Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#927 Baltimore Orioles vs.
#928 New York Yankees
Wednesday, May 15, 2019 at 3:05pm EDT
Written by David Hess

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Major League Baseball action within the American League East and we will see the Baltimore Orioles grabble with the New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium in New York. This is game one of a double-header after the first two games in this series was rained out.

Pitching Matchup: Toeing the rubber for the Orioles will be David Hess (1-4, 5.50 ERA) and he will be opposed by J.A.Happ (2-3, 4.36 ERA).

Orioles Look To Steal One In New York

The Baltimore Orioles are in last place in the American League East, which is where they finished last year. They do not have the worst record in the league as they did a season ago, but they do have the 2nd worst. The O’s had just 47 wins last year and are currently on pace for about 57. It is a slightly improved team, but they are still near the bottom of the rankings in both offense and pitching and unless the improve on at least one of them, they will continue to take up residence in the basement of the division. The last game the O’s played was on Sunday and they beat the Angels by a score of 5-1 at home. Getting the win was John Means (5-3, 2.33 ERA), who allowed just one ER on four hits and three walks while striking out four in 6.0 innings of work. He has been the lone bright spot on this bad team. Dwight Smith Jr (8), Chris Davis (5), Stevie Wilkerson (3) and Pedro Severino (5) all went deep in the contest to provide the offense. Smith Jr’s was a two-run shot.

Toeing the rubber for the Orioles will be David Hess and he has gone 1-4 with a 5.50 ERA in eight games (seven starts) on the year, including 1-2 with a 4.43 ERA in five games (four starts) on the road. In his career, he has gone 2-9 with a 5.02 ERA in 18 games (16 starts0 on the road and 2-2 with a 3.69 ERA in six starts during the month of May. Hess has gone 0-1 with a 4.50 ERA in three games (two starts) against the Yanks in his career, including 0-0 with a 2.57 ERA in two games (one start0 here at Yankee Stadium. The Orioles are 23rd in the league in scoring at 3.98 rpg while posting an ERA of 5.51, which is 29th in the league.

Yankees Look For Another Easy Win Against The O’s

Back in early April, the Yankees faced the Orioles in a three-game set on the road and they had some fun in that series. The Yanks swept the O’s and outscored them 29-11 in the three-game set. The last game was a complete rout as they won by a score of 15-3 and New York will now be looking for another easy win in game one of this double-header. New York has to be considered a bit of a surprise team at this point in the season as they are just one game back in the American League East, despite the fact that they have an all-star team on the injured list. It is amazing what the yanks are doing and just think how good they will be once their walking wounded return. New York has won six of their last eight overall and they enter off a 7-1 road win over the Rays. Gio Urshela led the attack with two RBIs, while Thairo Estrada (2) hit their lone homer. Masahiro Tanaka had a strong game as he allowed just one ER on five hits and no walks while striking out seven in 7.0 innings of work. He is now 3-3 with  3.44 ERA on the year.

The Yanks will trot out J.A. Happ and he has gone 2-3 with a 4.36 ERA in eight starts on the year, including 1-3 with a 6.12 ERA in five starts here at home. In his career, he has gone 9-4 with a 3.99 ERA in 20 starts here at Yankee Stadium and 19-13 with a 3.96 ERA in 46 games (42 starts) during the month of May. Happ has gone 7-7 with a 3.21 ERA in 22 games (21 starts) against the Orioles in his career. The Yankees come in at 12th in the league in scoring, putting up 5.00 rpg while ranking 8th in ERA at 3.82.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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The Yankees have been hit hard by the injury bug, but they have still played well and are just 1.0 games out of first in the American League East. This is a team with a ton of depth and they will look to keep it going against the team with the 2nd worst record in the league. The Yankees are always a strong home team and David Hess has gone just 2-9 on the road in his career. We also note that the O’s are just 3-13 in Hess’ last 16 road starts and 1-10 in their last 11 games vs. a left-handed starter, while the Yankees are 10-3 their last 13 games in this series. Take New York to win this one easily.

Prediction: New York -1.5

Full-Game Total Pick

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Both teams have had a couple of extra days off so their timing could be a little off kilter to start the game, but still, I see this one flying Over the total. David Hess has a 5.50 ERA on the year and the Yankees are more than capable of doing plenty of damage against him. The O’s do not have a good offense, but J.A. Happ has a 6.12 ERA at home for the year. The Over is 23-5 the last 28 games between these teams here in New York and that seals the deal for me.

Prediction: Over 9
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Written By David Hess

David has always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so he combined the two to become a handicapper and a writer for us here at Winners & Whiners, along with StatSalt. All the information that David puts in his articles are well-researched and his predictions are well-thought out. He is a big fan of all the major pro sports and the colleges making David a very versatile and a constantly winning handicapper. David has been writing for the past 10 years and has been handicapping for over 20 years. He will help you beat the Man, so be sure and follow along.