Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#915 Baltimore Orioles vs.
#916 New York Yankees
Wednesday, May 15, 2019 at 6:35pm EDT
Written by Chris Kubala

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A pair of AL East foes hope to get some action in after wet weather has wreaked havoc in the northeast. The Baltimore Orioles play the second game of a doubleheader with the New York Yankees Wednesday evening. The teams were washed out by rain on Monday and Tuesday night: Monday’s game was set to be made up Wednesday while Tuesday’s makeup has yet to be determined. Baltimore won the finale of their weekend set against the Angels, 5-1, Sunday afternoon at home. New York won two of three on the road against the Rays, taking the rubber game 7-1 Sunday afternoon. Which team gets the upper hand in this contest?

Baltimore Orioles Hope to Pick Up Victory on Getaway Day

Baltimore may benefit from the back to back rainouts, given the state of their pitching staff this season. The Orioles knocked off the Angels Sunday to snap a four-game losing skid and entered Tuesday night 10.5 games behind the Rays in the AL East. Dwight Smith Jr. (run, two RBI) and Jonathan Villar (run) each had two hits in the win. Smith Jr. (his eighth), Pedro Severino (his fifth), Chris Davis (his fifth) and Stevie Wilkerson (his third) each homered in the victory. John Means (5-3) earned the win as he tossed six innings, allowing one run on four hits with three walks and four strikeouts.

Andrew Cashner is on the mound as he logs his ninth start of the year for the Orioles in this contest. He is 4-1 with a 4.25 ERA, a 1.37 WHIP, 16 walks and 33 strikeouts over 42.1 innings of action this season. Cashner didn’t factor in the decision in his last start, which came last Wednesday at home against the Red Sox. He threw six innings, allowing one run on four hits with one walk and five strikeouts in a game the Orioles went on to lose 2-1 in 12 innings. Cashner is 1-0 with a 3.18 ERA, a 1.12 WHIP, four walks and 18 strikeouts over 17 innings in his last three starts. He is 2-4 with a 4.01 ERA, a 1.257 WHIP, 14 walks and 35 strikeouts over 49.1 innings in eight career starts against the Yankees. Cashner is 1-1 with a 6.30 ERA, a 1.50 WHIP, seven walks and eight strikeouts over 10 innings in two career starts at Yankee Stadium.

New York Yankees Look to Overtake Rays in AL East

New York took the rubber game against Tampa Bay before the first two games of this set were washed out. The Yankees entered Tuesday night half a game behind the Rays in the AL East race as they’ve gained ground in the division. New York got two hits each from Austin Romine (two runs), Mark Tauchmann (two runs, RBI) and DJ LeMahieu (RBI) in the victory. Masahiro Tanaka (3-3) earned the win as he threw seven strong innings, allowing one run on five hits with no walks and seven strikeouts. He left with a 2-1 lead before the Yankees tallied once in the eighth and four times in the ninth to break the game open.

The Yankees turn to Domingo German in this one as he makes his ninth appearance and eighth start of the season. He comes in 7-1 with a 2.70 ERA, a 0.946 WHIP, 14 walks and 44 strikeouts over 43.1 innings of work this year. German comes in off a win in his last outing, which came Friday on the road against the Rays. He threw five innings, allowing three runs on five hits with two walks and five strikeouts in a 4-3 Yankees triumph. German is 3-0 with a 4.08 ERA, a 1.13 WHIP, six walks and 16 strikeouts over 17.2 innings in his last three starts. He has a 1-0 record with a 3.97 ERA, a 0.971 WHIP, four walks and nine strikeouts over 11.1 innings of work in three career appearances, one start, against the Orioles. German is 5-5 with a 3.95 ERA, a 1.151 WHIP, 32 walks and 94 strikeouts over 73 innings in 18 career appearances, 10 starts, at Yankee Stadium in his career.

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The pitching matchup for this one, even with Cashner’s winning record, is tilted heavily toward the Yankees should these two get the call in the nightcap. German has a 3.25 FIP ERA, so it’s not as if he’s pitching over his head at this point in time. Cashner is in a similar situation as his 4.83 FIP ERA is about a half-run worse than his current mark. The Yankees are still getting by despite so many key players on the injured list at this point. There’s still power for New York and Baltimore gives up a ton of homers: that gives the Yankees the upper hand in this contest.

Prediction: New York Yankees -1.5

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Baltimore’s pitching has been a haven for giving up runs by the truckload. The Orioles have given up a ton of long balls as well, which can be trouble for them here. Cashner is Baltimore’s veteran arm at this point in time as he, along with Means, has been their most consistent starters. German has been terrific for the Yankees and he is the majors’ leader in victories at this point in the season. Baltimore is dead last in the majors in team ERA (5.51) and has gotten only eight quality starts this season. Can the Orioles find a way to get a victory on the road against the Bronx Bombers?

The over is 8-2-1 in the Orioles’ last 11 during game 2 of a series and 6-2-1 in their last 9 second games of a double-header. New York has seen the over go 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400 and 19-7-1 in their last 27 vs. American League East foes. The over is 23-5 in the last 28 meetings in New York and 39-13-1 in their last 53 meetings overall. Look for this one to end up over the total as the Orioles’ pitching gets battered once again.

Prediction: 9
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Written By Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in-depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. Now he is writing for our team here at Winners @ Whiners. Chris keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college. He is also very knowledgeable in the NHL, the NBA, college basketball and MLB. If you want consistency, then be sure and check out Chris’ content daily.