Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#5915 Baltimore Orioles vs.
#5916 Detroit Tigers
Saturday, May 14, 2022 at 4:10pm EDT
Written by Mason Folz

This article covers a past game!

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This Saturday the (14-18) Baltimore Orioles and the (9-23) Detroit Tigers will play the second game of this three-game series. The first pitch will be thrown out at 4:10 PM EST inside Comerica Park. This is the first time that these two teams have faced off this season.

The Baltimore Orioles are coming into this series after taking two of three games from the St. Louis Cardinals. They played great on the defensive side of the field in this previous serious. They will now attempt to do the same to the Tigers.

The Detroit Tigers are entering this one after losing four out of five games to the Oakland Athletics. The Tiger's offense is currently on hold, as they struggled at the plate in their previous series.

This game was published/written before last night’s results.

The Orioles Bats are Working!

The Baltimore Orioles have not started this season like they were hoping, but they are still in the mix early in this season. They are currently in fourth place in the AL East. On the offensive side of the field, they are scoring 3.47 runs per game and hitting .233 as a team. This is the 27th least amount of runs scored per game and the 18th highest overall team batting average. They have shown that they can reach base safely, but they have struggled to drive in these runs. Baltimore is also averaging .71 home runs per game, as they don't have many men that can poke the ball out of the park. This is the 26th lowest home run average in the league, as they need to start generating more power at the plate if they want to score more runs throughout the season. The Orioles have also been one of the more aggressive bases running teams in the MLB. They have already stolen 18 bases, which is the 10th most in the league. They attempt to move their runners into scoring position as quickly as they can, as they also know that they have struggled to hit when they have men on base. I would recommend watching Cedric Mullins at the plate in this game. He has already hit five home, which leads his team. He will continue to stay aggressive at the plate in this one.

On the defensive side of the field, the Orioles have struggled. They are currently allowing 3.76 runs per game and have a combined team WHIP rating of 1.29. This is the 17th most runs allowed per game and the 23rd highest overall team WHIP rating. They need to do a better job of keeping their opponents off the base paths if they want to hold them to a low-run total. They have also only recorded seven quality starts, which is the 20th lowest amount of quality starts recorded this season. They have been relying on their bullpen more than they would like. The Oriole's defense would greatly benefit from better starting pitching. Baltimore has been very sloppy in the field, as well. They have already committed 24 errors, which is the 26th most mistakes made in the field this season. They can't continue to gift their opponent's free bases and think they are going to win. According to MLB.com, Bruce Zimmermann will be getting the start on the mound. He has started this season (2-1) with a 2.67 ERA. He has looked solid to begin this season, as has pitched for 30.1 innings and already recorded 30 strikeouts. He will be attacking the Detroit Tiger's hitters in this game.

The Tigers are Stalling

The Detroit Tigers are not starting this new regular season how they would have liked, but they still have plenty of time to turn it around. They are currently in last place in the AL Central. On the offensive side of the field, they are scoring 2.75 runs per game and hitting .220 as a team. This is the 30th least amount of runs scored per game and the 25th lowest team batting average. They are struggling to reach base safely and that is why they are scoring the least amount of runs per game. Detroit has also shown that they have very few men that can hit the ball out of the park. They are averaging .39 home runs per game, which is the 30th lowest average in the league. There isn't a team hitting worse than the Tigers right now and they will do anything to score a few runs. They are also the most unaggressive base running team in the league, as they have only recorded four stolen bases this season. They will need to do a better job of reaching base safely if they want to start trying to move men into a scoring position. I would recommend watching Austin Meadows at the plate in this game. He is currently hitting .270, which leads his team. He has been the most consistent hitter for the Tigers this season and I expect him to stay aggressive at the plate in this one.

On the defensive side of the field, the Tigers have been better. They are currently holding their opponents to 3.59 runs per game and have a combined team WHIP rating of 1.19. This is the 12th least amount of runs allowed per game and the ninth-lowest team WHIP rating. They have done a solid job of keeping their opponents off the base paths, as their starters have shown that they can go deep into these games. They have also been able to record nine quality starts, as this is the 17th most in the league. Their starting pitching has been hit or miss this season, but their fielding has been the main problem. They have already committed 18 fielding errors, which is the 29th most in the league. They can't continue to give their opponents free bases and expect to win. Detroit is not talented enough on the offensive side of the field to gift their opponents any free runs. According to MLB.com, Michael Pineda will be getting the start on the mound in this one. He has started this season (1-2) with a 3.43 ERA. He has had a rough start to this season, as he has only pitched in 21 innings. He has also only recorded 12 strikeouts in his limited time on the mound. He will have to go deep into this game if he wants to give his team the best chance of winning.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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The Baltimore Orioles are going to come into this game and cover the run line spread (+1.5). They are entering this series after taking two of three games from the St. Louis Cardinals. They looked great on the offensive side of the field and that will carry over into this game. The Detroit Tigers have also struggled on the offensive side of the field, I don't see them scoring enough runs to cover the run line spread. They are scoring the 30th least amount of runs per game and have the 25th lowest overall team batting average. Bruce Zimmermann will start in this game for the Orioles and I see him having a ton of success against this weak offensive team. He has started this season (2-1) with a 2.67 ERA. He will keep the Tigers from scoring and allow his offense to build the lead. I also don't have much faith in Michael Pineda, as he has started this season (1-2) with a 3.43 ERA. The Orioles will be able to generate hits off him early and the Tigers will be forced to turn to their bullpen before they would like.

The Orioles will have more success on the offensive side of the field. Take the Baltimore Orioles and take the run line spread (+1.5).

Prediction: Baltimore Orioles +1.5

Full-Game Total Pick

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I will be sticking with the under (7.5) run in this matchup. The Detroit Tigers are currently the lowest-scoring team in the MLB and they won't be able to produce enough hits to score enough runs to push this total over (7.5). The Orioles will have success at the plate in this game, but they won't be able to score eight runs by themselves. The Tigers have struggled on offense, but they have been solid on the defensive side of the field. They are allowing the 12th least amount of runs per game and can hold the Orioles in this matchup. I see this game being a low-scoring defensive battle and the total will stay below (7.5) runs. The Tiger's bats are currently cold and they have averaged the least amount of home runs per game this season. They won't produce enough offense in this game and the score will stay below (7.5) runs.

Take the under (7.5) and expect the Tigers to struggle at the plate in this game.

Prediction: Under 7.5
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Written By Mason Folz , "Mason Folz"

Mason graduated from the University of Colorado, Boulder and he has been watching SportsCenter since before he could walk. He has been crunching numbers since he could learn to count and nothing makes Mason happier in this world than talking sports, unless he is on the golf course! We are very happy to have added Mason to our team at StatSalt and you will be glad as well. Let's win some money!