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Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Miami Marlins,
5-16-2018 - Prediction & Preview

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#905 Los Angeles
Dodgers -180
#906 Miami
Marlins 8

Wednesday, May 16, 2018 at 7:10pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Los Angeles Dodgers
W. BUEHLER

16 - 25

2
W's
1
L's
1.64
ERA
1
WHIP

Miami Marlins
E. HERNANDEZ

15 - 26

0
W's
0
L's
0
ERA
0
WHIP

Betting Trends

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The Los Angeles Dodgers will take on the Miami Marlins in the second game of a three game series Wednesday evening from Marlins Park. The Dodgers will give the starting nod to 23-year old right-hander Walker Buelher, and the Marlins will counter with 26-year old left-hander Caleb Smith. Miami won two of three in L.A. late last month. 

Buehler Off to Promising Start to Major League Career

Walker Buehler will make his fifth start of the season, aiming for win number three. Buehler was outstanding once again in his latest start, holding the Reds to only two runs in six innings, however he was charged with the loss to bring his record to 2-1. The rookie right-hander has been sharp in all four of his starts, allowing only four runs in 22 innings pitched, leading to a 1.64 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP. He took on the Marlins in his season debut, and proceeded to toss five shutout innings. Buehler has accumulated 27 K’s in his 22 innings pitched on the season. Buehler is ranked as the Dodgers’ top pitching prospect.  

The Dodgers are dealing with several key injuries to their lineup and they are struggling to score runs as of late. Yasiel Puig has not been able to find his swing, recording only one RBI in five games since returning from injury, and he is currently hitting .204 with one homer and eight RBI’s in 29 games. Puig is 0 for 7 against the Marlins this season. The Dodgers are not swinging the bats well, and they are currently averaging 4.28 runs, ranking them 16th in Majors. The L.A. pitching features a 3.97 team ERA, positioning them 12th in the Major Leagues.

Smith Contains Hot-Hitting Braves

Caleb Smith will take the mound for the ninth time of the season, aiming for his third win of the year. Smith pitched well in his previous start, limiting the Braves to two runs in 5.1 innings, however he was charged with the loss. The young left-hander has been a bright spot in the Marlins rotation, posting a respectable 3.63 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP accompanied with a 2-4 record in 39.2 innings logged. Smith has now allowed a home run in three consecutive starts.

Starlin Castro continues to be the primary offensive catalyst for the Marlins, collecting eight RBI’s in his last nine games. The 28-year old second baseman is having a solid season, posting a .289 average with two home runs and 18 RBI’s on the season. Castro is 4 for 12 with one RBI against the Dodgers this season. The Marlins rank last in all of baseball with an average of 3.45 runs per game. The Miami pitching owns a poor 5.12 team ERA, positioning them down at 28th in the Majors.

Trends:

The Los Angeles Dodgers are:

  • under is 4-1 in their last 5 games against a team with a winning percentage below .400.
  • under is 4-1-1 in their last 6 road games.
  • under is 10-3-1 in their last 14 games against a left-handed starter.

The Miami Marlins are:

  • under is 7-1 in their last 8 games against the Dodgers.
  • under is 5-1 in their last 6 games against the NL West.
  • under is 6-1 in their last 7 games in the second game of a series.

I am taking the under in this matchup. Walker Buehler has been sharp in all four of his starts on the season, holding the opposition to only a combined four runs on 15 hits in his 22 innings pitched. He battled the Marlins in his Major League debut last month and fired five scoreless innings. Furthermore, Caleb Smith is also in a groove on the mound, allowing a total of only four runs over his last four starts (24 innings), and the Dodgers are cold at the plate right now, scoring three or fewer runs in four consecutive games.

Pick: Under

Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about about various sports as well as personal finance. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.

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