Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#959 Atlanta Braves 8.5 vs.
#960 St. Louis Cardinals Cardinals -155
Friday, May 24, 2019 at 8:15pm EDT
Written by Adam Rauzino

Stats

Back

Teams
Logo
W/L
ATS
O/U
PPG
OPPG
#959 Atlanta
#960 St. Louis Cardinals
28-23
25-24
-
-
-
-
0
0

More

This article covers a past game!

View upcoming games.

The Atlanta Braves will travel to St. Louis to battle the Cardinals in the first of a three-game series Friday night from Busch Stadium. The Braves will send 27-year old right-hander Mike Foltynewicz to the mound, and the Cardinals will counter with 30-year old right-hander Miles Mikolas. The Braves won two of three against the Cardinals last week in Atlanta.

Foltynewicz Rebounds with Quality Start, Targets 1st Win

Mike Foltynewicz will take the mound for the sixth time of the season, still hunting for his elusive first win of the season. Foltynewicz came through with his best start of the season last time out, limiting the Brewers to only two runs in seven innings, leading to the no-decision in a game the Braves lost. The 6-foot-4 right-hander has yet to find his groove on the mound this season, registering a terrible 6.91 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP to go along with a 0-3 record in 27.1 innings pitched. Foltynewicz faced the Cardinals earlier this month and he was shelled for eight runs in 4.2 innings, and he stands at 2-4 with an abysmal 9.33 ERA in six career starts against the Cardinals. Matt Carpenter is 2 for 9 with three RBI’s against Foltynewicz, while Marcell Ozuna is 5 for 22, and Paul Goldschmidt is 3 for 18.

Freddie Freeman is the hottest hitter in the Braves lineup, bashing five home runs along with eight RBI’s in his last seven games. The 29-year old slugger features a fantastic .358 average on the month, and he is hitting .325 with 12 homers and 31 RBI’s on the season. Freeman is 4 for 9 with two RBI’s against the Cardinals this season. Ender Enciarte remains out of the Braves lineup.

The Braves have cooled off slightly at the plate, although they are still averaging 4.94 runs, good for 11th in the Majors. The Atlanta pitching staff owns a 4.23 team ERA, pegging them 14th overall. The Braves stand at 13-11 on the road entering Thursday.

Mikolas Surrenders Season-High 7 Runs in 2nd Straight Loss

Miles Mikolas will make his 11th start of the year, looking to avoid his third straight defeat. Mikolas is coming off his worst start of the season, serving up seven runs including two home runs in 1.1 innings on the road against the Rangers, resulting in the defeat to even his record at 2-2. Overall, the veteran right-hander is a reliable option, and he has recorded a Quality Start in three out of his last four outings. Mikolas holds a 4.88 ERA and a strong 1.19 WHIP in 55.1 innings logged on the season. He has excelled in his limited career action against the Braves, allowing three runs paired with a 1-1 record in 13.2 innings. Ronald Acuna Jr. is 2 for 6 against Mikolas, while Freddy Freeman is 2 for 7, and Nick Markakis is 0 for 7.

Paul DeJong is swinging a hot bat, collecting five hits along with seven RBI’s in his last four games. The 25-year old shortstop has fared well against Braves’ starter Mike Foltynewicz, recording 3 hits in 7 at-bats with three RBI’s, and he is 2 for 10 against Atlanta this season. DeJong is hitting a stellar .311 with eight homers and 26 RBI’s on the season.

The Cardinals stand 10th in the big leagues with an average of 5.08 runs per game. The St. Louis pitching staff is carrying a 4.42 team ERA, pegging them 21st overall. The Cardinals stand at 15-10 at Busch Stadium this season.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

The Cardinals are the play in this one. Braves’ starter Mike Foltynewicz hasn’t been able to duplicate his 2018 success this season. He was crushed for eight runs including three home runs against the Cardinals on May 14th, and he is on the road in this one where he holds an abysmal 7.50 ERA on the season.

Furthermore, I expect the Cardinals to play with a chip on their shoulder in this one after they were outscored 14-2 in the last two games of their series in Atlanta last week after winning the first game 14-3. The Cardinals consistently win games with Miles Mikolas on the mound at home, winning 10 out of his last 13 home starts.

Prediction: St. Louis Cardinals

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:

Rating:

The over is a solid option in this one. Mike Foltynewicz isn’t pitching well, and both teams feature potent lineups capable of significant damage. The Cardinals scored a combined 16 runs in eight games against Atlanta last week, and the over is 6-0 in Foltynewicz’ last six starts against the Cardinals.

In addition, the over is usually a very reliable bet when these teams meet. The Braves plated a total of 17 runs in last week’s series, and the over has converted in 17 of the last 21 meetings between the Cardinals and Braves.

Prediction: Over

Full-Game Prop Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

I am taking the under on the Braves five-inning run total offered by PointsBet. Miles Mikolas is usually very dependable at home, and he limited a strong Phillies lineup and the Pirates to only a combined two runs in his last two home starts. Also, he has limited Atlanta to only three runs in 13.2 career innings.

Prediction: Braves 5 Inning Run Total Under 2.5

First Five Innings Prop Prediction

Insiders Status:

Rating:

I am taking the Braves to strike first offered through PointsBet. Miles Mikolas often has trouble early. He has surrendered 13 of his 31 runs on the season in the first two innings. Also, the Cardinals are not productive in the first frame where they have only scored 27 runs paired with a .230 average in 49 games.

Prediction: Braves to Score First

Written By Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about about various sports as well as personal finance. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.