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Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals,
5-16-2018 - Pick and Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#911 Tampa Bay
Rays -100
#912 Kansas City
Royals 9

Wednesday, May 16, 2018 at 2:15pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Tampa Bay Rays
J. FARIA

18 - 22

3
W's
2
L's
5.09
ERA
1.25
WHIP

Kansas City Royals
J. HAMMEL

13 - 29

0
W's
4
L's
6.13
ERA
1.45
WHIP

Betting Trends

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Tampa Bay and Kansas City continue their series on Wednesday afternoon at Kauffman Stadium. The Rays only took one out of four against Baltimore over the weekend, but they took the first game against Kansas City in this series. The Royals have dropped three straight.

Duffy reels in enough runs to take the opening series win

Tampa Bay opened things up with a run in the first inning and took the lead again in the top of the sixth to eventually win a 2-1 pitching duel against Kansas City on Monday night. Third baseman Matt Duffy (.322 avg) was responsible for both RBIs and went 3-for-4 on his at-bats. That brings him up to 14 RBIs on the season.

Probable starter: Right-hander Jake Faria (3-2, 5.09 ERA)

Faria took a loss against Baltimore last time out on Friday night. He gave up a whopping seven earned runs on eight hits through six innings of action. While he’s pitched a decent ratio of seven strikeouts to two walks over his last two appearances, he’s also given up three total home runs. The Rays ended up falling 9-4.

Royals skid off path in road trip, can’t find rhythm back at home

Kansas City has now been limited to five total runs in their last three games, which includes the latter two of the series at Cleveland. They were hoping the offense would get out of their late road-trip funk. Prior to those losses against the Indians, the Royals had 34 total runs in the first four games of the road trip.

Probable starter: Right-hander Jason Hammel (0-4, 6.13 ERA)

Hammel ended his personal losing skid, but it was just a no-decision against Cleveland last Friday night. It was a lucky result at that — he gave up nine earned runs on six hits in just 3.2 innings of work. He allowed three home runs in the outing and he’s now given up eight or more runs in two of his last three outings. The Royals did come back to win 10-9, however.

Trends

Rays are:

  • 8-3 in their last 11 games against starters with a WHIP greater than 1.30
  • 4-1 in Faria’s last 5 starts

Royals are:

  • 2-11 in their last 13 home games against right-handed starters
  • 1-7 in Hammel’s last 8 starts

Faria allowing seven runs seems like an outlier as he’s really been on the money in most of his starts. Considering Hammel recently cleared a couple of really lousy starts, it’s best to take the road team here.

Pick: TB

Brian Spaen

Blogging journeyman and sports handicapper. His passion for statistics, analyzing team reports, and watching multiple hours of sports daily gives him an edge for picking who will beat the spread. Also writes about technology and video games. Hobbies include enjoying life in the big city, spending way too much time on YouTube, and discovering new craft beer and whisky.

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