Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#951 Arizona Diamondbacks vs.
#952 Los Angeles Dodgers
Tuesday, May 17, 2022 at 3:10pm EDT
Written by Adam Rauzino

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The Arizona Diamondbacks (18-17, 20-15 RL, 12-22-1 O/U) take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (21-12, 20-13 RL, 13-17-3 O/U) in game 1 of Tuesday’s doubleheader from Dodger Stadium. The Diamondbacks give the nod to Tyler Gilbert. The Dodgers will likely go with Ryan Pepiot or use the bullpen. The Diamondbacks lead the season series 2-1.

Gilbert Expected to Start, Arizona Drops Series Against Cubs

Tyler Gilbert will now start game one instead of Merrill Kelly. Gilbert has been stellar in his two appearances. He limited the Nationals to only one run in 5.2 innings in his season debut and battled the Dodgers last time out, conceding one run in three frames. The veteran posted a solid 3.15 ERA and a 1.03 WHIP in 40 innings of work last season. He struggled in the Minors this year, conceding 19 runs in 15 innings.

Arizona continues to play reasonably well recently, winning four out of their last seven games. They won three of four against the Marlins last week but stumbled a bit with a series loss against the Cubs on the weekend despite a stellar effort from the stellar pitching staff in all three games.

Ketel Marte is finally breaking out of his slump at the plate, sporting a .338 average and a 1.03 OPS on the month. The 28-year-old second baseman is only hitting .210 with nine RBIs and a .665 OPS on the season. He went 0 for 10 against the Dodgers last month.

The Diamondbacks are only averaging 3.54 runs, ranking them 25th overall. The pitching staff has posted a 3.53 team ERA, good for 10th in the big leagues.

Dodgers Lose Series to Phillies

The Dodgers are either starting Ryan Pepiot or opting for a bullpen start in game one of the DH. Pepiot was solid in his big league debut, recording three shutout innings against the Pirates in a game LA lost by a 5-3 score. The rookie right-hander was dominant in Triple-A, posting a 2.05 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP accompanied by a 2-0 record in 26.1 innings of work. The Dodgers bullpen is among the best in the Majors, sporting a 3.14 ERA and a 1.02 WHIP.

The Dodgers are slipping a bit recently, losing four out of their last five games entering Monday. They dropped two of three in Pittsburgh followed by a series loss against the Phillies last weekend due to abysmal pitching. They are still in first place in the division with the Padres.

Justin Turner is swinging a hot bat, driving in a whopping 10 runs in his last six games. The veteran third baseman is having an inconsistent season, hitting only .210 with 23 RBIs and a poor .589 OPS. He is only 1 for 8 against the Diamondbacks pitching this season.

The Dodgers continue to lead the Majors with 5.27 runs per game. The pitching staff is also first, sporting a 2.74 team ERA.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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The Diamondbacks are playing well recently, winning eight out of their last 12 games overall. The Dodgers are stumbling. They lost two of three to the Pirates followed by three losses in four bouts against the Phillies.

Furthermore, Arizona's starter Tyler Gilbert has fared well in his brief action with the big club this season, conceding two runs on five hits in 8.2 innings including a strong outing against the Dodgers.  The D-Backs don’t have to battle Buehler or Urias in this DH and Kershaw remains on the IL. Arizona also won two of three against the Dodgers in the lone series this season.

Prediction: Arizona Diamondbacks ML

Full-Game Total Pick

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I expect this total to go over. Arizona is should be able to take advantage of the fact LA is starting Ryan Pepiot or going with a bullpen start. The Dodgers are giving up a ton of runs, squandering five or more runs in four out of their last five games. LA has surrendered 38 runs in their last five games entering Monday night.

In addition, the Dodgers bats are producing. They have accumulated five or more runs in seven out of their last ten games. The over is also a convincing 6-2-2 in the Dodgers' last ten games. 

Prediction: Over
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Written By Adam Rauzino , "Adam Rauzino"

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball, and football. He enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about various sports as well as personal finance and being an expert sports bettor. Prior to bringing his talents here to Winners and Whiners, Adam graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance. You would do yourself a huge favor by following Adam on a daily basis.