Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#5921 New York Yankees vs.
#5922 Chicago White Sox
Saturday, May 14, 2022 at 7:10pm EDT
Written by Mark Ruelle

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The New York Yankees and the Chicago White Sox continue their 4-game weekend series on Saturday in Chicago. Both teams made the American League playoffs last season and are primed to make a run again this season. Saturday's pitching matchup will feature a pair of left-handers as the Yankees Jordan Montgomery (0-1, 2.90) battles the White Sox Dallas Keuchel (2-3, 6.86). First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EST.

Damn Yankees

Baseball's worst nightmare, the New York Yankees, are back and better than ever in 2022. The Evil Empire has reeled off a couple of long winning streaks and now looks like the class of the MLB in the early part of the season. The Yankees' hot streak, not coincidentally, coincided with the hot bat of outfielder Aaron Judge. He recently hit his first career walk-off home run, leads the big leagues in home runs and looks like the early front-runner for MVP in the American League. On Friday night, Judge (12) and fellow power hitter Giancarlo Stanton (10) continued their power surges with a home run each, a 2-run shot by Stanton in the first and a solo shot by Judge in the 4th and rolled to a win. Gerrit Cole worked six innings and gave up six hits and 3 runs while striking out 9 in a 10-4 Yankees win.

Judge's recent home run barrage has helped the Bronx Bombers become one of the most potent offenses in baseball. New York is 2nd in baseball in home runs, 5th in runs scored and 4th in total bases so far this season. In addition, the Yankees are fifth in on-base percentage and 3rd in slugging percentage. On Saturday, lefty Montgomery looks to benefit from that offense and pick up his first win of the year. Despite being just 0-1, however, Montgomery has been solid on the mound this season. He has two quality starts among his six this season, is second on the team in ERA, second in innings pitched and 4th in strikeouts. Montgomery has not had the support of some of the other Yankees starters this season. The team has only scored a total of ten runs in his six starts thus far this season.

Sliding Up The Standings

After winning the AL Central Division comfortably in 2021, the injury-riddled White Sox have gotten off to a slow but seemed to have found their groove prior to this Yankees series. Heading into the weekend set, the White Sox went on an 8-2 spurt to get back over .500 and back in the thick of the AL Central race. All-Star SS Tim Anderson continues to be the team's catalyst, leading the team in average, hits, home runs and on-base percentage. On Friday night, the ChiSox fell victim to the power of the Bronx Bombers in taking their second straight loss of the series. Starter Vince Velasquez gave up 8 hits and 7 runs in five innings including 3 home runs to take his 3rd loss of the season.

Suffering through a number of injuries both to their everyday lineup and pitching staff, the White Sox numbers aren't approaching the team numbers they had in 2021, yet. So far, at the plate, the White Sox have been quite subpar in 2022. They are 18th in home runs, 26th in total bases and 27th in runs scored. That the White Sox are still very much in the AL Central race is a testament to their pitching staff, despite injuries of their own to deal with. Chicago will turn to the veteran lefty Keuchel to keep the Bombers at bay on Saturday night. Keuchel is just 2-3 in his five starts this season and has struck out a mere 13 hitters. He has thrown a total of 21 innings thus far and given up 31 hits. Keuchel has, however, pitched better in his last two outings. Keuchel has gone 11 innings over two starts and allowed 14 hits and given up 6 runs. He struck out a season-high five batters in the win over Boston on Sunday.

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While Keuchel has pitched better as of late, the cagey veteran is the inferior of the two pitchers in this matchup. The Yankees feature a powerful right-handed heavy lineup that will see Keuchel matched up with DJ LeMahieu, Judge, Giancarlo Stanton, Josh Donaldson and Aaron Hicks. In addition, Glayber Torres, another righty, is coming off a red-hot series against the Blue Jays. Keuchel does not have the quality stuff he had four or five years ago and will have to live below the strike zone if he wants a shot to continue his string of games getting past the fifth inning. For the Yankees, Montgomery has been a hard-luck no-decision guy for nearly the entire season. He will pitch the Yankees into the 7th inning and get his first win of the young season.

Take the Yankees with the money line.

Prediction: Yankees -160

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The Yankees' run production tailed off a bit against the Blue Jays but they seem to have picked things up again here in Chicago. Keuchel has an ERA above 6 for the season and the opposition is scoring nearly six runs per game in Keuchel's starts. The Yankees' powerful right-handed heavy lineup should make quick work of him and force the White Sox into the pen earlier than they'd like in this one. This will finally be the game in which Montgomery gets some much-needed run support and he will hold the ChiSox to 2 or fewer runs as has been the case for much of the season for the lefty. Two runs will be enough to combine with the Yankees' total to get this game to the over.

Take the over.

Prediction: Over 9.5
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Written By Mark Ruelle , "Mark Ruelle"

Mark has been a sports fanatic since childhood. He is also an avid follower of sports analytics and has used it in his own betting analysis for over two decades. Now we have Mark on our team here at Stat Salt. He holds degrees in marketing, broadcasting, and English and uses this vast array of assets to dissect and analyze game matchups. Mark will provide you with a wide variety of statistics to consider and a strong opinion in each matchup that he covers. Please follow him daily for an up-to-the-minute analysis of all the important games.