Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#911 Cleveland Indians -155 vs.
#912 Chicago White Sox 8.5
Monday, May 13, 2019 at 8:10pm EDT
Written by Chris Altruda

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Cleveland Indians at Chicago White Sox

When and Where: Monday, May 13, Guaranteed Rate Field, Chicago, Ill., 8:10 p.m. EDT.

Shane Bieber looks to extend his perfect career record on the road Monday night when the Cleveland Indians open a brief two-game series versus their AL Central rivals, the Chicago White Sox.

Bieber seeking 10th career road win without loss

Since his mid-season call-up last year, Bieber (2-1, 3.32 ERA) has been a solid addition to the Indians rotation and has taken on greater importance this year with injuries to starters Corey Kluber, Mike Clevinger, and Danny Salazar.

The right-hander has not recorded a decision in his last three starts but has given the Indians a chance to win all of them. Bieber is getting a second crack at the White Sox in five days after they reached him for three runs in 6 1-3 innings of Cleveland’s 5-3 walk-off victory.

Both of Bieber’s wins have come on the road, where the 23-year-old is 2-0 with a 1.89 ERA in three starts while holding opposing hitters to a .145 batting average. Bieber is 9-0 with a 3.19 ERA in 14 career starts outside Cleveland and did not yield a run in two outings covering 12 2-3 innings on the South Side.

The righty picked up a win in the most recent matchup there, striking out nine while scattering two hits and two walks in six shutout innings of a 10-2 Indians romp. Jose Abreu has taken him deep while going 2 for 6, and Yoan Moncada is 3 for 6 with a double.

The Indians (21-18) averted a three-game sweep in Oakland with a 5-3 victory Sunday when Roberto Perez belted a go-ahead three-run homer in the sixth. Shortstop Francisco Lindor carries a seven-game hitting streak into this game, going 11 for 31 (.355).

Lopez tries to pick up where ChiSox rotation left off in Toronto

The White Sox (18-21) wrapped up a seven-game road swing through Cleveland and Toronto with three victories, winning the last two north of the border on the strength of strong starting pitching.

Lucas Giolito struck out eight in seven innings, and Yonder Alonso and Tim Anderson accounted for the offense with homers in a five-run fifth inning as the White Sox cruised to a 5-1 victory Sunday.

Anderson, who went 3 for 4 in Sunday’s win, was 5 for 12 with a pair of homers in Toronto. He is batting .380 at home on the season despite going 4 for 30 there his last eight games.

Reynaldo Lopez (2-4, 6.38) sets out to follow up on the performances by Giolito and Saturday’s winner Ivan Nova in the series opener for Chicago. The right-hander has battled consistency issues in the young season and is looking to avoid a third straight winless outing.

Lopez battled Bieber to a stalemate Wednesday but with a little more drama — he allowed three runs and nine hits while stranding seven runners in six innings. He is 0-3 with a 7.11 ERA in four career starts versus the Indians, and this will be his first start at home against them since 2017.

Indians outfielder Leonys Martin has flustered Lopez, going 6 for 10. Francisco Lindor, who entered Sunday’s series finale versus Oakland with a modest six-game hitting streak, is 0 for 8 versus the righty.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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This is a confidence pick in Bieber continuing his road form both in Chicago and overall as much as it is Lopez likely to scuffle in this outing. Opposing hitters are batting .306 against the White Sox right-hander, and Lopez has yielded six or more runs in three of his five starts at home.

Bettors jumped on the Indians in the overnight, swinging this run line to make them slight favorites after opening as underdogs.

Prediction: Indians -1.5 runs (-105)

Full-Game Total Pick

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The under barely delivered in the matchup between the pitchers five days ago, but the hedge is a similar outcome is in the cards. Despite his rather high ERA, Wednesday’s game marked the fifth consecutive time the under has hit when Lopez has started. The under has gone 6-1 when Bieber starts overall, including a perfect 3-0 mark on the road.

The half-run tick higher makes this pick feel slightly safer, but the belief is it still will be within one run either way.

Prediction: UNDER 9 runs (-120)

Full-Game Prop Bet

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Though the White Sox split their four-game series at Cleveland last week, they only scored five runs in the final three games. They scored 15 runs in taking two of three from Toronto, but seven of those runs came via home run. While Bieber did serve up a solo shot to Abreu in last week’s game, the hedge is he will not make many mistakes in this one.

Prediction: White Sox UNDER 3.5 runs (-115)

First Five Innings Side Pick

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Bieber pitched the Indians to a 3-1 lead after five innings versus Lopez last week, which has been consistent with his performances this season. The Indians have led in all but one of his seven starts after five innings, and it also marked the fourth time in Lopez’s last five starts the White Sox have trailed after five.

Bieber’s overall road form also lends confidence in taking the Indians here.

Prediction: Indians -0.5 runs (-115)

First Five Innings Total Bet

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Bieber and Lopez carried the under last week when it was 4.5 runs, and the extra half-run here offers a slightly better margin of error in which the teams would need to clear a higher number for the over to hit.

The five-inning under has hit in Bieber’s last three starts and is 5-1-1 in his outings, and the under has gone 3-0-1 in Lopez’s last four starts.

Prediction: UNDER 5 runs (-125)

First Five Innings Prop Prediction

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This pick is worth a flyer with a better return than the -175 being offered for the Indians scoring first. The lone two runs Bieber has given up in the first inning came in his one horrid start versus Atlanta, but the focus is on Lopez.

The White Sox starter has a 7.88 ERA in the first inning and has yielded three homers while opposing hitters are batting .333. Lopez did work a 1-2-3 first inning in Cleveland last Wednesday but has allowed seven first-inning runs in his five home starts.

Prediction: YES to first-inning run (Even)

Written By Chris Altruda

A 1994 graduate of Marquette University when they were known as the Warriors and Brooklyn native, Chris Altruda is a freelance sportswriter based in Chicago. He has worked at three major U.S. wire services and also has prior experience in sports handicapping and daily fantasy roster building. Now that the Cubs have won a World Series, he holds out hope the Jets will win a Super Bowl before he dies. Can be followed on Twitter at @AlTruda73.