Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#963 Cleveland Indians -185 vs.
#964 Chicago White Sox 8.5
Tuesday, May 14, 2019 at 2:10pm EDT
Written by Chris Altruda

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Cleveland Indians at Chicago White Sox

When and Where: Tuesday, May 14, Guaranteed Rate Field, Chicago, Ill., 2:10 p.m. EDT.

It will be “Take 2” in Chicago on Tuesday when Carlos Carrasco and Manny Banuelos square off for the second time in five days as the Cleveland Indians and Chicago White Sox wrap up a two-game series.

Carrasco looks to maintain status quo after sharp outing

Carrasco (3-3, 4.91 ERA) looks to pick up where he left off for the Indians after getting credit for a rain-shortened complete game victory in Cleveland over the White Sox on Thursday.

The right-hander scattered two hits and struck out six in the 5-0, five-inning victory, needing just 63 pitches to blow through 17 hitters. It was the first win in four starts for Carrasco, who improved to 6-0 with an 0.82 ERA in his last eight starts versus his division rivals.

“My first three games of the season it was a little bit slow,” Carrasco told Cleveland.com. “I just started to do my delivery a little bit more quick, more fast. That’s the difference.

“I got surprised because I couldn’t do that from the beginning of the season,” he said. “But I didn’t think about it the first three games. After that I just started working really hard. Right now, my pitches look great…slider and changeup too.”

Carrasco’s challenge is to carry Thursday’s form to the road, where he is 1-3 with a 7.71 ERA in four starts in 2019. The good news is the south side of Chicago has been like a second home of late, with Carrasco going 4-1 with a 1.02 ERA in his last five appearances there. He has held White Sox hitters to a .126 average while striking out 45 in 35 1-3 innings in those games.

While Jose Abreu and Yonder Alonso have both taken Carrasco deep twice, they are batting .200 and .214, respectively, against the righty.

ChiSox rookie Banuelos looking to end recent woes

Banuelos (2-2, 6.67) is looking to avoid a third straight losing start while faring better versus Carrasco and the Indians. The left-hander served up a pair of solo homers to Jordan Luplow while giving up five runs and eight hits overall in 4 1-3 innings Thursday.

The big issue over the last two starts for the rookie has been a lack of command. Banuelos was hammered by the Red Sox for 10 straight hits during his May 4 loss in which he allowed nine runs in 2 2-3 innings, and he did himself no favors Thursday by throwing just 52 of his 91 pitches for strikes.

“I’m focused on the control, command of the fastball especially. Breaking ball is there. Figure out the command of my fastball,” Banuelos told the team’s official website. “Hopefully they still have confidence in me. It was back-to-back bad outings, but I’m going to improve.”

Banuelos did pick up his lone win as a starter at home, defeating the Baltimore Orioles on April 29, and is 2-1 with a 6.62 ERA in two starts and five overall appearances at Guaranteed Rate Field.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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The advice is to get on this line as soon as possible because it will likely swing further in the Indians favor given the favorable matchup of Carrasco against Banuelos as well as Carrasco’s track record versus the White Sox the last two-plus seasons.

The Indians front-loaded this two-game series with their two best available starters in Shane Bieber on Monday night and Carrasco for this game, and while Bieber ran into long-ball issues by giving up four solo homers, the expectation is Carrasco gets Cleveland a split.

Prediction: Indians -1.5 runs (-125)

Full-Game Total Pick

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This is a confidence pick in Carrasco getting through at least seven innings keeping the White Sox in check. Banuelos does not inspire much confidence given his last two starts, but the Indians also have been scuffling of late offensively — they scored five or fewer runs in their last 12 games.

Carrasco has been so dominant versus the White Sox he may only need two or three runs of support to get the job done in Chicago.

Prediction: UNDER 8 runs (-110)

Full-Game Prop Bet

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Though one of Carrasco’s six wins was rain-shortened, the White Sox simply have not been able to touch him during this eight-start run of dominance. Chicago has scored two or fewer runs in seven of those losses, and the only time the White Sox topped two runs was when they riddled Cleveland’s bullpen for six runs late.

Even with Banuelos pitching for the White Sox, the under for Chicago feels like a better play than the over for the Indians at 4.5 runs.

Prediction: White Sox UNDER 3.5 runs (-145)

First Five Innings Side Pick

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Another confidence pick in Carrasco, who has allowed the grand total of two runs in the first five innings of his last eight starts against the White Sox. There is also the belief the White Sox will not sock four solo homers for the second straight game.

Prediction: Indians -0.5 runs (-140)

First Five Innings Total Bet

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Banuelos makes this a toss-up pick since the feeling is Carrasco is not going to give up more than one run. Adding to the challenge of this pick is the oddsmakers adjusting from last week’s matchup in which the five-inning under hit at 5.5 runs.

The under, though, has hit in four of Carrasco’s last five starts, and the five-inning under has gone 5-2 in Cleveland’s last seven games.

Prediction: UNDER 4.5 runs (-115)

First Five Innings Prop Prediction

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This offers a better return than the Indians scoring first at -210, and it also has a better chance of happening. Put aside Carrasco’s 7.88 first-inning ERA because all six runs he has allowed in the opening frame came in his horrific start versus Kansas City on April 12.

He has not given up a first-inning run in five starts, and Banuelos has yet to give up one in his four starts for Chicago. Both pitchers gave up two-out singles in their matchups last week, and should get through the first unscathed.

Prediction: NO to 1st-inning run (-135)

Written By Chris Altruda

A 1994 graduate of Marquette University when they were known as the Warriors and Brooklyn native, Chris Altruda is a freelance sportswriter based in Chicago. He has worked at three major U.S. wire services and also has prior experience in sports handicapping and daily fantasy roster building. Now that the Cubs have won a World Series, he holds out hope the Jets will win a Super Bowl before he dies. Can be followed on Twitter at @AlTruda73.