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Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants,
5-16-2018 - Prediction & Preview

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#903 Cincinnati
Reds 8.5
#904 San Francisco
Giants -145

Wednesday, May 16, 2018 at 3:45pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Cincinnati Reds
M. HARVEY

14 - 29

0
W's
2
L's
5.04
ERA
1.24
WHIP

San Francisco Giants
A. SUAREZ

22 - 21

1
W's
2
L's
4.57
ERA
1.2
WHIP

Betting Trends

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The San Francisco Giants will host the Cincinnati Reds as the clubs wrap up a three-game series Wednesday afternoon from AT&T Park. The Reds will send 29-year old right-hander Matt Harvey to the hill, and the Giants will turn to 25-year old left-hander Andrew Suarez. The Giants took the series opener by a 10-7 score on Monday night.

Harvey Solid in Reds Debut

Matt Harvey will make his 10th appearance and second start as a member of the Reds in this one. Harvey was outstanding in his Reds debut five days ago, tossing four innings of one-hit ball against the Dodgers, finishing with the no-decision in a game the Reds won. The 6-foot-4 right-hander was released by the Mets last week, and he could prove to be a smart addition if he can find his previous form. He has struggled for the most part this season, posting a poor 6.10 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP accompanied with an 0-2 record in 31 innings pitched. He has struggled against the Giants, allowing 13 runs with an 0-2 record in 19 career innings. Brandon Belt is 2 for 8 against Harvey, while Buster Posey is 5 for 8 with four RBI’s, and Andrew McCutchen is 4 for 9.

Scotter Gennett is swinging a red-hot bat, smashing four home runs along with 10 RBI’s in his last six games. The 28-year old second baseman is having another solid season, registering a stellar .318 average with six homers and 24 RBI’s on the season. Gennett did solid damage against the Giants last season, going 6 for 17 with five RBI’s, however, he went 0 for 5 in Monday’s loss. The Reds are looking much better at the plate, now averaging 4.17 runs per game, ranking them 20th overall. Their pitching now owns a 4.83 team ERA, placing them 25th in the Majors.

Suarez Pummeled by Pirates

Andrew Suarez will get the nod for the fifth time of the season, looking to rebound from a poor outing. Suarez served up five runs including two home runs in four innings in Pittsburgh in his previous start, and he was tagged with the loss to drop his record to 1-2. The rookie left-hander has pitched well in two of his four starts including 5.1 shutout innings against the Braves earlier this month, and he possesses a 4.57 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP. Suarez has accumulated 23 strikeouts in his 21.2 innings logged on the season. This will mark his first career meeting against the Reds.

Andrew McCutchen has not been driving in many runs as of late, however, he is riding a 13 game hitting streak heading into Tuesday’s action, giving him a .364 average in May. The 31-year old center fielder is now hitting .259 with three homers and 15 RBI’s on the season. McCutchen went 17 for 72 with three homers and seven RBI’s against the Reds last season and 2 for 5 in Monday’s win. The Giants are only averaging 4.07 runs per game, ranking them 23rd in the Majors. The San Francisco pitching owns a 4.39 team ERA, positioning them 20th overall.

Trends:

The Cincinnati Reds are:

  • 0-4 in their last 4 games against the Giants.
  • 16-42 in their last 58 road games against a left-handed starter.
  • 1-4 in their last 5 Wednesday games.

The San Francisco Giants are:

  • 5-1 in their last 6 home games.
  • 4-0 in their last 4 home games against the Reds.
  • 4-1 in their last 5 games in the third game of a series.

I am siding with the Giants in this matchup. Matt Harvey has struggled against the Giants in his career, surrendering 13 runs in 19 innings with an 0-2 record,  and he owns a terrible 6.10 ERA on the season. Furthermore, Andrew Suarez has only conceded a combined seven earned runs in his last three starts (16.1 innings), and the Reds have not been winning many games against left-handed pitching. The Giants have won eight out of their last 11 home games and I like them in this one.

Pick: San Francisco Giants

The Giants have fared well against Matt Harvey, and Andrew Suarez was hit hard in his previous start. The Giants lineup is hitting a combined .306 against Harvey, and the over is 14-6-1 in the last 21 meetings between these two clubs. Suarez just surrendered five runs in Pittsburgh last time out, and the Reds have been much more productive at the plate, plus the over is 5-1 in the Giants’ last six games against a team with a winning percentage below .400.

Pick: Over

4

Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about about various sports as well as personal finance. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.

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