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Cleveland Indians vs. Detroit Tigers,
5-16-2018 - Expert Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#909 Cleveland
Indians -205
#910 Detroit
Tigers 9

Wednesday, May 16, 2018 at 1:10pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Cleveland Indians
T. BAUER

20 - 21

2
W's
3
L's
3
ERA
1.22
WHIP

Detroit Tigers
R. CARPENTER

19 - 22

0
W's
0
L's
9
ERA
2
WHIP

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Wednesday afternoon MLB action and a pair of teams from the American League Central will square off as the Cleveland Indians tangle with the Detroit Tigers at Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan in game one of a three-game series. The Tigers took game one of this series by a score of 6-3. Pitching Probables: getting the nod for the Indians will be Trevor Bauer (2-3, 3.00 ERA), while the Tigers will counter with Ryan Carpenter (0-0, 7.36 ERA).

Not Much Offense In Game One

The offense was a struggle for the Indians in the early part of the year, but they had been really scoring some runs of late, until their 6-3 loss to the Tigers in game one of this series. The Indians had averaged a healthy 7.30 rpg over their previous 13 games. The offense just didn’t show up in that game and they will hope to get it back in this one. Jose Ramirez continued his solid start as he hit his 13th homer of the year in the game, while Greg Allen had three of the seven hits for the Tribe in the game. Taking the loss was Carlos Carrasco, who allowed three ERs on six hits and two walks while striking out four in 6.2 innings of work. He is now 5-2 with a 3.66 ERA on the year. It really has been a bit of a rocky start for the Indians as they will now enter Tuesday game at 20-20 on the year, but despite that record, they still lead the American League Central by a game and a half over the Minnesota Twins. This is a very weak division this year, so it won’t take a great record to win it. The Indians have averaged 3.61 rpg and have allowed 3.78 rpg on the road for the year.  

Toeing the rubber for the Indians in this one will be Trevor Bauer and he has gone 2-3 with a 3.00 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP in eight starts on the year, including 0-2 with a 3.50 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP in three starts on the road. In his career, he has gone 20-23 with a 4.21 ERA in 64 games (59 starts) on the road and 9-9 with a 4.27 ERA in 24 starts during May, plus 16-14 with a 3.61 ERA in 49 games (43 starts) in the daytime, while against the Tigers he has gone 5-5 with a 7.26 ERA in 14 games (13 starts), including 2-1 with a 6.38 ERA in four games (three starts) here at Comerica Park.

Cleveland has been decent on offense so far this year as they come in ranked 8th in the league in scoring, putting up 4.82 rpg, while also ranking 14th in hitting at .246 and 1st in homers with 61. On the mound, they have been above average in the early as they come in ranked 13th in the league in ERA at 4.03, while also ranking 4th in WHIP at 1.18 and 14th in K’s with 348. The pen for the Indians is ranked 28th in the league with a 5.45 ERA.

Goodrums’s Two Homers Leads Tigers Over Tribe

The Detroit Tigers will enter Tuesday’s game at just 18-22 on the year, but because they are in the very weak American League Central, they are just two games out of first. That makes this series important for both squads and they did take game one of it by a score of 6-3. Rookie Niko Goodrum had a heck of a game as he hit two homers and drove in five runs. He now has four homers on the year and is hitting .470 with three homers and six RBIs over his last four games. He has really been on fire of late and the Tigers have won three of their last four games. Mike Fiers had a very solid start for the Tigers in the win as he allowed just one ER on three hits and a walk while striking out five in 6.0 innings of work to improve to 4-2 with a 4.23 ERA on the year. The Tigers will be looking to gain more ground on the Indians in this series. The Tigers have averaged 5.00 rpg and have allowed 4.45 rpg here at home for the year.

Toeing the rubber for the Tigers in this one will be Ryan Carpenter and he is 0-0 with a 7.36 ERA and a 1.91 WHIP in two games (one start) in this his first year in the league. His lone start was back on April 1st and he faced the Pirates in that game. He got a no-decision in that game and allowed three ERs on three hits and a walk while striking out two in 3.0 innings of work. Carpenter was 1-3 with a 5.01 ERA and a 1.43 WHIP in seven starts at Toledo (AAA) this year. 

The Tigers have been an average offensive team so far as they come in ranked 14th in the league in scoring, putting up 4.48 rpg, while also ranking 3rd in hitting at .262 and 26th in homers with 36. On the mound, they have been below average so far as they enter this contest ranked 16th in the league in ERA at 4.21, while also ranking 18th in WHIP at 1.33 and 28th in K’s with 304. The bullpen ranks 21st in the league with a 4.45 ERA.

Trends

Cleveland is:

  • 13-3 in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a losing record
  • 40-11 in their last 51 vs. the American League Central

Detroit is:

  • 9-23 in their last 32 home games vs. a right-handed starter
  • 15-36 in their last 51 vs. the American League Central

The Indians are a very mediocre team, but I have to feel that they will break out at some point as they are the best team in the American League Central. The Tigers have been playing better of late, but I see Trevor Bauer slowing them down in this one. He has struggled with the Tigers in his career, but he has been pitching very well to start the year as he has a 3.00 ERA overall. He is 0-2 on the road, but with a 3.50 ERA and his offense should give him some support, especially since they have averaged 6.20 rpg over their last 10 games. The Indians have won six of the last seven games here in Detroit and I will look for them to keep it going here.

Pick: Cleveland

David Hess (@DavidHess311)

I have always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so I combined the two to become a handicapper and a blogger. I love sports and I love writing about them and all the info I put in my blogs is well-thought-out and well-researched. I am a big fan of all the major sports and the colleges, plus I know golf pretty well, tennis and the WNBA. I am very versatile. Hope you enjoy my content.

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