Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#2059 Philadelphia Phillies vs.
#2060 Colorado Rockies
Sunday, April 25, 2021 at 3:10pm EDT
Written by Chris Kubala

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It’s the conclusion of a weekend set on the diamond in the Mile-High City as a pair of National League teams take the field. The Philadelphia Phillies are on the road as they make the trip to face the Colorado Rockies in the final game of a three-game series Sunday afternoon. In the opening game of the series Friday night, it was the Rockies earning a 5-4 walk-off victory to draw first blood. The pitching matchup for the middle game of the set Saturday saw Aaron Nola take the hill for the Phillies against the Rockies’ Antonio Senzatela. First pitch from Coors Field was scheduled for 8:10 pm ET.

Philadelphia Phillies Hoping to Leave Town on Positive Note

Philadelphia lost for the third time in four games and for the seventh time in their last 10 games as they fell in walk-off fashion Friday night. The Phillies entered Saturday tied for second in the NL East, one game behind the Mets for the top spot. On Friday night, J.T. Realmuto (run) had three hits for Philadelphia while Rhys Hoskins (run, RBI), Alec Bohm (RBI) and Nick Maton each had two. Hoskins hit his fourth homer of the season in the losing effort. Vince Velasquez threw four innings, allowing two runs on five hits with one walk and four strikeouts over four innings of work but didn’t factor in the decision. Hector Neris (1-2) took the loss as he allowed one run on one hit with no walks and one strikeout in one-third of an inning.

Chase Anderson is expected to get the ball for his fourth start of the season for the Phillies in this contest. He comes in 0-2 with a 4.15 ERA, a 1.154 WHIP, five walks and 11 strikeouts over 13 innings of action this season. Anderson took the loss in his last start, which came Monday at home against the Giants. He threw four innings, allowing two runs on five hits with no walks and five strikeouts in a 2-0 Phillies loss. Anderson makes his 13th career start against the Rockies in this contest. He is 4-3 with a 4.68 ERA, a 1.316 WHIP, 22 walks and 58 strikeouts over 65.1 innings of work against them. Anderson is 2-2 with a 6.66 ERA, a 1.597 WHIP, 10 walks and 20 strikeouts over 25.2 innings in five career starts at Coors Field.

Colorado Rockies Looking to Earn Series Win

Colorado won their third straight and fourth in the last five games as they earned the win in walk-off fashion Friday night. The Rockies entered Saturday in the basement of the NL West, 6.5 games behind the Dodgers for the top spot in the division. Colorado got three hits from Raimel Tapia (run, RBI) along with two hits from Trevor Story (run, RBI) and Garrett Hampson (run, RBI) in the win. Story (his first), C.J. Cron (his second), Hampson (his second) and Tapia (his third) each homered in the game with Tapia’s blast the walk-off shot in the ninth. German Marquez threw six innings, allowing two runs on six hits with three walks and eight strikeouts though he didn’t factor in the decision. Mychal Givens (1-1) worked a scoreless ninth inning, allowing one hit with no walks and one strikeout, to earn the win in relief.

Jon Gray is projected to take the mound for his fifth start of the year in this contest. He comes in 2-1 with a 2.42 ERA, a 1.119 WHIP, 11 walks and 21 strikeouts over 22.1 innings of work on the year. Gray earned the win in his last start, which came at home against the Astros Tuesday. He threw 6.2 innings, allowing one run on three hits with four walks and six strikeouts in a 6-1 Rockies victory. In his last three starts, he is 2-1 with a 2.60 ERA, a 1.15 WHIP, 10 walks and 14 strikeouts over 17.1 innings of work. Gray makes his eighth career start against the Phillies in his contest. He is 3-3 with a 4.14 ERA, a 1.21 WHIP, 21 walks and 48 strikeouts over 41.1 innings of work. Gray is 28-13 with a 4.49 ERA, a 1.298 WHIP, 101 walks and 353 strikeouts over 356.2 innings in 64 career appearances, 63 starts, at Coors Field.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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This one is going to be a challenge for the Phillies, who have hit the skids with seven losses in their last 10 games entering Saturday. Philadelphia is just 1-6 on the road entering Saturday’s contest, which has been a major problem for them in the early going of the season. They do have the advantage of being in a division full of struggling teams, which keeps them in the mix. Colorado entered Saturday with three straight wins and Gray has pitched very well this season. We saw him shut down Houston at home in his last start and he builds off that momentum here to deliver a win to the Rockies in the finale of the set.

Prediction: Colorado Rockies -115

Full-Game Total Pick

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Philadelphia has seen the over post an 11-8 mark in their contests entering Saturday’s action. The Phillies are 21st in the majors as they put up an average of 3.89 runs per game on the season. Philadelphia stands 12th by allowing 4.26 runs per game though that number climbs to 5.29 runs a night as the visiting team. That gives the Phillies an average total of 8.15 runs a game this season. Colorado has seen the under post a 13-5-1 mark in their games this season, giving them the highest under percentage in the league. The Rockies are 15th in the majors by averaging 4.37 runs per game though they are infinitely better at home (5.54 runs/game) than the road (1.83 runs/game) this season. Colorado is 17th in the majors as they allow an average of 4.47 runs per game, creating an average of 8.84 runs per game. We saw nine runs in the game on Friday night, and expecting much more than that might be foolhardy. Lean toward the under in this contest.

Prediction: Under
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Written By Chris Kubala , "Chris Kubala"

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