Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#903 Colorado Rockies 8 vs.
#904 Pittsburgh Pirates -130
Thursday, May 23, 2019 at 12:35pm EDT
Written by Adam Rauzino

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The Colorado Rockies and the Pittsburgh Pirates will wrap up a three-game series Thursday afternoon from PNC Park. The Rockies will give the starting call to 24-year old right-hander Antonio Senzatela, and the Pirates will turn to 28-year old right-hander Jordan Lyles. The Rockies blanked the Pirates by a 5-0 score on Tuesday night. The Rockies lead the season series 2-0.

Senzatela Receives No Run Support in Tough Loss

Antonio Senzatela will get the nod for the eighth time of the year, targeting his second win of the month. Senzatela was terrific in his previous performance, holding a strong Phillies’ lineup to just one run in five innings, however, he received no run support and was charged with the loss. The 6-foot-1 right-hander hasn’t been pitching deep into games, logging six innings in just one out of his last four starts, and he is carrying a 4.89 ERA and a 1.45 WHIP paired with a 3-3 record in 38.2 innings of work. Senzatela has tossed one scoreless inning in his limited career action against the Pirates.

Charlie Blackmon remains the Rockies’ most consistent hitter, launching another five home runs along with eight RBI’s in his last eight games. The 32-year old centerfielder owns a dazzling 1.196 OPS on the month, and he is hitting .302 with 10 home runs and 30 RBI’s on the season. Blackmon went 7 for 20 with two RBI’s against the Pirates last season, and he went 3 for 5 with two RBI’s in Tuesday’s win.

The Rockies stand ninth in the big leagues with an average of 5.04 runs per game. The Colorado pitching ranks near the bottom in many categories, and they own a 4.90 team ERA, pegging them 23rd overall. The Rockies hold a 12-14 road record entering Wednesday.

Lyles Silences Padres, Seeks Third Consecutive Victory

Jordan Lyles will make his ninth start of the year, hunting for his third straight victory. Lyles continued his excellence in his previous start, holding the Padres to just one run in seven innings in another win to lift his record to 4-1. The 6-foot-4 right-hander is having a spectacular season, allowing only one run in each of his last three starts, and he has boosted his ERA to 1.97 accompanied with a  1.05 WHIP in 45.2 innings pitched. Lyles owns subpar career stats against the Rockies, going 1-3 with a 4.86 ERA in 37 innings. Charlie Blackmon is 1 for 7 against Lyles, while Trevor Story is 3 for 10, and Nolan Arenado is 3 for 12.

Watch for Pirates slugger Josh Bell in this one. The fourth-year first baseman is the hottest hitter in all of baseball, belting five home runs along with a stunning 16 RBI’s in his last 10 games. Bell has boosted his average to .325 to go with 14 homers, and he is tied for the MLB lead with 44 RBI’s. Bell went 2 for 17 with four RBI’s against the Rockies last season, and he is 0 for 4 in this series.

The Pirates are swinging the bats well, and they are currently averaging 3.76 runs, ranking them 27th overall. The Pittsburgh pitching staff stands in the middle of the pack at 15th overall with a 4.24 team ERA. The Pirates are 9-10 at PNC Park entering Wednesday.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

I am siding with the Pirates in this matchup. The Pirates continue to exceed expectations led by outstanding pitching and timely hitting, while the Rockies are scuffling, losing four out of their last five games entering Wednesday. I expect another strong pitching performance by starter Jordan Lyles in this one. Lyles has only allowed one run in each of his last three starts, and he shut down a decent A’s lineup and a strong Cardinals offense in that span.

Furthermore, the Pirates offense has come alive which has made them tough to beat recently. They have plated at least five runs in three out of their last four games entering Wednesday.

Prediction: Pittsburgh Pirates

Full-Game Total Pick

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Rating:

I anticipate a low scoring game. While I expect the Pirates to do adequate damage against Senzatela, he is much better on the road where he features a 2.95 ERA, and the under has converted in 9 of his last 11 road starts to support that claim.

In addition, Jordan Lyles is very dependable, and he has fanned 18 batters over his last two starts spread across 13 innings. The under is 14-6-1 in the Rockies’ last 21 road games against a team with a winning record, and I expect it to convert in this one.

Prediction: Under

First Five Innings Total Bet

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Rating:

I am taking the under on the Rockies three inning team total offered by PointsBet. Jordan Lyles has only allowed a combined six runs in his 24 innings pitched through innings 1-3 this season, which equates to a stifling 1.88 ERA. Also, the Rockies’ lowest scoring stretch is in innings 1-3 where they have scored 67 runs on the season.

Prediction: Rockies Three Inning Run Total Under 1.5

First Five Innings Prop Prediction

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Rating:

I am taking Jordan Lyles to record a win offered through PointsBet. Lyles has notched a win in each of his last two starts, and he is pitching deep into games, logging at least six innings in three straight starts, so I am confident he can stay in the game long enough to collect the win.

Prediction: Jordan Lyles to Record a Win +120

Written By Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about about various sports as well as personal finance. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.