Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#5911 Philadelphia Phillies vs.
#5912 Los Angeles Dodgers
Saturday, May 14, 2022 at 10:10pm EDT
Written by The Admiral

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Philadelphia Phillies (16-17) vs. Los Angeles Dodgers (20-11)

The Philadelphia Phillies and Los Angeles Dodgers will meet for the third contest of their four-game series on Saturday. Philadelphia opened the series with a 9-7 victory on Thursday, earning their third victory in their last four games. Entering Friday night’s contest Philadelphia was 4-6 in their last 10 and is in second place in the NL East. Los Angeles moved to 7-3 in their last 10 following the loss but are still in first in the NL West. These teams played Friday night, but this preview was written prior to the conclusion of that contest.

The Dodgers enter as the favorite at -180 with the Phillies' odds set at +155. When giving up 1.5 runs, the odds for Los Angeles change to +110 while Philadelphia is at -130 when receiving 1.5 runs. The total is set at 8.0 (over: minus -105, under: -115). Philadelphia has won the last two meetings between these teams, but the teams have split the last 10 meetings.

Phillies Rally in Ninth to Down Dodgers

The Phillies bullpen gave up four runs in the bottom of the eighth to allow Los Angeles back into the game, but Philadelphia scored two runs in the top of the ninth, earning a 9-7 victory on Thursday. A wild pitch gave Philadelphia back the lead and Bryce Harper followed with a sacrifice fly, his third RBI of the evening. Harper added his seventh home run of the season, and is leading the club in both home runs and RBI with 24.

Philadelphia will start left-hander Ranger Suarez. Suarez is 3-1 with a 3.68 ERA in six starts. He pitched a gem in his last outing against Seattle, allowing four hits and no runs in 6.0 innings pitched. That snapped a string of two straight starts where he allowed three runs in both contests.

The Phillies are averaging 4.85 runs per game, seventh overall, and are second in OPS (.747) and are second in batting average (.256). The team is 22nd in runs allowed per game at 4.42. Johan Camargo added a three-run homer in Thursday night’s victory, his third home run of the season. The Phillies are putting up solid numbers on the road entering Friday, hitting .253, second best in baseball, and have 22 home runs in 14 road contests.

Dodgers Rally Thwarted by Phillies

Los Angeles rallied for four runs in the bottom of the eighth inning to tie the score at seven, but Philadelphia put two up in the top of the ninth to earn the victory. Will Smith had a two-run double in the sixth and an RBI single in the eighth, finishing with three RBI.

Los Angeles has not named a starter for this contest, which is a product of six starting pitchers who are battling injuries. The club may simply not have an available arm to start this contest, so look for the bullpen to take over for Saturday night's affair. If that is the case, the Dodgers have few worries. Not only is the team second in ERA (2.75), but the Dodgers bullpen is eighth-best at 3.33.

There is probably a little concern about this club right now, as they have dropped three of their last four games heading into Friday. That included dropping two of three to Pittsburgh before losing to Philadelphia on Thursday. The pitching has allowed 19 runs in the three losses. The lineup has produced 22 runs over the last four games, but 11 of those came in Tuesday’s victory over the Pirates. Los Angeles is still first in runs per game (5.35) and seventh in OPS (.728).

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The Dodgers find themselves struggling, as the starting pitching staff is battling injuries and that is putting too much pressure on this bullpen. They have not been nearly as good over the past week, and that gave Philadelphia the opportunity to win Thursday night’s affair. They could easily find themselves on the winning end of this contest as well.

The home run has been a key for this club on the road. The team has blasted 22 home runs away from Philadelphia, giving them the best road home run per game ratio at 1.58 per game. The pitching has not been great away from Philadelphia (4.81 ERA), but they are proving they can outslug teams for victories.

Prediction: Take the Philadelphia Phillies at +1.5 (-130)

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These teams combined for 16 runs on Thursday. Philadelphia has now put up at least four runs in four straight games, scoring 26 runs during that span. Los Angeles has scored 42 runs over their last seven games, meaning both of these clubs are capable of putting up lots of runs. In fact, combined these teams are averaging 10.04 runs per game and both clubs are in the top 10 in average and OPS.

Philadelphia has gone over in four of their last five games on the road and has gone over in six straight games against teams in the NL West. Los Angeles has gone over in five of their last eight games and has gone over in five of their last eight games against teams with a losing record.

Take Los Angeles to win, 7-6.

Prediction: Go Over 8.0 (-105)
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Written By Admir Aljic , "The Admiral"

You want someone to show you how to make some money, then talk to the Admiral, because he is your man. He has been handicapping for many years, so heal knows a thing or two on how to beat the spread and get your pockets loaded with cash. He has lined his own pockets for years as a betting expert. The Admiral has brought his talents to StatSalt & Winners & Whiners and will always find the best pick for you.