 10 runs on eight hits, including four homers, with three walks and five strikeouts in a 12-5 Nationals defeat. Ross makes his 13th career appearance and ninth start against the Mets in this contest. He comes 2-4 with a 5.73 ERA, a 1.521 WHIP, 14 walks and 42 strikeouts over 48.2 innings of work against them. Ross is 0-1 with a 4.30 ERA, a 1.227 WHIP, four walks and 13 strikeouts over 14.2 innings in five career appearances, two starts, at Citi Field.

New York Mets Hoping to Regroup

New York pushed deGrom’s start back a day from Thursday to the opener of this set and it may have cost them a win in the Windy City against the Cubs. The Mets entered Friday tied for the top spot in the NL East with the Phillies but hope to get back in the win column. Against the Cubs, Dominic Smith (run) had two of the Mets’ six hits in the contest while Pete Alonso hit his fourth homer of the season. Smith bounced into an inning-ending double play with the bases loaded in the top of the 10th inning and New York lost the game in the bottom of the frame. Joey Lucchesi didn’t factor in the decision as he allowed three runs on two hits with two walks and five strikeouts over three innings of work. Edwin Diaz (1-1) took the loss as he allowed one run (none earned) on two hits with one walk and two strikeouts in 1.1 innings of relief.

Marcus Stroman is on the hill for the Mets as he makes his fourth start of the year in this contest. He comes in 3-0 with a 0.90 ERA, a 0.65 WHIP, three walks and 11 strikeouts over 20 innings of work on the year. Stroman earned the win in his last start, which came Sunday on the road against the Rockies. He threw eight innings, allowing one run on three hits with one walk and five strikeouts in a game the Mets won 2-1. Stroman didn’t factor in the decision in his lone career start against the Nationals, which came with the Mets at home on August 9, 2019. He threw six innings, allowing four runs on nine hits with three walks and nine strikeouts in a game the Mets went on to win 7-6. Stroman is 3-2 with a 3.76 ERA, a 1.435 WHIP, 11 walks and 40 strikeouts over 38.1 innings in seven career starts at Citi Field.

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New York struggled in their series with the Cubs but they have their top two starters on the mound to start this series in deGrom and Stroman. The Mets have to get their bats going as they were outscored 23-8 by a Chicago team that had struggled offensively in the first couple weeks of the season. Washington is up and down though throwing the back of their rotation isn’t going to instill much in the way of confidence. Ross was tagged in his last start, which came against the Cardinals Monday. New York has some power in their lineup and they should be able to cuff Ross around enough to scratch out a win behind another solid outing from Stroman.

Prediction: New York Mets -1.5

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New York has seen the under post a narrow 7-6-1 edge in their first 14 games of the season entering Friday. The Mets are 30th in the majors as they average 3.21 runs per contest on the year. New York is 14th by allowing 4.29 runs a night this season, giving them an average total of 7.50 runs per game. Washington has seen the under hit in 10 of their 16 contests entering Friday. The Nationals stand just 28th in the majors with an average of 3.44 runs per contest on the year. Washington is 19th in run prevention by allowing 4.69 runs a night, including 4.83 runs per game as the visiting team on the season. That gives them an average total of 8.13 runs per night. Look for this one to fall short of the mark as Stroman handcuffs the Nationals’ lineup.

Prediction: Under
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Written By Chris Kubala , "Chris Kubala"

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