Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#951 New York Mets -130 vs.
#952 Washington Nationals 9
Thursday, May 16, 2019 at 1:05pm EDT
Written by Adam Rauzino

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The Washington Nationals will host the New York Mets as the NL East rivals conclude a three-game series Thursday afternoon from Nationals Park. The Mets will give the starting call to 28-year old right-hander Zack Wheeler, and the Nationals will have 35-year old right-hander Anibal Sanchez take the mound. The Mets lead the season series 4-3 entering Wednesday’s action.

Wheeler Fans 11 Batters in Second Straight Gem

Zack Wheeler will get the call for the ninth time of the season, seeking his second straight victory. Wheeler has turned it around in his last two starts which included seven innings of two-run ball against the Marlins in his previous start in an 11-2 win. The 6-foot-4 right-hander has only allowed four runs in his last 14 innings pitched, and he enters this one with a 4.35 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP paired with a 3-2 record in 49.2 innings of work. The Nationals have given Wheeler trouble in two meetings this season as he has squandered 11 runs in 9.2 innings. Wheeler now owns a 4-9 record and a poor 5.01 ERA in his 15 career starts against the divisional foes.

Michael Conforto has snapped out of his funk at the plate, belting two homers along with four RBI’s in his last five games entering Wednesday. The 26-year old right fielder is having a decent season, hitting .275 with eight home runs and 18 RBI’s. Conforto has fared well against the Nationals this season, recording 9 hits in 29 at-bats with two homers and four RBI’s.

The Mets stand 17th in the big leagues with an average of 4.65 runs per game. The New York pitching staff has been sharp as of late, and they are carrying a 4.42 team ERA, pegging them 18th in the Major Leagues. The Mets are competitive on the road where they stand at 11-12 on the season.

Sanchez Charged with Another Loss, Remains Winless

Anibal Sanchez will get the nod for the ninth time of the year, hoping his fortunes finally turn around in this one. Sanchez allowed three runs including two home runs in 4.1 innings against the Dodgers in his previous start, leading to his fifth straight loss, and he now stands at 0-6 on the season. The veteran right-hander has only logged more than five innings once all season, and he enters this one with a 5.27 ERA and a terrible 1.68 WHIP in 41 innings pitched. Sanchez has seen a ton of action against the Mets in his career with mixed results, posting a 5-5 record and a 4.13 ERA in 14 starts. Robinson Cano is 4 for 18 against Sanchez, while Amed Rosario is 1 for 4, and Michael Conforto is 1 for 7.

Watch for Adam Eaton in this one as he is a very tough out against Mets’ starter Zack Wheeler, collecting 9 hits in 15 at-bats with two RBI’s. The speedy leadoff hitter is only hitting .224 on the month, and he is carrying a .274 average with three homers and 11 RBI’s on the year. Eaton is 7 for 25 with two RBI’s against the Mets pitching this season.

The Nationals have been inconsistent at the dish recently, and they are averaging 4.34 runs per game, ranking them 21st in the Majors. The Washington pitching staff owns a 4.81 team ERA, placing them 22nd in the big leagues. The Nationals hold a 7-12 home record on the year.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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I am confident siding with New York in this contest. Zack Wheeler is posting encouraging results on the mound recently, limiting the Brewers and Marlins to only a combined four runs in his last two starts spread across 14 innings, and he racked up 21 K’s in that span.

Furthermore, home field advantage has not played in the Nats favor this season as they stand at 7-12 at Nationals Park entering Wednesday’s play. Also, the Nationals offensive production has been hindered significantly by the absence of Trea Turner and Ryan Zimmerman who both remain sidelined.

Prediction: New York Mets

Full-Game Total Pick

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I am opting with the under in this matchup. Zach Wheeler owns better stats on the road this season, and Washington is more productive on the road than at home. They are only averaging 3.84 runs per game at National Park this season, so I expect Wheeler to limit their offense, plus the under is 9-2-1 in the Mets’ last 12 games overall.

In addition, the Mets offense isn’t as potent on the road. The Mets have plated three or fewer runs in five out of their last seven road games, and the under is 5-1-1 in their last seven road games.

Prediction: Under

Full-Game Prop Bet

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The Mets pitching should neutralize the Nationals in this one. The Nationals offense has been very unreliable recently. They have been shutout three times in their last eight games, and Zack Wheeler is pitching his best baseball of the season right now. Washington has scored three or fewer runs in seven out of their last ten games.

Prediction: Nationals Team Total Under

First Five Innings Side Pick

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I am sticking with the Mets on the five inning line. Anibal Sanchez has not been pitching deep into games, and he has only logged 4.2 and 4.1 innings in his last two starts. Also, Sanchez isn’t benefiting from any run support. The Nationals have scored two or fewer runs in each of Sanchez’ last three starts.

Prediction: New York Mets

Written By Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about about various sports as well as personal finance. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.