Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#5917 Toronto Blue Jays vs.
#5918 Tampa Bay Rays
Saturday, May 14, 2022 at 6:10pm EDT
Written by Adam Rauzino

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The Toronto Blue Jays (17-15, 13-19 RL, 14-18 O/U) and the Tampa Bay Rays (19-13, 15-17 RL, 15-14-3 O/U) continue a three-game divisional showdown on Saturday evening from the Trop. The Jays give the nod to Hyun-Jin Ryu. The Rays will have Ryan Yarbrough on the hill. Tampa Bay went 11-8 against Toronto last season and won Friday's opener 5-2.

Ryu Set to Return from IL

The Blue Jays will have Hyun-Jin Ryu make his return from the IL. Ryu has only made two starts all season and struggled, allowing a total of 11 runs in 7.1 innings against the Rangers and Athletics. He last pitched on April 16th. The southpaw had a widely inconsistent season last year, recording a 4.37 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP accompanied by a 14-10 record in 169 innings. He held the Rays to only two runs in 10.1 frames last season and features a 2.70 ERA in 20 career innings against the rivals.

The Blue Jays continue a challenging road trip. They were dealt a two-game sweep against the Yankees this week due to subpar pitching and have now lost four games in a row entering Friday night. The offense has been kept in check most of the season.

Bo Bichette had trouble against the Rays last year, collecting two homers and seven RBIs in 75 at-bats. The 24-year-old has been quiet this season, bashing three homers with 14 RBIs and a poor .665 OPS. He is starting to heat up, posting a remarkable .341 average on the month.

Toronto is averaging 3.84 runs on the season, landing them 21st in the big leagues. The pitching staff enters with a 4.05 team ERA, placing them 23rd overall.

Yarbrough Starts, Rays Continue to Win

The Rays are expected to have Ryan Yarbrough on the mound in this one. Yarbrough was clobbered in his first outing, conceding five runs in only 2.1 innings against the A’s. He rebounded by completing five outstanding shutout innings against the Mariners in a game the Rays lost by a 2-1 score. The veteran left-hander wasn’t a reliable option in 2021, recording a poor 5.11 ERA while his WHIP was a respectable 1.23. Yarbrough posted a 4.88 ERA in 24 innings against the Jays last year and is 8-2 with a solid 3.23 ERA in 75.1 career innings against the division rivals.

The Rays are glad to return home where they stand at 9-7 after a lengthy 10-game road trip that took them to Oakland, Seattle, and LA. They swept Oakland and went a stellar 7-3 on the trek after losing two of three to a strong Angels team this week.

Brandon Lowe did some of his best work against the Blue Jays last season. The 27-year-old second baseman clubbed six big flys with 10 RBIs and a 1.00 OPS against the foes. Lowe hasn't been a big threat this season, collecting 11 RBIs and a .670 OPS. Manuel Margot is back in the lineup.

Tampa Bay is posting an average of 4.28 runs on the year, ranking them 13th in the Majors. The pitching staff has accrued a 3.75 team ERA, positioning them 15th overall.

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Full-Game Side Bet

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The Blue Jays haven’t been at their best recently but neither has Tampa Bay. The Rays have only won two out of their last five games overall, scoring only 13 runs in that span. They have also dropped two out of their last three home games. It's likely Ryan Yarbrough on the mound for Tampa Bay. He has surrendered five runs on 10 hits in his 7.1 innings of work on the season.

Furthermore, Blue Jays’ starter Hyun-Jin Ryu is back after a trip to the IL. The veteran has fared well against the Rays in his career. He limited the rivals to only two runs in 10.1 innings last year and is sporting a dazzling 2.70 ERA in 20 career innings. 

Prediction: Toronto Blue Jays -110

Full-Game Total Pick

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I expect plenty of runs in this one. The Jays should be able to take advantage of the Rays pitching. They avoid the Rays' top starting pitchers in this matchup and Tampa Bay has allowed 27 runs in their last four games. 

In addition, while I expect Ryu to contain the Rays' offense, this is his first start in a month and he wasn’t at his best prior to the injury. The Blue Jays’ pen hasn’t been effective recently and now ranks 24th overall with a 4.22 ERA. The over is also 6-1-1 in the Blue Jays' last eight road games.

Prediction: Over
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Written By Adam Rauzino , "Adam Rauzino"

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball, and football. He enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about various sports as well as personal finance and being an expert sports bettor. Prior to bringing his talents here to Winners and Whiners, Adam graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance. You would do yourself a huge favor by following Adam on a daily basis.