Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#901 Washington Nationals -145 vs.
#902 New York Mets 7.5
Thursday, May 23, 2019 at 12:10pm EDT
Written by Adam Rauzino

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The New York Mets will host the Washington Nationals as the NL East foes conclude a four-game series Thursday afternoon from Citi Field. The Nationals will give the starting nod to 30-year old right-hander Stephen Strasburg, and the Mets will hand the ball to 27-year old left-hander Steven Matz. The Mets own a 6-5 lead in the season series.

Strasburg Spins 8 Inning Gem Against Cubs

The Nationals will have Stephen Strasburg on the hill for the 11th time of the year in this matchup. Strasburg was in a groove in his previous start, holding the Cubs to only two runs (one earned) in eight innings in a 5-2 Nationals victory. The hard-throwing right-hander features a stifling 2.63 ERA in his four starts this month, and he features a 3.32 ERA and a 0.98 WHIP accompanied with a 4-3 record in 65 innings logged on the year. Strasburg fired six shutout innings against the Mets in his latest meeting, and he gave up four runs in the first matchup of the season. He stands at 9-5 with a stellar 2.83 ERA in 19 career starts against the division rivals.

Watch for Anthony Rendon in this one as he features a stellar .320 average with three homers and six RBI’s in 25 career at-bats against Mets’ starter Steven Matz. The 28-year old third baseman continues to thrive, accumulating eight RBI’s in his last seven games, and he is hitting .333 with nine home runs and 27 RBI’s on the season. Rendon is hitting a sizzling .410 with nine RBI’s against the Mets this season.

The Nationals are scoring an average of 4.46 runs on the season, placing them 18th in the Major Leagues. The Washington pitching staff owns a 4.90 team ERA, positioning them 24th in the Majors. The Nationals stand at 9-15 on the road this season heading into Wednesday.

Matz Charged with Loss in Return from Injured List

Steven Matz will attempt to get back in the win column in his ninth start of the year after losing two straight starts. Matz made his return from the 10-day IL in his previous start and he didn’t last long, exiting after allowing two runs in 3.2 innings in Miami, leading to the loss to even his record at 3-3. The fifth-year left-hander is having a decent season, posting a 3.96 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP in 38.2 innings of work. He battled the Nationals early in the season and tossed five shutout innings, and he stands at 1-5 with a 3.60 ERA in 11 career meetings against the NL East foes. Adam Eaton is 2 for 8 against Matz, while Juan Soto is 3 for 10, and Trea Turner is 7 for 22.

Pete Alonso is starting to heat up again after a scorching April. He has crushed four homers with four RBI’s in his last five games. The 24-year old first baseman has been a tough out against the Nationals this season, sporting a .333 average with nine RBI’s in 39 at-bats. Alonso is carrying a .260 average with 16 home runs and 36 RBI’s on the season.

The Mets are averaging 4.47 runs per game, ranking them at 17th in the big leagues. The New York pitching staff has fared well recently, and they possess a 4.49 team ERA, placing them 21st in the Majors. The Mets feature an 11-8 record at Citi Field entering Wednesday.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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I am siding with the Nationals in this one. Mets’ starter Steven Matz made his return to action on May 18th after a stint on the IL, and he wasn’t sharp. It took him 81 pitches to get through 3.2 innings against the Marlins, and he is up against a Nationals team that is swinging the bat well.

Furthermore, the Nationals have Strasburg on the mound in this one. The talented right-hander features a stifling 2.63 ERA in his last four starts, and he neutralized two strong lineups against the Dodgers and Cubs in that span, so I am confident he can contain an inconsistent Mets’ offense.

Prediction: Washington Nationals

Full-Game Total Pick

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The under is a strong option in this one. The under has been a common trend with Strasburg on the hill as it has cashed in each of his last four starts. I expect that trend to continue in this one as he features a remarkable 2.83 career ERA against the Mets, plus the under is 22-8 in his last 30 road starts.

In addition, while I expect some offense against Matz, he is usually very competitive against Washington, and he holds a respectable 3.60 career ERA against the NL East foes. The under is 4-0 in Matz’ last four starts overall.

Prediction: Under

Full-Game Prop Bet

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I am confident the Nationals can get to Steven Matz, and the over on the Nationals team total offered through Pointsbet is a solid wager. The Nationals are dangerous against lefties. They rank fourth in the big leagues with a .282 average against lefties, and fourth with an .843 OPS. Anthony Rendon and Trea Turner are both hitting over .300 against Matz, and I expect both to play a big role in this one.

Prediction: Nationals Team Total Over

First Five Innings Prop Prediction

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I am taking the Nationals on the first inning line offered through Pointsbet. Steven Matz struggles early where he has surrendered 13 runs (9 earned) in his seven innings logged in the first inning on the season. In addition, Strasburg features a terrific 2.70 ERA in the first frame this year.

Prediction: First Inning Line Washington Nationals
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Written By Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about various sports as well as personal finance and has brought his talents to us here at Winners and Whiners. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.