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#907 New York Mets 8.5 vs.
#908 Washington Nationals -155
Wednesday, May 15, 2019 at 7:05pm EDT
Written by Nick Raffoul

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The New York Mets will travel to Nationals Park on Wednesday evening as they prepare for the second game of their NL East clash versus the Washington Nationals.

New York has fallen below the .500-mark following a hot start to the regular season, but they could be getting some reinforcements back soon. Utility man Jed Lowrie, who was one of the Mets’ major offseason acquisitions, is expected to join the team in the near future. Reports surfaced that he might join the Mets last Friday, but instead, it was decided that he should continue his rehab assignment at Triple-A Syracuse. He went 3-for-8 at Triple-A over the weekend, but is just 5-for-31 (.161) during his rehab assignment. Reliever Jeurys Familia is also expected to be activated off of the injured list prior to Tuesday’s matchup. Can the Mets get one step closer to getting back to the .500-mark with a victory in Washington in Game 2?

Font gets call for second start in Mets uniform

New York is scheduled to hand the ball to right-hander Wilmer Font for his second start in a Mets uniform. Font was solid in his debut, surrendering two earned runs on three hits in four innings of work, but didn’t last long enough to earn a decision on the night. In 10 prior appearances out of the bullpen as a member of the Tampa Bay Rays, Font posted a disappointing 5.79 ERA and allowed five home runs in 14 frames. The Mets’ right-hander was a late-bloomer in the minor leagues, posting a healthy 3.42 ERA and a strikeout rate of 11.93 batters per nine innings as a member of the L.A. Dodgers’ Triple-A affiliate in 2017, but hasn’t been able to command his offerings at the Big League level. He posted a 7.36 strikeout rate in 2017 and 2018, but he’s managed to up that rate of 9.50 batters per nine in a limited sample size this year, which could be a sign of things to come for Font — who was the subject of a couple of interesting articles on FanGraphs.

Font made one relief appearance versus the Nationals last season, tossing two scoreless innings. According to Baseball Savant, the current Nationals’ roster is hitless in six at-bats against Font heading into Wednesday’s start.

Corbin tosses seven scoreless vs. Dodgers

The Nationals are scheduled to counter with left-handed ace Patrick Corbin on Wednesday evening for his ninth start of the season. The 29-year-old emerged as a bonafide ace for the Arizona Diamondbacks last season, going 11-7 with a 3.20 ERA, while pushing his strikeout rate to a career-high 11.07 batters per nine innings. Corbin is still striking out batters at a high rate in Washington and he is fresh off of his best start in a Nats’ uniform. The Nationals’ newest ace limited the L.A. Dodgers to just three hits in seven scoreless innings to improve to 3-1 with a 3.20 ERA in his last outing. He’s compiled seven quality outings in eight starts and has allowed two earned runs or less in five of those outings.

Corbin has already made two starts against the Mets this season, allowing just five earned runs in 12 combined frames for a 3.75 ERA, but was rendered with a no-decision in each of those games. He went 1-1 with a 3.95 ERA in five appearances (four starts) versus the Mets over the previous three seasons combined.

According to Baseball Savant, the current Mets’ roster is batting .273 in 132 plate appearances versus the Nats’ right-hander. StatCast data projects the Mets for an expected batting average of .297 and an expected slugging percentage of .607 off of Corbin, which could spell trouble for him heading into Wednesday’s start.

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The Mets have won five of their last seven meetings at Nationals’ Park, but it’s hard to trust Font in this spot. While he was a budding prospect in Triple-A for the Dodgers, Font has struggled to put it altogether at the MLB level and one four-inning start isn’t going to convince me otherwise. Corbin continues his emergence as one of the top lefties in the Majors, so I’ll take my chances with Washington at home in this spot on Wednesday.

Prediction: Washington Nationals -159

Full-Game Total Pick

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These two teams have gone over the projected total in four of the last five meetings. The over is 28-13-2 in the Nationals’ last 43 home games and 19-9 in their last 28 during Game 2 of a series. Meanwhile, the Mets have gone over in each of their last four games versus a team with a losing record. Look for this game to go over the projected total on Wednesday.

Prediction: Over 8
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Written By Nick Raffoul

Shortly after graduating with an Honors in Business Administration, Nick turned his attention from traditional stocks and bonds to investing in the performance of sports teams. And has now joined our team here at Winners & Whiners. Nick uses a combination of advanced stats and historical data to create sports investment models to identify value and generate consistent profits. Let Nick win for you.