Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#923 Tampa Bay Rays -165 vs.
#924 Miami Marlins 7.5
Wednesday, May 15, 2019 at 7:10pm EDT
Written by Chris Altruda



#923 Tampa Bay
#924 Miami


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Tampa Bay Rays at Miami Marlins

When and Where: Wednesday, May 15, Marlins Park, Miami, Fla., 7:10 p.m. EDT.

The Tampa Bay Rays have a hole to fill in their rotation, and multiple options for doing so as they wrap up a two-game interleague series versus their in-state rivals, the Miami Marlins, on Wednesday night.

Rays trying to figure out how to fill Glasnow’s spot

This game would have been started by Tyler Glasnow, but the up-and-coming right-hander pulled himself in the sixth inning of Friday’s 4-3 loss to the New York Yankees with a strained forearm and is expected to be on the injured list for at least four weeks.

There is talk the Rays may bring in free agent Dallas Kuechel, but the pressing issue is to fill the spot for the immediate future. It may involve manager Kevin Cash turning to a second opener beyond Ryne Stanek, though Ryan Yarbrough may be the pitcher who gets the bulk of innings early after being stretched out in Triple-A.

Tampa Bay has not named a starter — or an opener — for this game, but the most likely candidates are Stanek (0-1, 2.57 ERA) and Yonni Chirinos (5-1, 3.61), though it is possible both could pitch in this game.

Stanek made a rare non-opener appearance Sunday against the Yankees, giving up one run in one inning. The right-hander opened Saturday’s contest and tossed two scoreless innings before giving way to Chirinos, who allowed two runs in four innings to pick up the victory while throwing just 63 pitches.

Stanek has a 1.72 ERA in 10 appearances as opener, but all three runs he allowed came against Kansas City on May 1 when he served up a two-run homer. The righty has struck out 17 in 15 2-3 innings while holding opposing hitters to a .167 batting average.

He made one opener appearance versus Miami last year, tossing a scoreless inning. Chirinos has never faced the Marlins.

Urena looks to build on solid outing for Fish

Jose Urena (1-5, 4.82) is looking to avoid a fourth straight start without a win, but the right-hander did enough to warrant a victory last time out.

He held the Chicago Cubs to one earned run and two overall in seven innings last Wednesday, and Miami got him off the hook for a loss by rallying for a ninth-inning run in its 3-2, 11-inning defeat.

Urena was fairly effective in interleague play last year, going 1-0 with a 1.73 ERA in four starts versus the AL East. He has won his last five decisions in interleague play, posting 3.64 ERA while going unbeaten in his last eight starts.

The righty stifled Tampa Bay last year, giving up three runs and two hits in five innings of a 3-0 victory July 4th. He made six relief appearances versus the Rays before that start, conceding one run in 5 2-3 innings.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:


The AL East leaders are worth the money line pick with the expectation Stanek and Chirinos can pick up where Charlie Morton left off Monday night.

Tampa Bay is 7-3 in interleague play this season and have a chance to stay perfect in series wins by going 4 for 4 with a victory in this contest.

Prediction: Rays -1.5 runs (-110)

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:


Urena’s solid track record in interleague play makes the under the lean here. The under has also gone 7-3 in Tampa Bay’s interleague games and 4-1 in Urena’s last five starts versus AL East teams.

Additionally, the Rays have limited NL opponents to 17 runs in their 10 interleague games. The potential for a pitchers’ duel exists in this game given Chirinos usually does a solid job following up Stanek.

Prediction: UNDER 7.5 runs (-110)

Full-Game Prop Bet

Insiders Status:


There was consideration in taking the Marlins under 2.5 runs (+120) given they have been held to two or fewer runs in every game during their six-game losing streak, but it is difficult to pull the trigger knowing that pick can potentially come undone with one mistake.

That said, the adjusted line with the Rays laying an additional run is the play with how rough Miami’s offense has been during this skid. The Marlins have batted .209 while totaling eight runs and are hitting .140 (7 for 50) with runners in scoring position.

Prediction: Rays -2.5 runs (+145)

First Five Innings Side Pick

Insiders Status:


This is a confidence pick in Stanek and Chirinos, with the expectation of the latter pitching in this contest. Tampa Bay is 7-2-1 after five innings in interleague play and also 7-3 when Stanek takes the hill to open games.

The Marlins also have not led after five innings in their last eight contests, trailing in five of them.

Prediction: Rays -0.5 runs (-125)

First Five Innings Total Bet

Insiders Status:


This is a confidence pick in Urena’s track record in interleague play trumping his pitching at home, where he is 1-3 with a 5.86 ERA and opposing hitters are batting .319.

The five-inning under has also trended for both teams recently, going 5-1 in Tampa Bay’s last six games and 4-1 in Miami’s last five.

Prediction: UNDER 4 runs (-110)

First Five Innings Prop Prediction

Insiders Status:


As opposed to taking the Rays at -200 to score first, the first-inning run is worth a flyer at plus-money given the favorable matchup for Tampa Bay. The Rays have scored 32 first-inning runs in their 40 games, batting .313 with 10 homers in the opening frame.

Urena has labored at the start of games, giving up eight first-inning runs in eight starts while teams are hitting .343 and have a .995 OPS. The Marlins right-hander has been nicked for first-inning runs in two of his last three starts, and six of the eight runs allowed have been at home.

Prediction: YES to 1st-inning run (+110)

Written By Chris Altruda

A 1994 graduate of Marquette University when they were known as the Warriors and Brooklyn native, Chris Altruda is based in Chicago. Prior to joining our team here at Winners & Whiner, he worked at three major U.S. wire services and also has prior experience in sports handicapping and daily fantasy roster building. Now that the Cubs have won a World Series, he holds out hope the Jets will win a Super Bowl before he dies. Follow Chris daily right here at W&W and on Twitter at @AlTruda73. You won’t be disappointed.