Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#953 Washington Nationals vs.
#954 Miami Marlins
Tuesday, May 17, 2022 at 6:40pm EDT
Written by David Delano

This article covers a past game!

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The Miami Marlins (15-19) will host the Washington Nationals (12-24) on Tuesday in the second game of a three-game series. The Marlins swept the Nationals in D.C. when these two teams met in a three games series in late April. Monday's contests was not complete at the time of this preview.

Nationals last in NL East

The Washington Nationals are dead last in the NL East and have the second-worst winning percentage in MLB. After Sunday's action, the Nationals are the 27th money team in MLB according to covers.com, at -$737.

Offensively, Washington is third with a .253 batting average, 15th averaging 4.2 runs per game, 24th with 26 home runs, and 25th with 10 stolen bases. Juan Soto leads the team with a 1.7 WAR and eight home runs. Josh Bell leads the team with a .336 batting average and .428 on-base percentage and is also tied with Maikel Franco for the team lead with 21 RBI, and Nelson Cruz is next with 20 RBI.

Washington's pitching staff is 28th with a 4.88 ERA and 1.44 WHIP. On Tuesday, the Nationals will start 23-year-old right-hander Joan Adon (1-6, 7.03 ERA, 1.72 WHIP). In three road starts, Adon is 0-3 with an 8.56 ERA. This past Thursday, Adon pitched 3 2/3 innings in his most recent start and allowed three runs in a 4-1 loss to the New York Mets.

Poteet to make first start of season

After getting off to a strong start, the Miami Marlins have lost 11 of their last 14 games. The Marlins offense is 11th with 35 team home runs, 12th with a .236 batting average, and 16th with 17 stolen bases and 4.2 runs scored per game. Jazz Chisholm Jr. leads the team with a 1.7 WAR, six stolen bases, 24 RBI, and is second with six home runs, even though he has missed six games this season.

The Miami Marlins are eighth in MLB with a 3.47 ERA and are scheduled to start Cody Poteet (0.55 ERA, 0.98 WHIP) on Tuesday. Poteet has made eight relief appearances and allowed just one earned run in 16 1/3 innings with 14 strikeouts. The longest outing Poteet has made this season is four innings, but he did toss seven innings and maxed out at 93 pitches once last season as a rookie.

Heading into Monday, Miami was the 24th money team in MLB according to covers.com, at -$440.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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The Washington Nationals are 1-6 in games started by Joan Adon this season, with each loss coming by at least three runs or more. They have also dropped their last five road games overall when facing a team with a losing record. On the other side, the Marlins have struggled lately, but their last three wins have all been by at least six runs or more. The Marlins bats should have a big night against Adon, and the Marlins bullpen behind Poteet will hold on for a convincing victory.

Prediction: Miami Marlins -1.5 (+120)

Full-Game Total Pick

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As bad as the Nationals' offense has been at home, they are the MLB's top-scoring road team averaging 5.9 runs per game. Expect another solid outing against the Marlins here. Although Cody Poteet has put up great numbers so far, this will be his first start of the season, and he posted a 4.99 ERA with seven home runs allowed in 30 2/3 innings as a starter last season. The Marlins' offense is 11th with 4.6 runs per game at home this season and has a great matchup against Adon who has not pitched well, and a Nationals bullpen that is 20th in MLB with a 3.90 ERA and 55 walks allowed. I expect no less than four runs from both sides in this contest and will play the over.

Prediction: Over 8.5
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Written By David Marotta , "David Delano"

David Delano is a Bowling Green State University graduate with a passion for sports, traveling, and music. David loves to handicap MLB, NFL, NCAAF, NCAAB, NBA, WNBA, and is also a big fan of boxing and track and field. Over the years, David has worn several hats in the sports world, from being behind the camera to writing, filming, editing, scouting, and coaching, along with servicing his clients as a sports handicapper.  He is also an expert sports bettor. We are glad to have David on our Winners & Whiners team, and we recommend that you follow along with him every day. 

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