Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#977 Detroit Tigers 7.5 vs.
#978 New York Mets -270
Friday, May 24, 2019 at 7:10pm EDT
Written by Chris Altruda

Stats

Back

Teams
Logo
W/L
ATS
O/U
PPG
OPPG
#977 Detroit
#978 New York
18-29
24-25
-
-
-
-
0
0

More

This article covers a past game!

View upcoming games.

Detroit Tigers at New York Mets

When and Where: Friday, May 24, Citi Field, Queens, N.Y., 7:10 p.m. EDT.

Noah Syndergaard looks to run his interleague winning streak to five starts Friday night when the New York Mets open a three-game series against the reeling Detroit Tigers.

Tigers happy to get out of Detroit after winless homestand

Detroit (18-29) has lost nine straight entering this contest, and only the suspension of Sunday’s series finale versus Oakland — a game the Tigers were trailing 5-3 — prevented an 0-10 homestand.

Ron Gardenhire’s team was on the broom end of a three-game sweep by the Miami Marlins, capped by Thursday’s 5-2 loss in which closer Shane Greene blew a two-run lead and served up a go-ahead grand slam in the ninth.

“You know what, they hit a grand slam,” Tigers manager Ron Gardenhire told the Detroit Free Press. “He hangs one, they hit a grand slam. We got to the end, we just didn’t finish.”

The Tigers will turn to rookie Gregory Soto (0-2, 10.80 ERA) to end their longest losing streak since an 11-game skid from June 19-30. Soto, who will be making his fourth start since being called up, is coming off his “best” start of the previous three in which he was reached for three runs and four hits in four innings of that suspended game versus Oakland on Sunday.

Soto’s lone road start was one to forget as the Minnesota Twins ripped him for seven runs in four innings in an 8-3 defeat in his major league debut May 11.

Syndergaard looks close to breakout

Syndergaard (3-4, 4.50) fell back below the .500 mark with a tough-luck loss Sunday at Miami in which he allowed two runs and five hits in seven innings of a 3-0 defeat.

After the loss, which dropped New York five games under .500, Syndergaard emphatically defended manager Mickey Callaway, who got a vote of confidence from the club the following day.

“I respect the hell out of Mickey,” Syndergaard told SNY. “Mickey has tremendous leadership values. It’s kind of (bullcrap) what’s going on right now with this speculation that there could be a change, because we’re so early in the season and just one very small step away from putting this all together. It’s certainly not on him.”

It was the third time in four starts the right-hander has yielded two or fewer runs, a span in which he has lowered his earned run average nearly two runs. The good news for the Mets (24-25), who regrouped from that lost weekend in South Beach by sweeping four games from the Washington Nationals, is that Syndergaard has dominated AL teams of late.

The hard-throwing righty has a 2.63 ERA in a four-start winning streak in interleague play and won his only start last year by defeating Minnesota. The Tigers, though, are the last AL team to beat him, doing so in his only matchup against them in 2016 at Comerica Park.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

Everything about this game is pointing to Syndergaard having a lights-out effort for the Mets. He has been pitching better of late, has a nice winning streak versus AL teams, and the Mets righted themselves after a disastrous weekend in South Beach.

They are getting the perfect opponent in the foundering Tigers, who were spared a winless 10-game homestand by rain and coming off the worst type of loss to wrap up a series — and homestand in this instance — with their closer squandering a ninth-inning lead.

Look for the hangover to carry into this game, and Syndergaard to stifle the Tigers.

Prediction: Mets -1.5 runs (-136)

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:

Rating:

A confidence pick in Syndergaard, with the Tigers struggling to plate runs. Detroit failed to score more than four runs in any game during its 10-game homestand, and with the Mets still hit-or-miss offensively, the under is a strong play.

Prediction: UNDER 7.5 runs (-121)

Full-Game Prop Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

Syndergaard has averaged better than a strikeout per inning at home (28 Ks/27 IP), and this matchup is conducive to him at least maintaining that rate. The Tigers rank third in the AL with 462 strikeouts and also have a swing-and-miss rate of 27.8 percent.

Syndergaard pounds the strike zone, getting first-pitch strikes at a 65.1 percent rate while also getting a swing-and-miss rate of 24.6 percent. He ranks in the top 25 in the National League in both categories, and with the Tigers batting .227 overall, this feels like a favorable matchup for the hard-throwing right-hander to ring up some Ks.

Prediction: Syndergaard OVER 7.5 strikeouts (-104)

First Five Innings Side Pick

Insiders Status:

Rating:

This is pick based on the alternate five-inning lines being offered by Propbets.com, and it has everything to do with this matchup favoring the Mets. Soto has yet to last beyond four innings in any of his three starts and has only been staked to a lead once in those games — a lead he gave up in two innings. With the expectation of Syndergaard to be on point, it is worth seeking out the bigger run line at plus-money on the Mets.

Prediction: Mets -1.5 runs (+105)

First Five Innings Total Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

There is some risk to this pick because of Soto’s results despite his limited track record. Additionally, even one run given up by Syndergaard could ruin this pick. But the five-inning under has delivered in three of his last four starts, and there is confidence in “Thor” keeping the Tigers at bay.

Prediction: UNDER 4.5 runs (-125)

First Five Innings Prop Prediction

Insiders Status:

Rating:

This is worth a flyer considering Soto has allowed first-inning runs in two of his three starts, and Syndergaard has allowed only one run in the first inning of his last 13 starts at Citi Field dating back to last year. The Tigers have also scored only 17 first-inning runs in 48 games this year, partly because their leadoff hitters are batting a collective .179 on the season.

Prediction: Mets 3-way first-inning money line (+250)
Loading...

Written By Chris Altruda

A 1994 graduate of Marquette University when they were known as the Warriors and Brooklyn native, Chris Altruda is based in Chicago. Prior to joining our team here at Winners & Whiner, he worked at three major U.S. wire services and also has prior experience in sports handicapping and daily fantasy roster building. Now that the Cubs have won a World Series, he holds out hope the Jets will win a Super Bowl before he dies. Follow Chris daily right here at W&W and on Twitter at @AlTruda73. You won’t be disappointed.