Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#903 St. Louis Cardinals vs.
#904 New York Mets
Tuesday, May 17, 2022 at 3:10pm EDT
Written by Mark Ruelle

This article covers a past game!

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(This game has been postponed due to rain. This will be made up as a DHer on Tuesday.)

The St. Louis Cardinals and the New York Mets get set to go head-to-head in a 4-game series in Queens starting on Monday. Both teams have started off well and expect to be part of the NL playoff discussion come September. The pitching matchup for game 1 will be Miles Mikolas (3-1, 1.49) of the Cardinals vs. Trevor Williams (0-2, 5.73) of the Mets. Game time is scheduled for 710pm EST.

In the Cards

The Cards come into this four-game series following a rousing series win over the Giants at home. After losing two of three to Baltimore, the Cardinals regrouped to take 2 of 3 from the Giants. On Sunday night, the Cardinals' offense took center stage as two future Hall of Famers took center stage. Catcher Yadier Molina, who had just 2 RBI coming into the game, drove in four runs including a 2-run home run. Long-time teammate Albert Pujols had a multi-hit game and reached base four times with two walks as well in the run-away Cardinals win. Red-hot Nolan Arenado kept up his MVP-level season with his 8th home run. Veteran Adam Wainwright benefitted from the offensive onslaught and pitched six innings allowing 3 hits and 2 runs while striking out five. With the game out of hand, Pujols came on in the 9th to make his pitching debut, allowing 3 hits and 4 runs, including two home runs to make the final score 15-6.

The Cardinals' offense came alive in their final game for 15 runs against the Giants after scoring just 6 runs in the first two games. The Cards have scored 25 runs in their last three victories. On the season, St. Louis is 11th in runs scored, 11th in batting average and 13th in slugging percentage. The Cardinals can feel good about Monday's matchup with Mikolas toting the rubber. He is 3rd in MLB in ERA, 11th in WHIP and has a WAR of 1.6, tops on the staff. Fully recovered from arm issues that have plagued him over the past few seasons, Mikolas is in the midst of possibly his best season ever.

Bounce Back Series

The Mets have been consistently efficient this season both on the mound and at the plate. On Sunday, the Mets dropped the rubber match of their 3-game series with Seattle 8-7 to lose their first series of the season. New York did not lose the game without a fight. Trailing 4-1, the Mets scored 4 in the 4th inning to take the lead before Seattle scored four more in innings six and seven. The Mets would not go away, scoring 2 in the 9th before Pete Alonso stuck out with the bases loaded to end the game. It was a rough outing for the Mets bullpen that allowed 8 hits and 4 runs, including 2 home runs, in just 4.2 innings of work. New York falls to 23-13 but remains comfortably in first place in the NL East.

The Mets have had a season of good fortune thus far but bad news found them when the team had to place starting pitcher Tylor Megill on the 15-day injured list on Sunday because of right biceps tendinitis, four days after he allowed eight runs over 1⅓ innings during a defeat at Washington. The loss of the right-hander will weaken a Mets rotation that is 3rd in MLB with 14 quality starts this season. On Monday, the Mets will send righty Trevor Williams to the mound against the Cardinals. Williams has pitched out of the pen for much of the season, save for one start against Arizona. In his only start, Williams lasted just 2 innings and allowed 7 hits and 4 runs in a loss. New York will likely look to lean on their bullpen for a second straight game with Williams on the hill.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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The Cardinals send their best pitcher to the mound in the series opener against a Mets starter destined to be just an opener in the game. Mikolas has been lights out this season as he returns to pre-injury success and then some. He has a 1.6 WAR and has a 0.94 WHIP this season thus far. Williams is being tasked to make just his second start of the season and is making a start after the Mets utilized six pitchers out of the pen on Sunday. The Mets may be forced to let Williams stay in the game a bit longer than they want to in order to rest the bullpen as they deal with an injury to a key starter. Look for the Cardinals to roll in the series opener.

Take St. Louis with the run line.

Prediction: St.Louis -1.5

Full-Game Total Pick

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Mikolas has allowed just four earned runs in his last five starts. He has held the opposition to just 4 hits in four of his seven starts. Look for the Cards' ace to keep the Mets lineup in check in the series opener. The Cardinals bats were quiet over the weekend and in two of the three games vs. the Orioles. St. Louis will win the game but will likely score 5 or less and keep this game under the total.

Take the under.

Prediction: Under
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Written By Mark Ruelle , "Mark Ruelle"

Mark has been a sports fanatic since childhood. He is also an avid follower of sports analytics and has used it in his own betting analysis for over two decades. Now we have Mark on our team here at Stat Salt. He holds degrees in marketing, broadcasting, and English and uses this vast array of assets to dissect and analyze game matchups. Mark will provide you with a wide variety of statistics to consider and a strong opinion in each matchup that he covers. Please follow him daily for an up-to-the-minute analysis of all the important games.